I have no doubt that there has been centennial
climate fluctuation during the Quaternary, and this includes the Holocene.
Here we show that fluctuations in Antarctic Ice Sheet discharge caused by relatively small changes in subsurface ocean temperature can amplify multi-centennial climate variability regionally and globally, suggesting that a dynamic Antarctic Ice Sheet may have driven
climate fluctuations during the Holocene.
Not exact matches
«We can see that the
climate during an ice age has much greater
fluctuations than the
climate during an interglacial period.
During what are called Heinrich events — natural but still largely unexplained
fluctuations in the global
climate — the Atlantic Ocean's circulation slows substantially.
Geological evidence pointed to the springs being active
during the driest periods of
climate fluctuations that occurred around 1.8 million years ago, a critical period for hominin evolution.
New research shows that small
fluctuations in the sizes of ice sheets
during the last ice age were enough to trigger abrupt
climate change.
During the past decade, the global temperature may have «paused,» most likely due to natural
climate fluctuations, the panel finds.
Villalba (1990) «
Climate Fluctuations in Northern Patagonia
During the Last 1000 Years Inferred From Tree Ring Records» Quaternary Research 34, 346 - 360.
Eastern Andean Patagonia (40º - 51ºS) vegetation and
climate variability
during the Holocene related tosouthern westerlies
fluctuations Gonzalo Sottile, M. Alejandra Marcos, Florencia Bamonte, Marcos Echeverría, M. Eugenia de Porras, MarcelaTonello, M. Virginia Mancini, M. Martha Bianchi
Similar
fluctuations in OMZ intensity have occurred
during the Dansgaard - Oeschger (D - O) events (millennial - scale abrupt
climate oscillations)
during the last glacial period (Cannariato and Kennett, 1999; Schmittner et al., 2007).
For the most part, I've not seen much evidence to suggest that internal variations alone can bring the
climate to a new state on decadal timescales, even if the internal
fluctuations do not completely average out over decades (e.g.,, the PDO being in a positive phase more than a negative phase
during the timescale of consideration).
Through its actions, NCAR seems to be stating that physical science alone holds the key to coping with
climate change, or even working to improve our resilience
during typical seasonal
fluctuations and weather events.
8 Natural Processes that Change
Climate CO2
Fluctuations Changes in plant growth rates CO2 levels fall
during the growing season and rise in the winter
In conclusion, our analysis suggests that strong interannual and decadal variations observed in the average land surface temperature records represent a true
climate phenomenon, not only
during the years when
fluctuations on the timescale of 2 - 15 years had been previously identified with El Nino events.
Dansgaard — Oeschger events (often abbreviated D — O events) are rapid
climate fluctuations that occurred 25 times
during the last glacial period.
Note that I am not necessarily claiming that this is the feedback operating on the long time scales associated with global warming — only that it is the average feedback involved in the
climate fluctuations occurring
during the period when the satellite was making its measurements.
My own reading of the evidence is that much of the
fluctuation during that interval was due to natural unforced variability from internal
climate dynamics, with aerosols perhaps adding some cooling after 1950 but not necessarily a major player before 1950 nor necessarily an exclusive player from 1950 to the mid 1950s.
«Epistemology is here applied to problems of statistical inference
during testing, the relationship between the underlying physics and the models, the epistemic meaning of ensemble statistics, problems of spatial and temporal scale, the existence or not of an unforced null for
climate fluctuations, the meaning of existing uncertainty estimates, and other issues.
Since such models can not account for the
climate system's apparent sensitivity to small perturbations in solar energy apparently brought about by the very long term changes in the Earth's orbit about the Sun, they may also underestimate
climate sensitivity to energy output
fluctuations caused by solar activity, even
during the eleven - year Schwabe cycle.
The claim in recent papers is that the
climate in Greenland
during the Holocene appears highly sensitive to variations in environmental factors, which I find not too surprising, because that is what you see in these back and forth noisy
fluctuations.
(1) to acknowledge that the AR4 conclusions are not exclusively model - based, and (2) to identify to the extent feasible major
fluctuations that might compete with GHGs rather than refer to them abstractly as
climate variability, so that readers can assess for themselves how important they believe these sources of variation might have been
during the particular interval cited by AR4, and whether it is necessary to invoke unidentified variables to make natural variation a potent competitor to anthropogenic forcings.
If you want to incorporate any of this in your revision, the two points I would most recommend are (1) to acknowledge that the AR4 conclusions are not exclusively model - based, and (2) to identify to the extent feasible major
fluctuations that might compete with GHGs rather than refer to them abstractly as
climate variability, so that readers can assess for themselves how important they believe these sources of variation might have been
during the particular interval cited by AR4, and whether it is necessary to invoke unidentified variables to make natural variation a potent competitor to anthropogenic forcings.
Pepijn Bakker and colleagues combine observational records of iceberg - rafted debris with
climate models to show that the
climate fluctuations seen
during the Holocene may have been driven by small variations in the discharge of freshwater from the Antarctic Ice Sheet, amplified through the
climate system.