Not one of these four authors received a dime in grants or other payments for researching and writing
their climate models paper.
Charles points to Reilly et al., US agriculture and climate change: new results — that's a 2003
climate model paper.
3.2
Climate modelling papers that talks about emission scenarios and subsequent warming or other climate impacts from increased CO2 in the abstract implicitly endorse that GHGs cause warming
Not exact matches
A. David McGuire, U.S. Geological Survey senior scientist and
climate system
modeling expert with the University of Alaska Fairbanks Institute of Arctic Biology, is lead author of the
paper.
«This
paper is another example of how surprisingly complex the
climate system is, how interrelated or interconnected all the parts are, and how difficult it is to
model correctly.»
The research in the
paper combined the latest
climate predictions from the Met Office Hadley Centre, including a high resolution
climate model for the UK, with two phosphorus transfer
models of different complexity.
The approach proposed in the
paper combines information from observation - based data, general circulation
models (GCMs) and regional
climate models (RCMs).
In fact, the
climate science literature is replete with
papers that call out the challenges of accurately accounting for clouds in
models.
In my class on
climate change problem solving, I use a 2005
paper by M. H. Zhang et al. that compares
modeled clouds with observed ones from 10
climate models.
Many previous
models also assume independence between
climate models, whereas this
paper accounts for commonalities shared by various
models — such as physical equations or fluid dynamics — and correlates between data sets.
«This new high - resolution
climate model is able to simulate regional - scale precipitation with considerably improved accuracy compared to previous generation
models,» said Tom Delworth, a research scientist at NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory in Princeton, N.J., who helped develop the new
model and is co-author of the
paper.
In their current PNAS
paper, the multidisciplinary team of Rodó, Burns, Dan Cayan, PhD, a
climate researcher at UC San Diego Scripps Institution of Oceanography and co-authors in New York, Barcelona and Japan, say the new evidence suggests that the most likely cause of KD is a «preformed toxin or environmental molecule» originating from northeastern China, possibly related to Candida, which has been linked to Kawasaki - like coronary artery vasculitis in mouse
models.
Subsequently cited in 54
papers, the Science study showed that even using the lower end of 23
climate models suggested that in the tropics at the end of the century, «the hottest seasons on record will represent the future norm in many locations,» with the devastating impacts on wheat and rice yields.
Only two of the 11
models used to project future warming in the most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) considered the effects of limited nitrogen on plant growth; none considered phosphorus, although one
paper from 2014 subsequently pointed out this omission.
In a
paper released Sunday in the journal Nature
Climate Change, Smead, Sandler, and their colleagues, including Northeastern Assistant Professor John Basl, put forth a new
modeling approach that examines this very problem.
A new scientific
paper by a University of Maryland - led international team of distinguished scientists, including five members of the National Academies, argues that there are critical two - way feedbacks missing from current
climate models that are used to inform environmental,
climate, and economic policies.
But most
models have focused on short - term timescales, decades or a few centuries at most, says Anders Levermann, a
climate scientist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany and co-author of the new
climate scientist at the Potsdam Institute for
Climate Impact Research in Germany and co-author of the new
Climate Impact Research in Germany and co-author of the new
paper.
Current
climate models do not take into account glacial flow and therefore underestimate the impact of glacial melt and the calving of ice flows, the researchers argue in a
paper detailing the findings in today's Science.
The three
papers remove a major stumbling block to a scientific consensus, says Benjamin Santer of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, lead author of the
climate model study.
While praising the
models» sophistication and the
paper's illumination of the link between
climate and nesting, Tucker says he is not convinced that baby - turtle survival is more important in determining nest counts than the number of adult females in good breeding condition.
The editor - in - chief of the journal Remote Sensing has resigned over the publication of a
paper questioning the reliability of
climate models.
Climate modeling and observational data suggest the world is already on track to reach dangerous levels of warming by the end of the century, according to the two
papers.
It's a prediction
paper, based upon
models, for how many extinctions that may possibly might perhaps one day occur due to
climate change.
This is the inescapable conclusion of a landmark
paper, published in Nature Geoscience, which finally admits that the computer
models have overstated the impact of carbon dioxide on
climate and that the planet is warming more slowly than predicted.
«The storm was so strong, so intense, that the standard
climate models that do not resolve fine - scale details were unable to characterize the severe precipitation or large scale meteorological pattern associated with the storm,» said Michael Wehner, a
climate scientist in the lab's Computational Research Division and co-author of the
paper.
In a recent
paper titled, «Demarcating circulation regimes of synchronously rotating terrestrial planets within the habitable zone,» my co-authors and I analyze a set of
climate model calculations to examine the dependence upon stellar effective temperature of the atmospheric dynamics of planets as they move closer to the inner edge of the habitable zone.
Indeed the estimate of aerosol forcing used in the calculation of transient
climate response (TCR) in the paper does not come directly from climate models, but instead incorporates an adjustment to those models so that the forcing better matches the assessed estimates from the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
climate response (TCR) in the
paper does not come directly from
climate models, but instead incorporates an adjustment to those models so that the forcing better matches the assessed estimates from the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
climate models, but instead incorporates an adjustment to those
models so that the forcing better matches the assessed estimates from the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change
Climate Change (IPCC).
A new
paper takes an in - depth look at the suggestion that
climate models routinely overestimate the speed at which Earth's surface is warming — and finds the argument lacking.
A recent
paper by
climate skeptic politician Viscount Christopher Monckton claimed scientists»
model - based projections of
climate change are overstated.
This
paper proposes a more «all - around» lightweight ontology for CH materials in relation to CC, which greatly facilitates decision support and merges several pertinent aspects: CH Assets, Stakeholders and Roles,
Climate Effects, Risk Management, conservation actions, materials,
models, sensors and observations.
The
paper highlights the «loud divergence between sea level reality» and «the
climate models [that] predict an accelerated sea - level rise driven by the anthropogenic CO2 emission.»
The
paper says that large extremes of wet and dry conditions that
climate models simulate for the 20th century aren't found in the reconstruction.
The
paper prompted a MailOnline headline of, «Projections of global drought and flood may be flawed», while the Australian followed suit with, «
Climate model projections on rain and drought wrong, study says».
These
papers and similar findings published led to a paradigm shift in the way
models describe SOA formation and evaporation, including a new treatment of SOA that is currently being implemented in DOE's Accelerated
Climate Model for Energy (ACME).
In this
paper we develop
models that measure
climate forcing in long - term trends of loggerhead sea turtles (Caretta caretta) nesting in Japan and Florida.
The
paper's lead author describes his findings thus — «Recent observations suggest the expected rate of warming in response to rising greenhouse gas levels, or «Transient
Climate Response,» is likely to lie within the range of current climate models, but not at the high end of this
Climate Response,» is likely to lie within the range of current
climate models, but not at the high end of this
climate models, but not at the high end of this range.
What makes this
modeling technique truly valuable, writes Andreas Vieli, a
climate scientist at the University of Zurich, in a commentary accompanying the new
paper, is that it's based on widely available data.
The team did not only look at specific events however but also published a number of conceptual
papers on attribution as a science, CPDN as a unique capability and
climate modelling in general (10 - 15).
In a
paper published in the Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, my co-author and I use a three - dimensional computer
climate model to examine the role of geothermal heating on planets orbiting M - dwarfs.
There have been quite a number of
papers published in recent years concerning «emergent constraints» on equilibrium
climate sensitivity (ECS) in comprehensive global
climate models (GCMs), of both the current (CMIP5) and previous (CMIP3) generations.
Brian Beckage and Katherine Lacasse are two of the co-authors of the new
paper «Linking
models of human behavior and
climate alters projected climate change ``, published in the journal Nature Climate Change on January 1
climate alters projected
climate change ``, published in the journal Nature Climate Change on January 1
climate change ``, published in the journal Nature
Climate Change on January 1
Climate Change on January 1, 2018.
In a new
paper, Schneider et al. outline a blueprint for a next - generation
climate model that would employ advancements in data assimilation and machine learning techniques to learn continuously from real - world observations and high - resolution simulations.
However, satellite observations are notably cooler in the lower troposphere than predicted by
climate models, and the research team in their
paper acknowledge this, remarking: «One area of concern is that on average... simulations underestimate the observed lower stratospheric cooling and overestimate tropospheric warming... These differences must be due to some combination of errors in
model forcings,
model response errors, residual observational inhomogeneities, and an unusual manifestation of natural internal variability in the observations.»
John Christy and Roy Spencer of the University of Alabama published a series of
papers starting about 1990 that implied the troposphere was warming at a much slower rate than the surface temperature record and
climate models indicated Spencer and Christy (1992).
With more than 1000bn tonnes of carbon estimated to be locked up in permafrost soils, the impacts for
climate could be very significant, says Dr Sarah Chadburn, a specialist in Arctic permafrost
modelling at the University of Exeter and lead author on the new
paper.
It's a long
paper with a long title: «Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: evidence from paleoclimate data,
climate modeling, and modern observations that 2 oC global warming could be dangerous».
While
climate models all predict permafrost thaw as high northern regions warm, they differ on how severe the impacts are likely to be, the
paper explains.
By Kenneth Richard «Consensus» Science Takes A Hit In 2017 During 2017, 485 scientific
papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the
climate's fundamental control knob... or that otherwise question the efficacy of
climate models or the related «consensus» positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media.
I have seen a couple of
papers, admittedly only in the blogosphere, which try and
model the bit between
climate change and weather based on AMO ENSO and CO2.
You may feel you didn't criticize the Stainforth et al
paper, but you did misunderstand it in one crucial respect, in that you said explicitly that our «the most important result... is that by far most of the
models had
climate sensitivities between 2ºC and 4ºC, giving additional support to the widely accepted range.»