Nevertheless, as pieces of evidence accumulated, a growing number of scientists found it plausible that
the climate over large regions, if not the entire world, had sometimes changed markedly in a thousand years or even less.
Not exact matches
Examining future
climate projections
over a
large area, they can identify
regions where such conditions are likely to arise, drawing the species to them as they do so.
It's nothing a person would notice — a reduction barely more than one - tenth of one mile per hour — but on a
large scale
over an entire
region, such a seemingly minor change has a profound effect on
climate and air quality.
Over this 100 - year period, O'Gorman found that average snowfall decreased substantially in many Northern Hemisphere
regions in warm -
climate scenarios compared with the milder control
climates, but that snowfall amounts in the
largest snowstorms did not decrease to the same extent.
Climate impacts research is in its infancy compared to science on the physical climate, for a number of reasons: attributing cause and effect isn't easy; neither is collecting data over timescales and regions long and large enough such that it's possible to draw any meaningful trends from their an
Climate impacts research is in its infancy compared to science on the physical
climate, for a number of reasons: attributing cause and effect isn't easy; neither is collecting data over timescales and regions long and large enough such that it's possible to draw any meaningful trends from their an
climate, for a number of reasons: attributing cause and effect isn't easy; neither is collecting data
over timescales and
regions long and
large enough such that it's possible to draw any meaningful trends from their analysis.
In other words, it is possible that the the
climate system does exhibit some kind of long - term chaos in some circumstances, but that the forcing is strong enough to wipe out any significant uncertainty due to initial conditions — at least if one is content to forecast statistical quantities such as, for example, decadal mean January temperatures in some suitably
large region, or perhaps temperature variances or quartiles taken
over a similar period.
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An accurate prediction of the AO could lead to improved seasonal temperature forecasts
over the major population centers in eastern North America and Europe as it explains the
largest fraction of temperature variance of any other
climate mode
over these
regions.
Attribution of the observed warming to anthropogenic forcing is easier at
larger scales because averaging
over larger regions reduces the natural variability more, making it easier to distinguish between changes expected from different external forcings, or between external forcing and
climate variability.
The results also highlight coastal
regions that are well - represented in current generation
climate models (and those that are not) and the time periods
over which coastal sea level may be used as a proxy for the
large - scale ocean circulation.
A simple rule of thumb is that one can expect downscaling to higher resolution to improve the simulation of regional
climate in locations that include coastlines and / or mountain ranges (particularly where the range is too small to be well resolved by the GCM but
large enough to be well resolved at the higher resolution) while not making much difference
over large homogeneous, relatively flat
regions (deserts, oceans,...).
Assuming a good bit of this was added after the natural warming cycle was started we are probably looking at closer to 1200 ppm
over the next century or two before C02 levels begin to decrease again as this natural green house locks up carbon primarily in phytoplankton blooms caused by fertilization from the new
large desert
regions near the equator and excessive erosion from very intense storm systems the develop in such a hot house
climate.
To a
large extent the probability forecasts in Figure 11 resemble the surface air temperature anomaly of the last two months in Figure 7 in the high latitudes, illustrating the persistence of weak
climate anomalies
over the sea ice and ocean covered
regions throughout the summer months.
Climate impacts research is in its infancy compared to science on the physical climate, for a number of reasons: attributing cause and effect isn't easy; neither is collecting data over timescales and regions long and large enough such that it's possible to draw any meaningful trends from their an
Climate impacts research is in its infancy compared to science on the physical
climate, for a number of reasons: attributing cause and effect isn't easy; neither is collecting data over timescales and regions long and large enough such that it's possible to draw any meaningful trends from their an
climate, for a number of reasons: attributing cause and effect isn't easy; neither is collecting data
over timescales and
regions long and
large enough such that it's possible to draw any meaningful trends from their analysis.
What we — and other competent researchers — have all found is that the warmth was far more regional than modern warmth, with some
large regions, like the tropical Pacific, having been unusually * cold * at the time, and when you average
over the globe, the warmth of the medieval warm period / medieval
climate anomaly simply doesn't reach modern warmth.
These range from simple averaging of regional data and scaling of the resulting series so that its mean and standard deviation match those of the observed record
over some period of overlap (Jones et al., 1998; Crowley and Lowery, 2000), to complex
climate field reconstruction, where
large - scale modes of spatial
climate variability are linked to patterns of variability in the proxy network via a multivariate transfer function that explicitly provides estimates of the spatio - temporal changes in past temperatures, and from which
large - scale average temperature changes are derived by averaging the
climate estimates across the required
region (Mann et al., 1998; Rutherford et al., 2003, 2005).