Mann and Roger Pielke Sr. were coauthors on a 1997 piece in Eos on a meeting of
climate modelers in Sweden.
The IPCC — Andrew Weaver, who is like the best
climate modeler in Canada or one of the best, said you know, meter, two meters at the outside is all that he can show in models in this century.
In that, you risk becoming akin to a consensus
climate modeler in good standing.
Not exact matches
Climate modelers do not include effects on land - based ice
in these regions because they can not reduce them to equations, such as x amount of extra heat equals y amount of melting.
«We may have to wait 20 or 30 years before the data set
in the 21st century is good enough to pin down sensitivity,» says
climate modeler Gavin Schmidt of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS).
«If CO2 leaked from storage and reached the seafloor, then the environmental impact will be measurable, but very restricted
in area and not catastrophic,» said Jerry Blackford, a marine system
modeler at Plymouth Marine Laboratory and author of the paper, published yesterday
in Nature
Climate Change.
When
modelers want to predict the future movement of a particular species, they first establish a set of conditions —
in terms of
climate, soil quality and other variables — under which that species is likely to thrive.
It's for this reason that it's important to understand the differences
in responses between geoengineering experiments, said Ben Kravitz, a
climate modeler at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory who helps run the international Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project.
Climate modelers,
in contrast, do not attempt to predict weather or track individual storms years into the future.
On a basic level, global
climate models are similar to today's weather forecasting tools, explains Jerry Meehl, a senior scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research
in Boulder, Colorado, and a leading
climate modeler.
«These strategies range from lighter colored roofs or road surfaces» that could reflect sunlight, cooling cities, «to something as controversial as putting particles high
in the stratosphere,» explains Ken Caldeira, a
climate modeler at the Carnegie Institution's Department of Global Ecology at Stanford University.
The idea is the brainchild of Leonard Ornstein, a cell biologist at the Mount Sinai School of Medicine, who partnered with
climate modelers David Rind and Igor Aleinov of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, all
in New York City.
Because the CO2 levels were so high, «it's not surprising to see a negative impact, since it's like putting a bird cage near a smokestack,» says
climate modeler Ken Caldeira of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
in Livermore, California.
The more we know about natural rapid
climate change, the better we can help
climate modelers forecast how
climate might change
in the future now that human activity is added to the mix.»
In a simulation of the mid - to late Pliocene, climate modeler Bas de Boer of Utrecht University in the Netherlands and colleagues found that as Greenland's ice melted, Antarctica's ice could have been relatively stable, and vice vers
In a simulation of the mid - to late Pliocene,
climate modeler Bas de Boer of Utrecht University
in the Netherlands and colleagues found that as Greenland's ice melted, Antarctica's ice could have been relatively stable, and vice vers
in the Netherlands and colleagues found that as Greenland's ice melted, Antarctica's ice could have been relatively stable, and vice versa.
«We have detected the human fingerprint
in both the Arctic and Antarctic region [s],» says Peter Stott, a
climate modeler at the U.K. Met (meteorological) Office's Hadley Center, and co-author of the study published
in the journal Nature Geoscience.
The research appears
in the current issue of Science and presents a larger target for
climate modelers to hit
in fine - tuning their computer simulations.
«We're altering the environment far faster than we can possibly predict the consequences,» says Stephen Schneider, a
climate modeler at the National Center for Atmospheric Research
in Boulder, Colorado.
«We hope this will open the door to improving ultralong - range predictions,» says co-author Adam Scaife, a
climate modeler at the Met Office's Hadley Centre
in Exeter, England.
Seasonal changes
in precipitation and water storage make it difficult for
modelers to estimate water availability and impacts of interventions, and the effects of
climate change can be difficult to tease out from other impacts like human activities.
«The commitments thus far get us on the pathway, but they don't get us where we need to be,» says John Sterman, an economic
modeler who focuses on
climate at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology
in Cambridge.
«But
in this case, says Stephen Vavrus, a
climate modeler at the University of Wisconsin, Madison, who collaborates with Francis, «Jennifer and I have been forced into the uncomfortable position of defending — or at least explaining — our position before the scientific process has run its course.»»
Research on air quality
in New York, Phoenix and Baltimore shows that ambient CO2 parts per million (ppm) levels can spike into the 400s, 500s and 600s, which
climate modelers predict will become the norm
in 20 to 30 years.
He and colleagues expect the new information will propel
climate modelers to refine their models to better predict what may happen
in the future as soils are disturbed by
climate change.
Cobb's finding is consistent with a 2013 study of tree rings suggesting that El Niño — related weather havoc has intensified across much of the globe
in recent decades, notes Wenju Cai, a
climate modeler at the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation
in Melbourne, Australia.
Modeler Bette Otto - Bliesner of the National Center for Atmospheric Research
in Boulder and paleoclimatologist Jonathan Overpeck of the University of Arizona matched results from the Community
Climate System Model and climate records preserved in ice cores, exposed coral reefs, fossilized pollen and the chemical makeup of shells to determine the accuracy of the computer simu
Climate System Model and
climate records preserved in ice cores, exposed coral reefs, fossilized pollen and the chemical makeup of shells to determine the accuracy of the computer simu
climate records preserved
in ice cores, exposed coral reefs, fossilized pollen and the chemical makeup of shells to determine the accuracy of the computer simulation.
In the 1970s,
climate modelers had realized that humanity's carbon emissions, belched by factories, cars and industry, were probably changing the
climate.
In addition, the study doesn't address larger concerns about geoengineering, says climate modeler Raymond Pierrehumbert of the University of Chicago in Illinoi
In addition, the study doesn't address larger concerns about geoengineering, says
climate modeler Raymond Pierrehumbert of the University of Chicago
in Illinoi
in Illinois.
In 1980, Exxon assembled a team of climate modelers who investigated fundamental questions about the climate's sensitivity to the buildup of carbon dioxide in the ai
In 1980, Exxon assembled a team of
climate modelers who investigated fundamental questions about the
climate's sensitivity to the buildup of carbon dioxide
in the ai
in the air.
But that makes me suspect the sociology article can't be about scientists directly involved
in doing
climate modeling — the
modelers have to be explicit about the exact meaning of each concept taken into account, to be able to do their math.
Having better economic models should increase confidence
in projections of the effects of various policies, and greatly improve communication with
climate modelers.
Climate modelers go back
in time to simulate past Snowball Earth conditions and find that complete freeze - over is hard to achieve.
«We know there's a lot of natural variability
in the (
climate) system,» Tom Delworth, a
climate modeler at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
in Princeton, N.J., said.
So GISS
climate modeler Michael Way took a topographic map of Venus based on findings from another mission, filled
in the lowlands with an ocean of water, and ran the global
climate model to simulate the
climate of ancient days on Venus.
Wang is a
climate modeler focused on atmospheric particles such as soot, and how they travel around the globe and end up
in the Arctic.
It's an investigative piece I wrote about a Soviet
climate modeler who worked on global warming and nuclear winter, almost undoubtedly was a spy, traveled the world with Carl Sagan pressing the nuclear - winter case for disarmament and then vanished mysteriously
in Spain.
He is a
climate policy analyst and
modeler in the IMAGE - project at the PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL) and has been involved
in the discussion with
climate skeptics for many years.
The
modelers have indicated the
climate is heading
in a certain direction, based on increases
in CO2 and other factors.
Climate modelers have suggested that this «missing warming» was probably to be found
in the world ocean.
In my piece on the big 2007 Arctic ice retreat, I quoted Holland, a
climate and ice
modeler at the National Center for Atmospheric Research:
Modelers now are comparing not just hemispheric mean series, but the actual spatial patterns of estimated and observed
climate changes
in past centuries.
«The same Arctic feedbacks that are amplifying human - induced
climate changes are amplifying natural variability,» explained Asgeir Sorteberg, a climate modeler at the Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research in Bergen,
climate changes are amplifying natural variability,» explained Asgeir Sorteberg, a
climate modeler at the Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research in Bergen,
climate modeler at the Bjerknes Centre for
Climate Research in Bergen,
Climate Research
in Bergen, Norway.
In a recent and noteworthy post at Realclimate.org, Gavin Schmidt, a founder of the blog and NASA
climate modeler, published and answered this question from a young student pondering next steps:
Climate modelers are very thankful for the existence of the seasonal cycle, for providing such a beautiful data set with which we can test a models quantitative response to a well - defined change
in external forcing.
Have the
climate modelers here seen a recent paper: (2013) Xiang Yang and Rajat Mittal, Acceleration of the Jacobi iterative method by factors exceeding 100 using scheduled relaxation,
in Journal of Computational Physics, doi: 10.1016 / j.jcp.2014.06.010.
Modelers of course do not compare just hemispheric mean series, but the actual spatial patterns of estimated and observed
climate changes
in past centuries.
Quoted
in the Los Angeles Times, Benjamin Santer, a longtime
climate modeler at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, made the point this way
in relation to Muller's work:
In short the past decade presents climate scientists both observational and modeler with more challenges that we thought we'd have in the year 2,00
In short the past decade presents
climate scientists both observational and
modeler with more challenges that we thought we'd have
in the year 2,00
in the year 2,000.
(1)
In this case even if they were correct and the models failed to predict or match reality (which, acc to this post has not been adequately established, bec we're still in overlapping data and model confidence intervals), it could just as well mean that AGW stands and the modelers have failed to include some less well understood or unquantifiable earth system variable into the models, or there are other unknowns within our weather / climate / earth systems, or some noise or choas or catastrophe (whose equation has not been found yet) thin
In this case even if they were correct and the models failed to predict or match reality (which, acc to this post has not been adequately established, bec we're still
in overlapping data and model confidence intervals), it could just as well mean that AGW stands and the modelers have failed to include some less well understood or unquantifiable earth system variable into the models, or there are other unknowns within our weather / climate / earth systems, or some noise or choas or catastrophe (whose equation has not been found yet) thin
in overlapping data and model confidence intervals), it could just as well mean that AGW stands and the
modelers have failed to include some less well understood or unquantifiable earth system variable into the models, or there are other unknowns within our weather /
climate / earth systems, or some noise or choas or catastrophe (whose equation has not been found yet) thing.
Then some
climate modelers even have the audacity to publish regional «projections» saying that the Colorado River will dry up
in 50 - 100 years, or the rainfall and temperature somewhere else will change this way or that.