Furthermore, look at the graph in Fig. 5, and note that the solid black line representing the A2
climate model input looks quite linear over that time period, but looks exponential over the longer timeframe in Fig. 4.
Not exact matches
Even James Hansen regards
climate models only as reliable as their
inputs, which are exceedingly complex with respect to
climate variables.
The major carbon producers data can be applied to
climate models to derive the carbon
input's effect on
climate change impacts including global average temperature, sea level rise, and extreme events such as heat waves.
Using global
climate models is a way that scientists can size up
climate outcomes using
inputs of historical measurements and estimates of future conditions, depending on whether greenhouse gases are held steady, increase, or decline.
uncertainty in
climate / ocean conditions
input into the ice sheet
model — any uncertainty in these, both present and future, will feed into uncertainty in the ice sheet
model.
Future emission scenarios used as
input to
climate models are derived using integrated assessment
models, and focus on greenhouse gas emissions.
However, since a number of these estimates use simplified
climate models as their
input (for obvious reasons), there remain questions about whether any specific
model's scope is adequate.
IIRC, the authors were perturbed by the fact that small changes in the
input - value mix of the
model produced large differences in the rate of
climate change.
IIASA
models provided quantitative
input to the recent proposal of the European Commission on
climate and energy goals for 2030.
Standard equipment on all B - Class Electric Drive
models includes a navigation system with a 5.8 - inch color display, an AM / FM / CD / MP3 audio system with a USB
input, heated front seats, and remote connectivity, which allows owners to monitor charging and
climate control pre-conditioning functions from a computer or smartphone.
The Base S
Model includes Ford's SYNC wireless communication system with voice control, 16 - inch wheels, an AM FM CD Radio with Auxiliary
input and four speakers, tilt steering wheel, and manual
climate control.
On top of that, base
models get electric power steering with a tilt steering wheel, power windows, mirrors and door locks, an audio system with USB and auxiliary
inputs and, the previously mentioned automatic
climate control.
The base Sport
model comes generously equipped with a 5.8 - inch touch - screen infotainment system with six speakers, AM / FM / CD / HD Radio, USB and auxiliary
inputs, cruise control, and tri-zone automatic
climate control.
Below this will be the
climate control
inputs, which will be composed of a set of hard buttons and knobs, rather than the two - tiered set - up we've seen on
models like the A8 or Q8.
This
model sets itself apart with modern tech and entertainment features, responsive handling, cargo space, smooth ride, and Classic muscle - car appearance Options: 276 - Watt Amplifier Remote Usb Port (6) Boston Acoustics Speakers Uconnect Hands - Free Communication W / Bluetooth Bluetooth Streaming Audio Media Center 430 - Inc: Am / Fm Stereo W / Cd / Dvd / Mp3 Player Usb Port 40Gb Hard Drive W / 28Gb Available 6.5 Touch Screen Rear Window Antenna Aux Audio
Input Rear Spoiler Spare Tire Delete Body - Color Mirrors Fog Lamps Variable - Intermittent Wipers Satin Chrome Grill Hid Headlamps Body - Color Fascias Bright Fuel Filler Door Body - Color Door Handles P245 / 45Zr20 All - Season Performance Tires Dual Black Center Stripes 20 X 9.0 Aluminum Srt Design Wheels Fold - Away Pwr Heated Mirrors Functional Hood Scoop Solar Control Glass Automatic Headlamps Tire Service Kit 6 - Way Pwr Driver Seat Illuminated Entry 12V Pwr Outlet Traveler / Mini Trip Computer Pwr Trunklid Release Rear 60/40 Split - Folding Bench Seat Keyless Entry Speed Control Cargo Compartment Dress - Up Cell Phone Storage Steering Wheel Audio Controls Leather - Wrapped Steering Wheel Premium Leather - Trimmed Bucket Seats Illuminated Door Pull Handles Illuminated Cupholders Tilt & Telescopic Steering Column Universal Garage Door Opener Pwr Accessory Delay Instrument Cluster W / Performance Display Screen Front & Rear
Climate Control Outlets Heated Steering Wheel Silver Metal Brush Center Stack Bezel Rear Courtesy Lamps Vehicle Info Center Rear Seat Armrest W / Cupholder Pwr Windows W / Front 1 - Touch Down Heated Front Seats Leather - Wrapped Shift Knob Front Reading / Map Lights Passenger Assist Handle Floor Console W / Armrest Air Conditioning W / Auto Temp Control Auto - Dimming Rearview Mirror W / Microphone Trunk Lamp Temp & Compass Gauge Luxury Front & Rear Floor Mats 180 - Mph Speedometer Security Alarm Keyless Go Visors W / Illuminated Mirrors Active Head Restraints Sentry Key Theft Deterrent System Remote Proximity Keyless Entry Speed - Sensitive Pwr Locks Pwr 4 - Way Driver Lumbar Floor Carpet Satin Silver Lock Knobs Bright Pedals Rear Window Defroster 4 - Wheel Anti-Lock Performance Disc Brakes Hill Start Assist Rear Stabilizer Bar 6.4 L Srt Hemi V8 Engine Sport Mode Anti-Spin Rear Differential Dual Bright Exhaust Tips Rear Wheel Drive 220 - Amp Alternator Performance Tuned Pwr Rack & Pinion Steering Active Dampening Suspension Engine Oil Cooler Independent High Performance Suspension 6 - Speed Manual Tremec Transmission 730 Cca Maintenance - Free Battery Severe Duty Ii Engine Cooling Dual Rear Exhaust 3.92 Axle Ratio Child Seat Upper Tether Anchorages Dual - Note Electric Horns (5) 3 - Point Seat Belts Electronic Stability Control Brake Assist All - Speed Traction Control Supplemental Front Side Airbag Ready Alert Braking Front Passenger Seat Belt Alert Knock Back Mitigation Brake / Park Interlock Rain Brake Support Supplemental Side Airbag Tire Pressure Monitor Display Supplemental Front & Rear Side - Curtain Airbags Advanced Multi-Stage Front Airbags - Inc: Passenger Airbag Cutoff Hydraulic Assist Brake Booster Srt Track Experience
Ambiente 16 - inch alloy wheels Projector headlights Daytime running lights Fog lights Front / rear parking sensors LED tail - lights Rear privacy glass Active grille shutters (diesel only) Powered, heated mirrors Follow - me - home lighting Hill Launch Assist Load - levelling suspension (Ambiente and Trend wagon
models only) Electric park brake Cruise control with speed limiter Dual - zone
climate - control Leather - clad steering wheel and gear shifter Paddle shifters Auto open / close windows Cloth seat trim 60 / 40 - split folding rear seat Driver's lumbar adjustment SYNC2 with Emergency Assistance High - resolution 8.0 - inch colour touch - screen Bluetooth with audio streaming Voice control for phone, music,
climate and navigation Satellite - navigation with «One Shot» destination entry via voice DAB + digital radio USB, RCA, SD
inputs Inflatable rear seatbelts Ford MyKey Power child locks Beltminder with driver display — all seats Driver and front passenger airbags Thorax and curtain airbags Driver's knee airbag Anti-lock braking system (ABS) Electronic brake - force distribution (EBD) Traction control system (TCS) Emergency brake assist (EBA) Dynamic stability control (DSC)
Base
models come with an 8 - speaker Bose sound system with dual USB
inputs and Bluetooth streaming, and dual - zone auto
climate control.
Standard equipment on the basic A3
model includes dual - zone automatic
climate control, alloy wheels, leather, a tilt - and - telescoping steering wheel, fog lights, cruise control, and a 10 - speaker sound system fed with a CD player, satellite radio, and an auxiliary audio
input jack.
The base
model comes standard with leather upholstery, heated and power - adjustable front seats, a seven - speaker, 360 - watt AM / FM / CD sound system with AUX and USB
inputs, Pandora internet radio, Bluetooth connectivity, SMS text messaging, a smart key entry system with push - button start, a tri-view rear camera, dual - zone automatic
climate control, a sunroof and 18 - inch alloy wheels.
The base
model CT 200h comes standard with imitation leather upholstery, a leather - wrapped shift knob, dual - zone automatic
climate control, a smart key with push - button start, a power driver's seat, a six - speaker AM / FM / CD stereo system with satellite radio and a USB
input jack, Bluetooth smartphone connectivity, cruise control and LED daytime running lights.
If a
climate model was a map, when you
input the «business as usual» continuous increase of CO2, human population, and environmental degradation, the output / result would be «Here Be Dragons».
In a
model that calculates atmospheric chemistry, the ozone distribution is a function of the emissions of chemical precursors, the solar UV
input and the
climate itself.
(Paper abstract)
Climate models may underestimate heat stored in ground General circulation models (GCMs), the primary tool for estimating the magnitude of future climate change, rely on realistic inputs to generate accurate predi
Climate models may underestimate heat stored in ground General circulation
models (GCMs), the primary tool for estimating the magnitude of future
climate change, rely on realistic inputs to generate accurate predi
climate change, rely on realistic
inputs to generate accurate predictions.
In other words, they take the standard AOGCMs,
input a certain stabilized CO2 concentration, and run the
models until the
climate output stabilizes around some new equilibrium.
IIRC, the authors were perturbed by the fact that small changes in the
input - value mix of the
model produced large differences in the rate of
climate change.
As some, the Creative Department at Porter Novelli, for example, have been putting a credible face on
climate models for 21 years or more, the scientific
input may be secondary, for as was remarked even earlier, with the advent of television, advertising has become more important than products.
My conclusions in 1988 were built on a wide range of
inputs from basic physics, planetary studies, observations of on - going changes, and
climate models.
So you take these data records and you try to
model them, and you see immediately that if you run the carbon cycle and
climate models there are serious problems if you assume the release was extremely fast [eg 13 years], because there's a big delay between the carbon
input signal and the
climate response.
«We devised a new method for
climate models to take equatorial Pacific ocean temperatures as an additional
input.»
A
climate model that has positive feedback can be «tuned» by adjusting the
inputs and internal
model variables produce to make the
model produce a rapid, very large, abrupt temperature response, to a small forcing change.
The harmonization was designed to provide a continuous, consistent set of land use
inputs for
climate models from 1500 through 2100 with a smooth transition between historical data (1500 — 2005) and future projections (2005 — 2100)(see Hurtt et al. 2011).
This person thinks they are looking at a
climate model rather than the uncertainty
input to the
model propagated throughout to the result.
So what we did with the
model is: stretch the
input of the carbon over longer and longer periods of time until we get a match between the observations and the carbon cycle and
climate models.
Kiehl observed that there was an inverse correlation between sensitivity in
climate models and the adopted aerosol history so that there was noticeably smaller variation in the projections than would be generated by the variation in the
inputs.
Sensitivity of the
climate to carbon dioxide, and the level of uncertainty in its value, is a key
input into the economic
models that drive cost - benefit analyses, including estimates of the social cost of carbon.
They receive
inputs in the form of information on
climate variables and processes, make calculations over a given number of «
model - years», and then produce temperatures and other data as sets of numbers on a grid.
Kevin, «This person thinks they are looking at a
climate model rather than the uncertainty
input to the
model propagated throughout to the result.»
Whether ocean circulation
models... neither explicitly accounting for the energy
input into the system nor providing for spatial variability in the mixing, have any physical relevance under changed
climate conditions is at issue.»
You may have missed his recent posting about this topic: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/05/21/model-
climate-sensitivity-calculated-directly-from-model-results/#more-86761 It is actually amazing that the global temperature result of
climate models can be replicated with forcing
inputs manipulated by his trivial formula, resulting in an almost identical output (r value of about 0.99).
Anonymous writes: It is actually amazing that the global temperature result of
climate models can be replicated with forcing
inputs manipulated by his trivial formula No it's not «amazing».
«The
climate model is run, using standard numerical
modeling techniques, by calculating the changes indicated by the
model's equations over a short increment of time — 20 minutes in the most advanced GCMs — for one cell, then using the output of that cell as
inputs for its neighboring cells.
More accurate and reliable precipitation data would be invaluable, not only for the study of
climate trends and variability, but also as
inputs to hydrological and ecological
models and for
model validation, characterization of extreme events, and flood and drought forecasting.
«That is, show me a
model where I can
input a historical data set that terminates in 1900 and have it accurately predict, to a statistically significant degree, most of the
climate happenings up through 2000.»
``... the possibility of circular reasoning arises — that is, using the temperature record to derive a key
input to
climate models that are then tested against the temperature record.»
Incorporation of information typically used as
input assumptions by integrated assessment
models of the global energy - economy - land use system, or by global - scale
climate impact
models of different sectors.
We can say that the GCM results (using the same
input forcings and the same
modeled temperature outputs) can be matched with a zero - dimensional
model with low effective
climate sensitivity.
Models have been initiated with
climate values from a starting point in an earlier decade and then allowed to run with or without the anthropogenic
input (CO2, aerosols, etc.).
One problem is that many discussants speak as if
climate sensitivity were an
input to the
climate models which is traded off against anthropogenic aerosol forcing which is another
input to get the «right answer.»
# 3: Time series data to force
climate models are available and adequate for the required forcing
input: long lived greenhouse gases.
These global
climate models typically receive
inputs from neoclassical economic and human demographic
models for calculations of future greenhouse gas emissions.