Sentences with phrase «climate outcomes»

However, learning to predict possible climate outcomes on the basis of both observed and modeled behavior of the different factors that make up the ocean ecosystem is by no means straightforward.

If we want to prevent bad climate outcomes, we should stop using the atmosphere as a waste dump.

There are a number of core assumptions associated with modelling climate outcomes which are fundamental to determining the outputs.

Under these assumptions, continued use of natural gas would delay but not avoid unwanted climate outcomes.

In the previous sections, we have shown the RCPs to be consistent with their selection criteria and to provide a good basis for exploring the range of climate outcomes by the climate modeling community.

All we need is a significant (and it can be small) probability of a catastrophe, combined with a large benefit from averting or reducing the impact of that catastrophic outcome... depending on parameter values, the specific damage function, and the welfare measure, the justification for «climate insurance» could well be based on a probability distribution for climate outcomes that is thin tailed.

Geofinancial engineering aims to improve climate outcomes by increasing the cost of capital for companies engaged in harmful behaviour, and by reducing the cost of capital for more climate - resilient options (figure 2).

You rightly respond to my weakest point: Having emerged from a chaotic and harsh environment, mankind surely sees no need to descend back into such a quagmire, given the hope that s / he can (even partially) control climate outcomes.

The study, simulating historical and future climate outcomes, was published in the online journal Nature Communications.

This not different from asking «What climate outcome do you (or some favored scientists) think has the best chance of coming to pass given present trends in greenhouse gas emissions?»

Global climate negotiations remain important, of course, and a global deal towards a good climate outcome has never been more desirable, but the changing costs of technologies, and domestic measures on air quality show the building and varied negative pressures on fossil fuel industries.

«The model we developed and applied couples biospheric feedbacks from oceans, atmosphere, and land with human activities, such as fossil fuel emissions, agriculture, and land use, which eliminates important sources of uncertainty from projected climate outcomes,» said Thornton, leader of the Terrestrial Systems Modeling group in ORNL's Environmental Sciences Division and deputy director of ORNL's Climate Change Science Institute.

It may be that many of the changes have limited predictability, which means that we should be prepared for a range of climate outcomes associated with global warming,» said Clement.

Using global climate models is a way that scientists can size up climate outcomes using inputs of historical measurements and estimates of future conditions, depending on whether greenhouse gases are held steady, increase, or decline.

The range of possible local and regional climate outcomes may turn out to be larger than expected for regions such as North America and Europe.

As I've written before, while 20 years of intensifying inquiry has greatly reinforced confidence that humans are influencing climate in ways that could profoundly disrupt human and natural affairs, it has not substantially clarified climate outcomes that matter most: how fast and far temperatures and seas will rise in the next 100 years, how hurricanes will respond to warming, how regional conditions will change.

► Translating international treaties and protocols into national policies and actions that deliver positive climate outcomes and reduce the spectrum of risks to key societal and environmental resources.

A similar downward trajectory is evident for gas consumption in 2040 across the different climate outcomes.

This perfect storm of high population growth, slow improvements in energy efficiency, ruthless exploitation of fossil fuels and non-existent climate policies leads to the dire climate outcomes of the RCP8.5 scenario.

In order to generate such enormous losses (of 50 % to 70 % of crop yields), the study not only has to focus on a very unlikely climate outcome, but also has to assume that farmers stupidly ignore the changing conditions for the next 85 years.

When given the full suite of warming and cooling effects, models reproduce climate outcomes rather.

We therefore have every reason to be sceptical of the climate alarmist position and to resist policy measures they argue are necessary to stave of highly questionable climate outcomes.

This is far removed from the single solution of many models which are then collated by the IPCC as representative of the range of potential climate outcomes.

We are left with the expectation that climate outcomes remain uncertain — and the understanding that there is little to zilch appreciation of this in the public sphere.

We expect Chancellor Merkel to fight for a strong climate outcome both at the G7 summit in Italy next week and the G20 summit in Germany in July.

Record - high shareholder support (over board opposition) for resolutions asking oil and gas companies to stress test their business models against a 2 °C - consistent climate outcome demonstrates that this is squarely a financial concern.

«It's very likely that the generation of models that will be assessed for the next IPCC report will have a wider spread of possible climate outcomes as we move into the future».

If the real climate outcomes follow a trend which approaches the near term forecasts of this working hypothesis, the divergence between the IPCC forecasts and those projected by this paper will be so large by 2021 as to make the current, supposedly actionable, level of confidence in the IPCC forecasts untenable.

Emissions reductions will lower the chance of exceeding an extreme climate outcome but not eliminate the risk entirely, and analysis of the reduction in probability is an important policy consideration.

To achieve a 2 ˚ C climate outcome demand can be reflected in a finite level of emissions in a carbon budget for the next few decades.

She currently investigates how diverse groups use the judicial system to affect climate outcomes, obstacles and catalysts in city - level stakeholders addressing climate change, and how to improve measurement and prevention of climate change effects on human health.

«Even when global efforts fail, we show that local policies can still have a positive impact,» Tol said in the statement, «making them at least a useful insurance for bad climate outcomes on the international stage.»

Using real - time environmental data from satellites could move financial markets and improve climate outcomes, says a team of financial professionals and scientists

I have come to appreciate, however, that even if the so - called «lukewarmers» are correct about the most likely climate outcomes, their observation settles nothing.

In 1 sentence: The weather patterns known as El Niño and La Niña could lead to at least a doubling of extreme floods and droughts in California later this century, found PNNL scientists studying simulations of historical and future climate outcomes.

The cascade of uncertainties, and the options for representing them at each of the five stages, can result in a wide range of climate outcomes in the finally constructed scenarios (Henderson - Sellers, 1996; Wigley, 1999; Visser et al., 2000).

Exxon is far from an outlier in using a benchmark of this order, but there is increasing interest in seeing the results of scenarios that would result in a higher probability of a better climate outcome.

And he argued that, in the future, scientists should use multiple scenerios to define a range of possible climate outcomes.»