The terrestrial processes that might significantly affect large - scale
climate over the next few decades are included in current climate models.
You say «Simply positing that they are «cyclical» does not resolve whether or not they will continue to play a major role in our planet's
climate over the next few decades».
Simply positing that they are «cyclical» does not resolve whether or not they will continue to play a major role in our planet's
climate over the next few decades, as the Chief, the Cap’n and other posters here have suggested could be the case.
Not exact matches
Methane or natural gas is 72 times more potent at capturing heat in the atmosphere than carbon dioxide
over the first 20 years after release - and to deal with
climate change, we need to focus on the
next few decades.
Yet, there is merit in not completely ignoring other
climate forcers, which could affect the rate of warming, particularly
over the
next few decades,» says Stohl.
By improving the understanding of how much radiation CO2 absorbs, uncertainties in modelling
climate change will be reduced and more accurate predictions can be made about how much Earth is likely to warm
over the
next few decades.
Over the
next decade a
few scientists devised simple mathematical models of the
climate, and turned up feedbacks that could make the system surprisingly variable.
«It's not all sites and all places at all times, but if we have confidence in the
climate model predictions, then according to these theories, we would expect the whole process to accelerate
over next few decades,» Veblen said.
«It is very possible that improving connectivity and quality of existing habitats
over the
next few decades may offset the negative effects of a changing
climate.»
«
Over the
next few decades, the majority of birds currently found across the National Park System are expected to experience changes in
climate conditions, which on average may lead to turnover of nearly a quarter of the bird community per park,» says Gregor Schuurman, co-author on the study.
But you can look at past
climate records, and see no sign,
over many thousands of years, that solar variations have had effects of anything like the size needed to cancel out the expected effects of increased greenhouse gas levels in the atmosphere
over the
next few decades.
My father is somewhat of a
climate «sceptic» and insists that the prediction of 0.3 C cooling is based only on solar irradiance and does not take into account increased cloud cover caused by low sun activity (he beleives that we are going to be facing extreme global cooling
over the
next few decades).
But even with ambitious mitigation, much of the
climate change
over the
next few decades is unavoidable as a result of both
climate processes and the natural lifecycle of existing technology and infrastructure.
Such large variations of the
climate likely won't occur every year
over the
next few decades given the limited global warming to date, but it would seem likely such conditions will occur more and more frequently as global warming continues, disrupting both social systems and ecosystems.
Over the
next few decades, the
climate change we experience will be determined primarily by the combination of past actions and current trends.
This report, «
Climate Stabilization Targets: Emissions, Concentrations, and Impacts
Over Decades to Millennia,» provides a fresh degree - by - degree guide to impacts on river flows, rainfall, coasts and other factors that matter enormously over the next few decades as human populations cr
Over Decades to Millennia,» provides a fresh degree - by - degree guide to impacts on river flows, rainfall, coasts and other factors that matter enormously over the next few decades as human populations
Decades to Millennia,» provides a fresh degree - by - degree guide to impacts on river flows, rainfall, coasts and other factors that matter enormously
over the next few decades as human populations cr
over the
next few decades as human populations
decades as human populations crest.
In Boston, for example,
climate models suggest hotter weather
over the
next few decades while variation stays more or less the same.
Geo - Engineering or
Climate Engineering (CE) is propounded to be such a new field and technology that may «fix» the climate system over the next few d
Climate Engineering (CE) is propounded to be such a new field and technology that may «fix» the
climate system over the next few d
climate system
over the
next few decades.
Over the
next few decades, however, the rate of
climate change will matter more than the total long - term change.
An overwhelming objection is that exploitation of tar sands would make it implausible to stabilize
climate and avoid disastrous global
climate impacts... [I] f emissions from coal are phased out
over the
next few decades and if unconventional fossil fuels including tar sands are left in the ground, it is conceivable to stabilize earth's
climate.
WASHINGTON — Choices made now about carbon dioxide emissions reductions will affect
climate change impacts experienced not just
over the
next few decades but also in coming centuries and millennia, says a new report from the National Research Council.
July 16, 2010 — Choices made now about carbon dioxide emissions reductions will affect
climate change impacts experienced not just
over the
next few decades but also in coming centuries and millennia, says a new report from the National Research Council.
With the recent decline in solar flux and the shift to cool phases of ocean oscillations, natural
climate change suggests that although glacier retreat and sea level rise will likely continue
over the
next few decades, the rates of sea level rise and glacier retreats will slow down.The
next decade will provide the natural experiment to test the validity of competing hypotheses.
Changes
over the
next few decades in the types of aerosol pollutants and where they are emitted will affect how
climate changes.
The potential consequences of
climate change are great and the actions taken
over the
next few decades will determine human influences on the
climate for centuries.
In the first
few years the
climate could cool as much as it did during the Little Ice Age, with tenfold greater changes
over the
next decade or two.
Climate models project a further increase in temperature between 1 and 3.5 °C
over the
next few decades.
We don't immediately grasp the importance of limiting
climate change to a couple of degrees
over the
next few decades.
A key concern is whether the added pressure of
climate change would substantially increase overall extinction rates such that a major extinction episode would become a fait accompli within the
next few decades, rather than something that potentially would play out
over centuries.
It is unknown whether the species that have been exhibiting a range - shift response (Chen et al., 2011; Parmesan, 2006; Parmesan and Yohe, 2003; Poloczanska et al., 2013; Root et al., 2003) will be able to accelerate their dispersal velocities to keep pace with the
climate change expected
over the
next few decades under business - as - usual scenarios.
The migratory map of Africa is tipped to change significantly
over the
next few decades as birds react to the effects of
climate change.
«Choices made now about carbon dioxide emissions reductions will affect
climate change impacts experienced not just
over the
next few decades but also in coming centuries and millennia... Because CO2 in the atmosphere is long lived, it can effectively lock the Earth and future generations into a range of impacts, some of which could become very severe.»
Accordingly,
over the
next few decades the focus of
climate policy should be to: (a) broadly advance sustainable development (particularly in developing countries since that would generally enhance their adaptive capacity to cope with numerous problems that currently beset them, including
climate - sensitive problems), (b) reduce vulnerabilities to
climate - sensitive problems that are urgent today and might be exacerbated by future
climate change, and (c) implement «no - regret» emission reduction measures while at the same time striving to expand the universe of such measures through research and development of cleaner and more affordable technologies.
Further, a large ensemble of
climate model realizations reveals that additional global warming
over the
next few decades is very likely to create ∼ 100 % probability that any annual - scale dry period is also extremely warm.
Many
climate realists believe that Earth appears to be entering a sharp downturn in temperatures
over the
next few decades because of the falling number of sunspots and lower total solar irradiance.
Greenhouse «theory» (I use the term in the same way evolutionary theory is used) is the best, most internally consistent scientific theory that explains past and present
climate and gives us good grounds to expect potentially serious changes in the future (this depends very strongly on our behaviour
over the
next few decades).