Sentences with phrase «climate modelling series»

In the third article in our week - long climate modelling series, Carbon Brief asked a range of climate scientists what they think the main priorities are for improving climate models over the coming decade.

MOM3, MOM4, and MOM5 are used as a code base for the ocean component of the GFDL coupled models used in the IPCC assessment reports, including the GFDL CM2.X physical climate model series and the ESM2M Earth System Model.

Not exact matches

Roger Helmer MEP (TP, December) lists a series of «facts» on climate change which apparently shows that «reality defies computer models».

In the Department of Meteorology at Stockholm University (MISU), researchers have done a series of model simulations investigating tropical cyclone activity during an earlier warm climate, the mid-Holocene, 6,000 years ago.

The researchers built a complex series of mathematical models to recreate the dynamic interaction between the main potential drivers of extinction (dingoes, climate and humans), the long - term response of herbivore prey, and the viability of the thylacine and devil populations.

Vincent Saba, a research fishery biologist at NOAA's Northeast Fisheries Science Center (NEFSC), and his study co-authors used annual nest counts from Florida and a time - series of climate data in turtle - nesting population models.

The new findings of successful multi-year drought / fire predictions are based on a series of computer modeling experiments, using the state - of - the - art earth system model, the most detailed data on current ocean temperature and salinity conditions, and the climate responses to natural and human - linked radiative forcing.

-- 7) Forest models for Montana that account for changes in both climate and resulting vegetation distribution and patterns; 8) Models that account for interactions and feedbacks in climate - related impacts to forests (e.g., changes in mortality from both direct increases in warming and increased fire risk as a result of warming); 9) Systems thinking and modeling regarding climate effects on understory vegetation and interactions with forest trees; 10) Discussion of climate effects on urban forests and impacts to cityscapes and livability; 11) Monitoring and time - series data to inform adaptive management efforts (i.e., to determine outcome of a management action and, based on that outcome, chart future course of action); 12) Detailed decision support systems to provide guidance for managing for adaptmodels for Montana that account for changes in both climate and resulting vegetation distribution and patterns; 8) Models that account for interactions and feedbacks in climate - related impacts to forests (e.g., changes in mortality from both direct increases in warming and increased fire risk as a result of warming); 9) Systems thinking and modeling regarding climate effects on understory vegetation and interactions with forest trees; 10) Discussion of climate effects on urban forests and impacts to cityscapes and livability; 11) Monitoring and time - series data to inform adaptive management efforts (i.e., to determine outcome of a management action and, based on that outcome, chart future course of action); 12) Detailed decision support systems to provide guidance for managing for adaptModels that account for interactions and feedbacks in climate - related impacts to forests (e.g., changes in mortality from both direct increases in warming and increased fire risk as a result of warming); 9) Systems thinking and modeling regarding climate effects on understory vegetation and interactions with forest trees; 10) Discussion of climate effects on urban forests and impacts to cityscapes and livability; 11) Monitoring and time - series data to inform adaptive management efforts (i.e., to determine outcome of a management action and, based on that outcome, chart future course of action); 12) Detailed decision support systems to provide guidance for managing for adaptation.

Highest - ranked climate forcing model (black line) incorporates the decadal series including (←) or without (x) the winter SST series.

We therefore model the lag of juvenile climate dynamics over a plausible range of values, allowing the models to optimize the lag distance for the Japan regional total series.

John Christy and Roy Spencer of the University of Alabama published a series of papers starting about 1990 that implied the troposphere was warming at a much slower rate than the surface temperature record and climate models indicated Spencer and Christy (1992).

Fig 5 - Time series of the (modeled) climate response to a cessation of CO2 emissions.

As such plant characterisation modelling studies making use of climatic and topographical data within time series makes use of the state of evolution of plants to infer the state of the climate.

Additional features specifically equipped for each model are: graphite finished alloy wheels for the Scion xB, iQ and xD 10; and HID headlamps with integrated LED daytime running lamps, dual automatic climate controls and a smart key with push - button start ignition for the Scion FR - S 10 Series.

In the new BMW 6 Series models, the high - gloss black surfaces of the center console around the controls for the audio system and air conditioning form a harmonious and elegant unit with the black - panel displays of the automatic climate control system.

The 6 - Series models come very well equipped as luxury cars, but especially notable standard equipment includes power seats with adjustable lumbar support, leather upholstery, a power moonroof (on coupes), and a dual - zone climate control with odor filtration and humidity control.

Dual - zone climate control and cruise control are available on the high series while selected models offer a five - inch colour screen with satellite navigation.

Entry - grade CX - 9 Sport models are equipped with 18 - inch alloys (and 255 / 60 - series tyres), LED head and tail - lights, tri-zone climate control, auto - dipping rear - view mirror, black cloth upholstery, rear parking sensors, a reversing camera and keyless entry with push - button start.

There was only one trim level in Australia, with the digital dashboard and climate control being an optional upgrade package, and leather seats only available in the redesigned series 3 «Californian» models.

The 2016 Jeep Wrangler Backcountry is aimed mostly at customers living in cold climate areas, as the special edition model is equipped with a series of off - road capability features to tackle the toughest winter months.

All Cadillac ATS variants get Bluetooth connectivity, cruise control, heated front seats and climate control, which isn't too bad in an age where BMW doesn't fit electric front seats on its entry - level 3 Series models.

Response: < / b > von Storch et al purport to test statistical methods used to reconstruct past climate patterns from «noisy» proxy data by constructing false proxy records («pseudoproxy» records) based on adding noise to model gridbox temperature series taken from a climate simulation forced with estimated past radiative forcing changes.

There is nothing wrong per se in splicing records together to get a continuous series — for instance I have just done the exact same thing in creating a series of solar forcing functions for climate model runs — but these things should be clearly explained.

In climate models, the variety and complexity of physical processes involved, and their interplay through a wide range of spatial and temporal scales, must be summarized in a series of approximate submodels.

The article concludes with a series of recommendations to make the process of climate model tuning more transparent.»

With error bars provided, we can use the PIOMAS ice volume time series as a proxy record for reality and compare it against sea - ice simulations in global climate models.

Mike's work, like that of previous award winners, is diverse, and includes pioneering and highly cited work in time series analysis (an elegant use of Thomson's multitaper spectral analysis approach to detect spatiotemporal oscillations in the climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measureclimate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measureclimate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measureclimate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measureclimate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measureClimate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measureclimate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measurements).

This article by Axel Schweiger, Ron Lindsay, and Cecilia Bitz and the comments that follow give the strong impression that the Climate modeling community insists that this time series has a linear trend and will shout down anyone who disagrees with them.

Show in the above figure (Figure 2d from the article) is the D'Arrigo et al tree - ring based NH reconstruction (blue) along with the climate model (NCAR CSM 1.4) simulated NH mean temperatures (red) and the «simulated tree - ring» NH temperature series based on driving the biological growth model with the climate model simulated temperatures (green).

Here we analyze a series of climate model experiments along with observational data to show that the recent warming trend in Atlantic sea surface temperature and the corresponding trans - basin displacements of the main atmospheric pressure centers were key drivers of the observed Walker circulation intensification, eastern Pacific cooling, North American rainfall trends and western Pacific sea - level rise.

Re 106: can the remaining wiggles be compared to the Gibbs phenomenon observed in generating for instance a square wave by a Fourier series... The amplitude of the initial wiggles does not decrease using more and more Fourier terms... Or is discontinuity not a feature occurring in climate models?

von Storch et al purport to test statistical methods used to reconstruct past climate patterns from «noisy» proxy data by constructing false proxy records («pseudoproxy» records) based on adding noise to model gridbox temperature series taken from a climate simulation forced with estimated past radiative forcing changes.

A series of sensitivity tests show that our detection results are robust to observational data coverage change, interpolation methods, influence of natural climate variability on observations, and different model sampling (see Supplementary Information).

Using a recently developed hurricane synthesizer driven by large - scale meteorological variables derived from global climate models, 1000 artificial 100 - yr time series of Atlantic hurricanes that make landfall along the U.S. Gulf and East Coasts are generated for four climate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate models, 1000 artificial 100 - yr time series of Atlantic hurricanes that make landfall along the U.S. Gulf and East Coasts are generated for four climate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarClimate Change (IPCC) emissions scenario A1b.

It is widely used, for example, for modeling and analyzing climate and finance time series and electroencephalograms.

The new research involved linking a series of computer models, which covered crop production, economic development, trade and climate change, to consider a range of scenarios.

In another study, a multi-year time series of surface radiative fluxes and other atmospheric properties measured by a DOE climate program are being used at AER to evaluate radiative fluxes and to validate forecasts of surface temperature and other properties in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) regional model.

It is very simple to explain: Since the ACC (anthropomorphic climate change, aka «Man - caused global warming») is a by a series of cherry - picked data points represented by constantly flawed and failing models, it was decided to remove the PC motivated opinion aspect.

The key is to redo their work, use a series of models with a wide range of climate sensitivity parameters... you know what to do.

A survey of current approaches to modelling of hydrological time - series with respect to climate variability and change by George S. Cavadias; prepared for the World Climate Program - Water, Projclimate variability and change by George S. Cavadias; prepared for the World Climate Program - Water, ProjClimate Program - Water, Project A2.

Figure 5: Various best estimate global temperature climate model predictions evaluated in the «Lessons from Past Climate Predictions» series vs. GISTEMPclimate model predictions evaluated in the «Lessons from Past Climate Predictions» series vs. GISTEMPClimate Predictions» series vs. GISTEMP (red).

Ruane, A.C., R. Goldberg, and J. Chryssanthacopoulos, 2015: Climate forcing datasets for agricultural modeling: Merged products for gap - filling and historical climate series estiClimate forcing datasets for agricultural modeling: Merged products for gap - filling and historical climate series esticlimate series estimation.

To investigate the relationship between SL and BP on climate scales, we considered interannual time series from satellite observations and a general circulation model ranging over 2005 - 2010 and smoothed over scales of 750 km.

A new series of models «proving» that all climate change is natural and unavoidable will dominate the media (OK, that'll take a while but not as long as you think).

This report examines whether and how catastrophe models account for climate change through a series of case studies provided by a range of academic and commercial model providers.

# 3: Time series data to force climate models are available and adequate for the required forcing input: long lived greenhouse gases.

Actually supposing the climate is somehow chaotic one perhaps shouldn't expect a good fit from time - series models driven by gaussian noise.

The March 2018 PCIC Update includes the following stories: 2017 in Climatological Context, Applying the Updated VIC Model to New Regions, Engagement with First Nations Communities and Engineers, New Projects, Staff Profile on Dr. Faron Anslow and the Pacific Climate Seminar Series, as well as staff changes and publications.

«all of the coupled climate models used in the IPCC AR4 reproduce the time series for the 20th century of globally averaged surface temperature anomalies; yet they have different feedbacks and sensitivities and produce markedly different simulations of the 21st century climate.»

A series of climate model simulations studied how dust storms altered precipitation during the Dust Bowl drought of the 1930s.