Sentences with phrase «climate prediction centers»

Even normal rain won't end California drought, expert says: California will likely remain in a drought this winter even if most areas receive normal rainfall, according to an expert from the federal Climate Prediction Center...

The next couple of weeks are expected to be colder than normal across Upstate New York, according to the Climate Prediction Center.

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center estimates that there is a 60 - 65 percent chance that El Niño conditions will develop during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter.

«This climate outlook provides the most likely outcome for the upcoming winter season, but it also provides the public with a good reminder that winter is just up ahead and it's a good time to prepare for typical winter hazards, such as extreme cold and snowstorms,» said Mike Halpert, deputy director, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center.

NOAA evaluates the accuracy of its seasonal forecasts each year, with the aim of seeing the number of storms fall in the given ranges at least 70 percent of the time, which they do consistently, Gerry Bell, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said.

El Niño, a periodic warming in the waters of the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, will probably emerge in the coming months, according to a forecast issued yesterday by the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The difference a year makes Forecasters with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) at Columbia University first raised the alert early last year that an El Niño might be taking shape.

«Fortunately, we've reduced the upper end, the number of major hurricanes,» said Gerry Bell, the lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at the Climate Prediction Center.

According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, neutral conditions are favored into the Northern Hemisphere fall 2013.

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center estimates that there is a 60 — 65 percent chance that El Niño conditions will develop during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter.

The outlook from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center shows above - normal temperatures are likely to rule for the week of Feb. 17 - 23, with the exception of the West Coast, as a series of storms is forecast to keep things cool there.

For NOAA's Climate Prediction Center to make that declaration, the sea - surface temperature in an eastern - central segment of the ocean called the Nino 3.4 must be 0.5 °C (0.9 °F) above normal for at least a month — and be forecasted to last that way for at least three months.

But nothing is certain, as NOAA's Climate Prediction Center is expecting temperatures in the western states to heat up later this month, which could offset the cooler conditions in the East.

«We would have to see temperatures at this level for about a month before we declare we have El Niño conditions,» said Dan Collins, a scientist with the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), in a separate call with reporters.

According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the current La Niña episode is expected to start weakening in February 2008.

I find it confusing that the NWS Climate Prediction Center issues «climate» outlooks which have nothing to do with the subject of climate change or global warming.

While that «certainly bodes well in terms of our forecast,» Jon Gottschalck, chief of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center - Operational Prediction Branch, said, whether or not that is already El Niño pushing the atmosphere around is less certain, given that the strongest connections don't typically begin until December.

NOAA's NWS Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is responsible for issuing seasonal climate outlook maps for one to thirteen months in the future.

Climate Prediction Center.

According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, El Niño is expected to remain strong through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2015/16, and transition to ENSO - neutral conditions during late spring or early summer 2016.

According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, as of early January 2016, the strong El Niño is expected to gradually weaken through spring 2016 and to transition to ENSO - neutral during late spring or early summer.

While it is unclear how those factors might shift as the season progresses, the wetter California weather is favored to hold for the next few weeks — as well as the season as a whole — because of El Niño's influence, Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said in an email.

The Climate Prediction Center's 8 - 14 day forecast shows the entire U.S. will have increased odds of colder than normal temperatures.

The current El Niño - La Niña forecast from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center and Columbia University's International Research Institute.

«The winter forecast doesn't bode well for [California] and many other areas around the nation currently experiencing drought,» Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said during a press teleconference.

The outlook from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center through the third week of the month is for much of the same.

Look for the Climate Prediction Center's in - depth assessment on its Hurricane webpage in early 2104.

On Thursday, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) released its latest seasonal drought forecast for the U.S..

Bell said that he and his office, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, have been fielding questions about the August lull in Atlantic hurricanes and whether it would cause his forecast team to soften its May and August outlooks, which concluded that the 2013 season had a 70 percent chance of being more active than normal.

(A tutorial on El Niño and La Niña can be found at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center website.)

Any way you look it, from the Climate Prediction Center Outlook through May, to the ongoing warm anomalies in land and sea surface temperatures, much of the United States is likely to find above average temperatures in the coming months.

As of its last update, forecasters with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center gave it a 60 - 65 percent chance of forming in the November - December period, in time for winter, when the climate phenomenon has its biggest impacts on the U.S.

According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC), the next couple of weeks are likely to be warmer and drier than normal — ideal conditions for expanding and worsening the drought.

«The climate system is far more complicated than just El Niño, even a strong one,» Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said.

The Pacific Northwest should brace for a colder and wetter than average winter, while most of the South and Southeast will be warmer and drier than average through February 2011, according to the annual Winter Outlook released today by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center.

Jim Laver, Director Climate Prediction Center NOAA / National Weather Service National Centers for Environmental Predicion Camp Springs, Maryland

These outlooks are a collaborative effort from scientists at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, NOAA Hurricane Research Division and NOAA National Hurricane Center.

Michelle L'Heureux, a meteorologist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center, told me there's simply no explanation for what drives such extremes in the Arctic Oscillation, which she described as both a potent driver of northern latitude conditions and one of the least predictable, and understood, patterns in the atmosphere.

In fact, Mike Halpert, the deputy director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center in College Park, Md., said the drought is likely to expand from the Upper Midwest to the Pacific Northwest, and may also intensify all along the West Coast.

I wrote a paper titled: Earlier in the Year Snowmelt Runoff and Increasing Dewpoints for Rivers in Minnesota, Wisconsin and North Dakota for presentation at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center and Desert Research Institute conference, Oct 20 - 22, 2003, Reno, NV.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center in May projected between a dozen and 16 named storms, including 2 to 5 major hurricanes (those above Category 3 on the Saffir - Simpson scale of storm strength).

It's important to note that a substantial short - term influence on the globe's average temperature, the cycle of El Niño warmth and La Niña cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean, was in the warm phase until May but a La Niña cooling is forecast later this year, according to the Climate Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

The models are gauged against the following observation - based datasets: Climate Prediction Center Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP; Xie and Arkin, 1997) for precipitation (1980 — 1999), European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts 40 - year reanalysis (ERA40; Uppala et al., 2005) for sea level pressure (1980 — 1999) and Climatic Research Unit (CRU; Jones et al., 1999) for surface temperature (1961 — 1990).

While Isaac may relieve drought conditions in some areas of the country, recent forecasts from the Climate Prediction Center project drought conditions to continue through large parts of the country at least through November.

The answer, as always, depends on your location, according to the March, April and May weather outlook released today (Feb. 15) by the U.S. Climate Prediction Center.

The Atlantic basin is expected to see an above - normal hurricane season this year, according to the seasonal outlook issued by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center... 3 to 6 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher)

Center for Multi-scale Modeling of Atmospheric Processes (CMMAP)-- useful information about «super-parameterization» Current MJO info from the Climate Prediction Center RealClimate Blog (Climate Science from Climate Scientists) NCAR Climate Data Guide

The Atlantic is often hit with hurricanes come summertime, but it is likely to see below - normal storms this season, according to the NOAA's Climate Prediction Center.

Despite how things look, the new Climate Prediction Center's forecast for the Feb - Mar - Apr period calls for an enhanced probability for above average rain — about 50 % chance, versus the neutral 33 % chance.

The normal threshold for El Niño or La Niña, as applied by the Climate Prediction Center, is for five consecutive months of at least 0.5 C above or below normal in a key region of the tropical Pacific.