Sentences with phrase «climate model predictions»

With this information, I examine global climate model predictions of future climate to see whether the models change in what seem to be realistic ways.

A warning to the skeptics — there are very obvious trends for most of the parameters, which accord with climate model predictions for a hotter drier future.

Nevertheless, the IPCC appears to be set to conclude that warming in the near future will resume in accord with climate model predictions.

I started this article before a discussion about climate model prediction began on the web.

Economic model predictions are as inaccurate as climate model predictions.

Researchers also evaluated the accuracy of existing climate model predictions for that region.

Its hard to take climate model predictions seriously when such small errors can project twice the global warming — OR global cooling!

Scenario Three focuses on the political and social effects of a robust climate modeling prediction for serious drying of the Mexican and Central American climate.

It seems that mainstream climate model predictions are failing.

And one more thing that really bothers me about climate model predictions that is rarely discussed around here, and kind of swept into the closet, which is prediction skill.

Not In The U.S. - Rural vs. Urban Temps Main Climate Science Fiction: IPCC Climate Model Predictions of Global Warming 8X Greater Than Reality»

«At present, these effects are not generally accounted for in climate model prediction studies,» study co-author J. T. Kiehl of NCAR notes.

There are examples where it is — for instance in the response to Pinatubo (for which validated climate model predictions were made ahead of time — Hansen et al 1992)-- but this is not in general going to be true.

He said that if he had to rely on the European Space Agency's limited, difficult - to - access data for his work checking climate model predictions against reality, he'd be «more or less blind» — particularly in the vast, uninhabited stretches of the globe like the Pacific, which are vital for understanding the world climate.

Those patterns matched three rather dire climate model predictions: that storm tracks — the paths along which cyclones travel in the Northern and Southern hemispheres — would shift poleward; that subtropical dry regions would expand, and that the tops of the highest clouds would get even higher.

This is quite subtle though — weather forecast models obviously do better if they have initial conditions that are closer to the observations, and one might argue that for particular climate model predictions that are strongly dependent on the base climatology (such as for Arctic sea ice) tuning to the climatology will be worthwhile.

More - severe climate model predictions could be the most accurate December 6, 2017 Carnegie Institution for Science

Note that at the time, there had not been any observational estimate of that change (the first was in 2000 (Levitus et al, 2000)-RRB-, giving yet another example of a successful climate model prediction.

Figure 5: Various best estimate global temperature climate model predictions evaluated in the «Lessons from Past Climate Predictions» series vs. GISTEMP (red).

In contrast to the sophisticated climate model predictions of runaway («tipping point») global warming, in reality, real - world global warming, as measured by satellites, has disappeared for over 16 years despite the gargantuan increases in CO2 emissions... (Ramez Naam denies this)

«TRUST NO ONE CLIMATE MODEL» should be stamped on every CO2 - centric climate model prediction and report that is handed to politicians and policymakers.

The simple, indisputable, scientific summary after 35 years of empirical evidence: The tropical, runaway hotspot did not happen in spite of massive amounts of CO2 emissions released into the atmosphere; ergo, the IPCC was wrong, again; the billion - dollar climate model predictions were wrong, again; alarmist, agenda - driven scientists» claims of climate doomsday were wrong, again; and, the fanatical anti-CO2 green lobby was wrong, as always.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are 90 percent certain, but they examine only human causes of climate change and produce consistently incorrect climate model predictions.

Sheltered archipelagos are at risk from ocean level rise, per long term climate model predictions.

New climate research determined that the IPCC climate models prediction of an imminent huge sea level rise, thus flooding coastal regions and producing 50 million climate refugees, was drastically wrong - instead, the current sea level trend is a measly 6 - 9 inches per century... (Ramez Naam denies this)

To have the discrepancy between climate model predictions and reality acknowledged in Nature Geoscience is good.

There are examples where it is — for instance in the response to Pinatubo (for which validated climate model predictions were made ahead of time — Hansen et al 1992)-- but this is not in general going to be true.