Sentences with phrase «climate model projections also»

Not exact matches

Therefore, also changes in land cover should be represented in climate models for projections of future climate,» concludes Francesco S.R. Pausata.
The correction also reduces the projected warming of the region by 20 percent relative to projections of previous climate models.
By linking climate models to water cycle models, we can also generate projections about how climate change is likely to influence Montana's water resources.
These current uncertainties are also reflected in future climate projections by these models.
At the time, he said «the stunning finding that forests can also feed on nitrogen in rocks has the potential to change all projections related to climate change,» because it meant there could be more carbon storage on land and less in the atmosphere than climate models say.
We have also done experiments with PIOMAS in a climate projection mode by scaling atmospheric forcing data from a reanalysis to 2xC02 projections from the CMIP3 models (Zhang et al. 2010).
Also referred to as synthetic scenarios (IPCC, 1994), they are commonly applied to study the sensitivity of an exposure unit to a wide range of variations in climate, often according to a qualitative interpretation of projections of future regional climate from climate model simulations (guided sensitivity analysis, see IPCC - TGCIA, 1999).
This result suggests that current projections of regional climate change may be questionable.This finding is also highly relevant to regional climate modelling studies where lower resolution global atmospheric models are often used as the driving model for high resolution regional models.
After these threats are identified for each resource, then the relative risk from natural - and human - caused climate change (estimated from the global climate model projections, but also the historical, paleo - record and worst case sequences of events) can be compared with other risks in order to adopt the optimal mitigation / adaptation strategy.
At the time, he said «the stunning finding that forests can also feed on nitrogen in rocks has the potential to change all projections related to climate change,» because it meant there could be more carbon storage on land and less in the atmosphere than climate models say.
The IPCC's climate report draft also notes that «the model projections... do not fully account for natural variability.»
Yes, and it is also unrealistic for climate «scientists» to state any certainty for projections generated from models which have not been formally V&V'd.
Analyses of tide gauge and altimetry data by Vinogradov and Ponte (2011), which indicated the presence of considerably small spatial scale variability in annual mean sea level over many coastal regions, are an important factor for understanding the uncertainties in regional sea - level simulations and projections at sub-decadal time scales in coarse - resolution climate models that are also discussed in Chapter 13.
it is found that global temperature trends since 1998 are consistent with internal variability overlying the forced trends seen in climate model projections (Easterling and Wehner, 2009; Mitchell et al., 2012b); see also Figure 1.1, where differences between the observed and multimodel response of comparable duration occurred earlier.
And this is also the difference between numerical weather forecast and climate projection with climate models.
Different vegetation models driven with similar climate projections also show Amazon dieback (82), but other global climate models (83) project smaller reductions (or increases) of precipitation and, therefore, do not produce dieback (84).
I also understand the claims made in the Abstract of this paper, where the IPCC range value is reduced by.7, but I would think the IPCC projections already include this effect since the climate models start their modelling way back before 2007.
Yet, model projections of future global warming vary, because of differing estimates of population growth, economic activity, greenhouse gas emission rates, changes in atmospheric particulate concentrations and their effects, and also because of uncertainties in climate models.
I also feel that climate change is progressing faster than the accuracy of our 21st century climate projections and that recent observations have done at least as much as our modelling activities in convincing people (including many scientists) of the human influence on climate.
However, using the CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model climate projections, the hurricane model also projects that the lifetime maximum intensity of Atlantic hurricanes will increase by about 5 % during the 21st century in general agreement with previous studies.
I'd note that Hadley sees a median warming of 5.5 °C on our current emissions path, but presumably that's because they model warming beyond A1F1 (see also M.I.T. joins climate realists, doubles its projection of global warming by 2100 to ~ 5.5 °C from preindustrial levels).
The most alarming projections for global warming this century also seem to be the most reliable, according to a December study in Nature that compared climate models against what's already happening in the atmosphere (see «Global Warming's Worst - Case Projections Look Increasingly Likeprojections for global warming this century also seem to be the most reliable, according to a December study in Nature that compared climate models against what's already happening in the atmosphere (see «Global Warming's Worst - Case Projections Look Increasingly LikeProjections Look Increasingly Likely»).
Current projections of future resource use and greenhouse gas emissions used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports and Integrated Assessment Models (discussed further in the third Section) also depend heavily on a continuation of high levels of global economic inequality and poverty far into the future.
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