Sentences with phrase «climate model expectation»

The climate model expectation of greater warming in the lower atmosphere is based on fundamental atmospheric physicsbased on fundamental atmospheric physics, so this may be the least likely explanation for the discrepancy.

It's important to note that the climate model expectation of a faster - warming lower troposphere is based on fundamental atmospheric physics, as described by RealClimate:

The authors assert that the human - caused post-1940s cooling trend and increase in precipitation dramatically conflict with climate model expectations which project a human - caused warming trend and decreasing rainfall with the advent of increasing GHG emissions.

Tide Gauge Evidence: Sea Levels Rose Faster Before 1950 Than Since In recent years it has become increasingly apparent that tide gauge measurements of sea level rise often do not align with climate model expectations.

Not exact matches

Climate models show that the rate of warming is consistent with expectations (5).

Rapid Arctic sea - ice decline: Summer - time melting of Arctic sea - ice has accelerated far beyond the expectations of climate models.

Arctic sea - ice has melted far beyond the expectations of climate models.

School leaders play a critical role in fostering schoolwide activities and policies that promote positive school environments, such as establishing a team to address the building climate; adult modeling of social and emotional competence; and developing clear norms, values, and expectations for students and staff members.

This last article presents IDRA's major findings in the classroom level indicators, focusing on the program model, classroom climate, curriculum and instruction, teacher expectations, and program articulation.

I guess I don't understand how a climate model could reflect a linear expectation for centuries and also contain a trigger for a nonlinear collapse within the timeframe of the organizer on Al Gore's Blackberry.

Climate models show that the rate of warming is consistent with expectations (5).

As a physics student very much used to operating on the «make prediction; test prediction» model of determining the reliability of a theory, I appreciate thorough discussion of realistic expectations for these climate models.

Rapid Arctic sea ice decline: Summertime melting of Arctic sea ice has accelerated far beyond the expectations of climate models.

Instead of involving a choice of whether to keep or discard an observation based upon a prior expectation, we hypothesize that this selection bias involves the «survival» of climate models from generation to generation, based upon their warming rate.

The disagreement with climate modelers arises because, first they do not understand error propagation and so reject its diagnosis, and second they don't understand the difference between a physical error statistic and an energetic perturbation, and so treat the statistic as though it impacts the model expectation values — in this case air temperature.

Nature Geosci 1 (6), 399 - 403, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo208 note «Climate models and theoretical expectations have predicted that the upper troposphere should be warming faster than the surface.

«Adjusting to Policy Expectations in Climate Change Modeling.

You also ignored the multiple errors you made in claiming that certain effects were not included in climate models, including one that I referred you to peer - reviewed literature for proof, If I was one of your design reviewers and you'd completely ignored multiple specific and documented criticisms about your design, I'd go out of my way to make sure that your annual performance review indicated that you were not meeting my expectations for an engineering intern, never mind an engineer with 46 years of experience.

That is conjecture, because it is illegitimate, once a model is tuned to a starting climate, to retune it later in order to make the results conform to expectations.

Given the failure of the publisher to show any «error» other than the expectation that models be consistent with observations, I think that readers are entirely justified in concluding that the article was rejected not because it «contained errors», but for the reason stated in the reviewers» summary: because it was perceived to be «harmfulâ $ ¦ and worse from the climate sceptics» media side».

However, one technique used to cast doubt on climate models is the tactic of impossible expectations.

The current version of the figure gives the impression that the IPCC expected temperature to warm continuously year on year, which of course was not the expectation — the projections shown here are just the long - term trend either from averaging the GCMs or using simple climate models.

«Climate models and theoretical expectations have predicted that the upper troposphere should be warming faster than the surface.

Unfortunately, contrary to expectations the knowledge of the chaotic nature of climate is given lip service in the IPCC used models.

By August that year, and during one of the wettest UK summers ever, the Hadley Centre had dampened their expectations for the immediate future following the revision of their climate models.

In other words, over the past third of a century — the period with the greatest amount of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions — the behavior of the real world (i.e., reality) falls far below the average expectation of climate models and, in fact, is clearly

Even the «adjusted» temperatures are not keeping up with the theory's expectations or the climate model's actual predictions.

We can see a similar issue in the failure of most models to adequately capture the interrelations between ENSO and global climate), but as you increase the period that you are observing over, my expectation is, reality should conform better with the models.

Arctic sea - ice has melted far beyond the expectations of climate models - about 40 percent greater than the average projection from the 2007 IPCC Report.

Given the failure of the publisher to show any «error» other than the expectation that models be consistent with observations, I think that readers are entirely justified in concluding that the article was rejected not because it «contained errors», but for the reason stated in the reviewers» summary: because it was perceived to be «harmful... and worse from the climate sceptics» media side».

[55] According to the World Climate Report, «Dr. MIchaels» general message was that the recent behavior of global temperatures is starting to push the (lower) bounds of climate models» expectations of such behavior and that if the current slowdown in the rate of global warming continues for much longer, we must start to question the reliability of climate projections of the future state of our climate.Climate Report, «Dr. MIchaels» general message was that the recent behavior of global temperatures is starting to push the (lower) bounds of climate models» expectations of such behavior and that if the current slowdown in the rate of global warming continues for much longer, we must start to question the reliability of climate projections of the future state of our climate.climate models» expectations of such behavior and that if the current slowdown in the rate of global warming continues for much longer, we must start to question the reliability of climate projections of the future state of our climate.climate projections of the future state of our climate.climate.»

That reaction is indicative of individuals with unrealistic expectation that climate models are supposed to be able to predict everything that can change in climate, or those having inadequate understanding of how climate model work, or what their capabilities are.

Very substantial investments have been made in further developing climate models, with the expectations that these models will provide actionable information for policy makers.

The large investment in climate modeling, both in the U.S. and internationally, has been made with the expectation that climate models will support decision making on both mitigation and adaptation responses to climate change.

As Chris Castro and Dave Gutzler write, there is still a lot of uncertainty about how the monsoon might change, if at all, because «the current generation of global climate models doesn't come close to any consensus as to what the expectation is for a changed monsoon.»

-- First we increase the greenhouse gases — then that causes warming in the atmosphere and oceans — as the oceans warm up, they evaporate more H2O — more moisture in the air means more precipitation (rain, snow)-- the southern hemisphere is essentially lots of water and a really big ice cube in the middle called Antarctica — land ice is different than sea ice — climate models indicated that more snowfall would cause increases in the frozen H2O — climate models indicated that there would be initial increases in sea ice extent — observations confirm the indications and expectations that precipitation is increasing, calving rates are accelerating and sea ice extent is increasing.

Here's a graphic the researchers provided with the study, showing the changes, and how they match theoretical expectations as encoded in climate models:

Technology, the global financial crisis of 2007, and globalization have altered customer expectations, creating a climate for technology and process - driven delivery models to alter the landscape of numerous industries from retail to ride hailing.

School leaders play a critical role in fostering schoolwide activities and policies that promote positive school environments, such as establishing a team to address the building climate; adult modeling of social and emotional competence; and developing clear norms, values, and expectations for students and staff members.