Sentences with phrase «climate models predict»

Climate models predict measurable outcomes: if their prediction is false then they're a scientific theory, if their prediction comes true what's the complaint?
According to Isaac Held, climate models predict that the relative humidity over oceans will have to rise about 1 % (a 5 % increase in 1 — RH) to suppress surface evaporation which would otherwise rise at 7 % / degC and create a surface energy imbalance (because DLR increases with warming nearly as fast as OLR).
Climate models predict, that as a consequence of global warming, the TLT will warm about 20 % faster than the Earth's surface temperature.
While the satellite data now show global warming, there is still a significant difference between what Climate models predict and what the satellite data show for warming of the lower troposphere with the climate models predicting significantly more warming than what the satellites measure.
At one end of the spectrum, if we remain on the BAU path, and all available credible evidence implies that we will, the global climate models predict we will experience global mean temperature increases on the order of 5 C by the end of the century.
If coal - to - liquids fuels replace oil global temperatures will rise a critical 2Â °C by 2042, three years earlier than current climate models predict.
Case in point, a new peer - reviewed study has examined the factual evidence regarding the increased frequency and increased intensity of hail storms that CO2 - centric, global warming climate models predict; and the study has found the predictions to be without merit.
If I understand things correctly, the climate models predict relative humidity in the upper troposphere to be close to 100 % at all times.
Intuitively I would expect tropospheric warming to always be a bit slower than surface warming — is that what the science says, and climate models predict?
New climate models predict that global warming will reduce the sinking of the cold water that drives the Gulf Stream.
Climate models predict that as a consequence of anthropogenic global warming, the planet should warm more at night than during the day.
Can the world turn out differently than the climate models predict?
Christy proceeds to make a similar statement to one we've seen before, that the temperature of the lower troposphere (TLT) is not warming as fast as climate models predict it should:
All the current climate models predict an increasing temperature with most models having a default 1 or 2 years out of 20 where they will allow a dip to make the model seem more natural.
Globally, climate models predict that the lower atmosphere should warm approximately 1.2 times faster than the surface.
Climate models predict that global temperatures will continue to rise, with the amount of warming primarily determined by the level of emissions.
We'll find out what lessons are to be learnt from past climate change as well as better understand how climate models predict future climate impacts.
«It is important to understand these changes because most climate models predict tropical forests may be under stress due to increasing severe water shortages in a warmer and drier 21st century climate,» said Liming Zhou, of Albany State University of New York.
Today's climate models predict a 50 percent increase in lightning strikes across the United States during this century as a result of warming temperatures associated with climate change.
Chemistry - climate models predict increases of stratospheric water vapor, but confidence in these predictions is low.
Climate models predict a slowdown of the AMOC, causing freshwater to converge and inhibit sinking to further weaken the AMOC.
The climate models predict higher temperatures, but that is not the same as predicting global disaster.
Hang on... we've been told for years by apparent top climate scientists to expect less snowfalls, climate models predict warmer winters, ex-politicians claiming ice - free polar caps, hand - wringing news articles of children who would never experience snowfalls, on and on... but now we're expected to believe exactly the opposite because that's what's happening now.
It's my understanding that NVAP data shows as atmospheric CO2 increases, water vapor decreases; exactly opposite what climate models predict because they assume water vapor is a net positive feedback; more wv, more warming, more wv, more warming.....
The current climate models predict that if we continue increasing the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere it will cause dramatic man - made global warming.
Along the way, the vegetation will relinquish more trapped carbon than most current climate models predict.
The high climate sensitivity programmed into the IPCC's climate models is entirely dependent of this hotspot of positive feedback - with the hotspot, climate models predict a scary global warming range that spans from 2 °C to 6 °C.
A major enigma is that general circulation climate models predict an immutable climate in response to decadal solar variability, whereas surface temperatures, cloud cover, drought, rainfall, tropical cyclones, and forest fires show a definite correlation with solar activity.
Firstly, even with man - made global warming taken into account, because of the short - term noise due to the internal variability in the climate system, climate models predict that there will be decades where natural cycles dampen the man - made warming trend.
«These conclusions have potential implications for the coming decades, as climate models predict greater aridity in the region,» the authors wrote.
Some climate models predict that the increased rainfall may weaken, or perhaps even stop, the Atlantic currents that carry warm water northward from the tropics and may plunge Europe into a new ice age.
The loud divergence between sea - level reality and climate change theory — the climate models predict an accelerated sea - level rise driven by the anthropogenic CO2 emission — has been also evidenced in other works such as Boretti (2012a, b), Boretti and Watson (2012), Douglas (1992), Douglas and Peltier (2002), Fasullo et al. (2016), Jevrejeva et al. (2006), Holgate (2007), Houston and Dean (2011), Mörner 2010a, b, 2016), Mörner and Parker (2013), Scafetta (2014), Wenzel and Schröter (2010) and Wunsch et al. (2007) reporting on the recent lack of any detectable acceleration in the rate of sea - level rise.
If global warming were affecting sea ice (as climate models predict), then Arctic sea ice should be declining in a less jerky manner, and Antarctic sea ice should not be as steady as it is.
They say the future is much less certain than the climate models predict.
Proponents of human - caused global warming might claim that climate models predict increased snowfall in the Antarctic, because more warmth draws more moisture into the air that snows out.
Climate models predict that within ten years the Arctic will be virtually ice - free for at least several weeks during the year and the pace appears to be accelerating.
Climate models predict that the trend will continue throughout the 21st century.
Blue represents areas where climate models predict an increase in intensity by the end of the 21st century, brown represents a predicted decrease.
The climate models all predict that as the planet warms, a hot spot of moist air will develop over the tropics about 10 kilometers up, as the layer of moist air expands upwards into the cool, dry air above.
It's true that some climate models predict that Antarctic sea ice should be decreasing, but as Polvani and Smith (2013) shows, the natural variability in Antarctic sea ice extent is probably larger than any trend from the forced response in models anyway.
This allows investors to buy up specific industries, and make a fortune when the climate models predict that the government should invest heavily in those industries for the future.
The climate models all predict that as the planet warms, a hot - spot of moist air will develop over the tropics about 10 km up, as the layer of moist air expands upwards into the cool dry air above.
The climate models predict that ocean heat content is increasing at about 0.7 × 10 ^ 22 Joules per year.
«The climate models all predict that as the planet warms, a hot spot of moist air will develop over the tropics about 10 kilometres up, as the layer of moist air expands upwards into the cool dry air above.
Climate models predict a wholesale drying out of the US Southwest and Central US under an intensifying regime that has already begun to take hold.
In fact, although climate models predict that Arctic sea ice will decline in response to greenhouse gas increases, the current pace of retreat at the end of the melt season is exceeding the models» forecasts by around a factor of 3 (Stroeve 2007).
His initial findings showed a lesser degree of warming than most climate models predict, leading him to question those models.
Of particular worry to him was the Mediterranean Basin: Many climate models predict that water will grow more scarce in North Africa.
In a paper published last year Meehl et al (2011) looked at what a range of different climate models predict might happen in the future.
Empirical scientists should be alarmed that while the most commonly quoted climate models predict a global temperature increase of 3C per century over this time, it is not happening.
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