Sentences with phrase «climate modellers in»

Uncertainty... whether a blip in the Five Year Plan or fifteen year projections in weather, even predictions of April's showers by climate modellers in cloud towers.

Prof. Latif is one of the leading climate modellers in the world.

Not exact matches

In addition to tracking Arctic change, the sea - ice record is also important for climate modellers.

The work could bolster climate modellers» efforts to depict the way soil moisture and vegetation interact with the atmosphere, says Kevin Trenberth, a climatologist at the US National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado.

Independent modellers at Climate Analytics in Potsdam, Germany, say the pledges are wide open to governments cooking the books.

The scenarios projected by climate modellers vary greatly, and it remains unclear when we can expect to see the Arctic Ocean free of ice in the summer.

For their scenario calculations, the AWI modellers plugged in atmospheric CO2 concentrations in excess of 500 ppm, a level in keeping with the forecasts released by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Colin Johnson, an atmospheric chemistry modeller at the Met Office Hadley Centre in Exeter, translates what is happening in the atmosphere into algorithms that form the basis of climate models.

«If that's the case then we can't rely on some magical, benevolent thermostat that is just going to kick in and keep the tropics from heating up,» says climate modeller Matthew Huber of Purdue University in Lafayette, Indiana.

«However, it is the bringing together of observations by ecologists, theory from biologists, physics from land surface modellers and climate science in the global modeling, that is revolutionary.»

The wind pushes them out to the open sea, where they ultimately break up into smaller pieces and melt in the course of two to three years,» explains Thomas Rackow, a climate modeller at the Alfred Wegener Institute in Bremerhaven / Germany and first author of the new study.

«If we assume an optimistic scenario for greenhouse gas emissions — the RCP 2.6 scenario, [see Fact Box] which would result in a warming of about two degrees Celsius — then we can expect an increase in sea level similar to what we see in this video,» says climate modeller Martin Stendel from the Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen.

I went to a seminar yesterday in which our own climate modellers showed evidence of global cooling since 2001.

Real scientists (as opposed to climate modellers) have long maintained that the decline in Arctic ice is caused not by warmer air — in the past year or two Arctic air temperatures have actually been falling — but by shifts in major ocean currents, pushing warmer water up into the Arctic Circle.

So what we have in the climate change area (and what I find fascinating for cynical reasons) is that everyone and their grandmother, whether they be lawyers, anthropologists, economists, semi-retired mineral engineers, poets, old academic codgers, weigh in on this scientific issue often with more aplomb and fanfare than the actual scientists (earth obs through modellers) themselves.

«In other words, the projections shown here were made before the observations confirmed them as being correct, striking at the heart of the argument that modellers tune their models to yield the correct climate change results.»

Meanwhile, some climate modellers are already using the SIM data to see whether that improves the model simulations of ozone and temperature responses in the stratosphere.

But in general the tests that climate modellers do when they claim «regime shifts» aren't particularly statistially rigorous.

Perhaps the climate modellers could elaborate on moment convergence and truncation of relevant pdfs in relation to structural stability.

Some of the models also involve ensemble calculations, and again it may be instructive for the climate modellers to describe something about the use of these, especially as the public has been involved in some ensemble calculations being run on their pc's at home.

Scientists Dr Gerard Roe and Professor Marcia Baker, from the University of Washington in Seattle, have now produced a mathematical equation for climate modellers designed to take uncertainty into account.

«The equatorial Pacific cooling turns out to be strong enough to offset the general rise in temperature induced by anthropogenic greenhouse gases,» says Shang - Ping Xie, a climate modeller at Scripps and co-author of the study, which is published today inNature1.

(M1 & M2): We are the very model for all modern Climate Modellers We forecast things for foolish kings and not precocious toddlers By using tricks that would excite a high priest of the Aztecs For example those subjective «priors» in Baysian stitastecs??

That climate modellers nevertheless think those models are good enough to base public policy on shows that they lack the self - criticism inherent in real science.

The solar effect on climate has been discounted by the climate modellers because the variation in total solar irradiance...

This week, about 150 of the world's top climate modellers have converged on Reading for a four day meeting to plan a revolution in climate prediction.

In 2001 artist David Buckland was working with climate scientist and climate modellers based at the British based Hadley Centre.

So far modellers have failed to narrow the total bands of uncertainties since the first report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 1990.

Later in my career as a climate modeller, I expect to spend a lot of time studying geoengineering.

In 2008 Tim Palmer, a leading climate modeller at the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts in Reading England said in the New ScientisIn 2008 Tim Palmer, a leading climate modeller at the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts in Reading England said in the New Scientisin Reading England said in the New Scientisin the New Scientist.

Climate modellers can be relied on to be shrill in defense of their «beautiful creations», using derision and sneers as their principal defense.

The modellers want you to think otherwise and that there is no GIGO or doubt in climate science.

And the inconvenient truth is that whatever smart climate modellers are, they have not the slightest skill and experience in model's validation, that none of their nice climate models has ever been validated, and that none of them could ever pass any formal Verification and Validation process.

This is the day - to - day experience of modellers in engineering, and I'm not at all surprised that climate scientists use similar approaches in their GCM modelling, which is just time - dependent finite element analysis.

He is a modeller and climate analysist investigating the variability of weather and climate features in the higher southern latitudes.

• Contrary to the common practice of climate modellers and IPCC, here comparisons are made in terms of actual values and not departures from means («anomalies»).

And don't forget that the best evidence seems to be that in climate there are cycles within cycles, not all by any means of known regularity, and those can't be easily replicated by modellers who like linear projections.

What's priceless is the bastard nuclearists who are behind this AGW hoax (in France, all climate modellers and most of French authors at the IPCC are in laboratories affiliated with our state agency Commissariat à l'Energie Atomique) are aimed at now by greenies, but with that same hoax.

The reason for the neutrality problem, as you can see from the Talk Page, is William Connelley — who is, amongst his other duties a Wikipedia Admin (which he abuses as much as he dares), an admin on RealClimate, a climate modeller at the British Antarctic Survey (obviously consuming a very small part of his time), and a political candidate for the Green Party in the UK.

But now, according to Dr Cai and an international team of scientists and climate modellers from China, Australia, Hawaii and New Jersey in the US, Peru, Paris and Exeter in the UK, such a double whammy could occur every 13 years.

For instance, Shackley et al., 1999 surveyed climate modellers about one type of fudge factor, called a «flux adjustment», which was used by many of the climate models in the 1990s.

Professor Latif is based at the Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences at Kiel University in Germany and is one of the world's top climate modellers.

For this reason, Shackley et al. found that many climate modellers didn't want to talk openly about their adjustments, in case critics of man - made global warming (who they referred to as «climate contrarians») would use them to question the reliability of the models:

The claim that warming will increase in the future has been disproved by the climate modellers» own data.

In the climate change field, it may be that the modellers, who in some cases appear to try to drive policy, need someone in my kind of role, with enough comprehension to assess the validity of the models but with a better understanding of, and ability to communicate, the policy relevance of the materiaIn the climate change field, it may be that the modellers, who in some cases appear to try to drive policy, need someone in my kind of role, with enough comprehension to assess the validity of the models but with a better understanding of, and ability to communicate, the policy relevance of the materiain some cases appear to try to drive policy, need someone in my kind of role, with enough comprehension to assess the validity of the models but with a better understanding of, and ability to communicate, the policy relevance of the materiain my kind of role, with enough comprehension to assess the validity of the models but with a better understanding of, and ability to communicate, the policy relevance of the material.

To me that's a recipe for chaos, and if you look in any climate modeller's library you will find many books on non-linear dynamics.

Michael and Peter may be interested in the following comment on climate models recently posted by the Realclimate people (Modeller vs. modeller, 20 OctoberModeller vs. modeller, 20 Octobermodeller, 20 October, 2005):

In looking at the disparity between paleo records and instrumental observed records It would be useful to see historical climatologists and modellers work more closely with each other in order that the past climate states and their variability can be more accurately depicteIn looking at the disparity between paleo records and instrumental observed records It would be useful to see historical climatologists and modellers work more closely with each other in order that the past climate states and their variability can be more accurately depictein order that the past climate states and their variability can be more accurately depicted.

Before we get too bogged down in theological problems such as calculating how many angels can dance on the head of a pin (or climate modellers on an ice floe) perhaps we should look at what the data actually show.

True, the choice of the economic scenario used to drive the model creates an implicit potential error, but that's the reason why climate modellers develop a range of possible economic scenarios to test in the model.