Sentences with phrase «climate predictions as»

It does apply to climate predictions as well as long term weather predictions.

A new integrated climate model developed by Oak Ridge National Laboratory and other institutions is designed to reduce uncertainties in future climate predictions as it bridges Earth systems with energy and economic models and large - scale human impact data.

«It is important for us to understand these natural cycles, so that we can finally provide better climate predictions as well.»

The conference, which runs from August 31 until September 4, takes climate prediction as its theme, and aims to establish an international framework to guide the development of climate services, linking climate predictions with climate - risk management and adaptation.

Not exact matches

Yet some of these recent extremes, such as the summer in March, are way beyond the predictions of our climate models.

That means the future of agriculture as the climate changes could be even worse than this prediction — and that's before taking into account other factors such as the effect of pests.

But he is hopeful for the future of satellite - based prediction — even as it becomes a greater necessity in a changing climate and globalized world.

As climate change negotiations drag on, greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise, fulfilling scientists» predictions.

Upstate Medical University researcher Anna Stewart Ibarra, Ph.D., M.P.A., and her colleagues have created a mathematical model that can serve as a guide to make monthly predictions on when people are at greatest risk for contracting mosquito - borne viruses, such as dengue, Zika and chikungunya, due to climate conditions.

In the report, an international team of climate scientists warns policy - makers that levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere are at the extreme end of predictions made only in 2007, and that natural CO2 sinks such as oceans are becoming saturated.

In 2004, as a young ecologist, Thomas made front - page news for a prediction that up to a third of species would die out due to climate change.

The method combines a model for systems such as weather or climate with real - world data points to develop predictions about the future.

Gabriel Vecchi, head of the climate variations and predictability group at NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab and another author on the paper, says decades of weather prediction data show that forecasts have improved — and will improve — as scientists learn more about hurricanes.

«This climate outlook provides the most likely outcome for the upcoming winter season, but it also provides the public with a good reminder that winter is just up ahead and it's a good time to prepare for typical winter hazards, such as extreme cold and snowstorms,» said Mike Halpert, deputy director, NOAA's Climate Prediction climate outlook provides the most likely outcome for the upcoming winter season, but it also provides the public with a good reminder that winter is just up ahead and it's a good time to prepare for typical winter hazards, such as extreme cold and snowstorms,» said Mike Halpert, deputy director, NOAA's Climate Prediction Climate Prediction Center.

«As a result, some atmospheric circulations systems can not be resolved by these models, and this clearly impacts the accuracy of climate change predictions as shown in our study.&raquAs a result, some atmospheric circulations systems can not be resolved by these models, and this clearly impacts the accuracy of climate change predictions as shown in our study.&raquas shown in our study.»

High confidence in the reliability of fire prediction is lacking today, even as Western drought and the effects of climate change drive up the total acres burned nationwide and also the average size of each fire, ballooning the number of on - call U.S. Forest Service firefighters and the total costs to battle the flames.

Seeing himself as a strict empiricist whose hurricane predictions are based on decades of «crunching huge piles of data,» Gray is convinced that the atmosphere is too complicated to be captured in computer simulations, at one point fulminating that «any experienced meteorologist that believes in a climate model of any type should have their head examined.»

Prof. Latif cautions against too much optimism regarding short - term regional climate predictions: «Since the reliability of those predictions is still at about 50 %, you might as well flip a coin.»

These are the erroneous predictions ascribed to the most recent report from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)-- a document reviewed by some 2,500 scientists and other experts as well as vetted by more than 190 countries.

The IPCC wishes to destroy the world economy and starve the world of energy and food at a cost of $ 76 trillion over the next 40 year's (UN estimate), to keep global temps below 2C, when even their wildly pessimistic and disconfirmed projections (formally known as predictions) now suggest that climate sensitivity could be as low as 1.5 C, without spending a dime.

As can be seen your graph, our climate models make a wide range of predictions (perhaps 0.5 - 5 degC, a 10-fold uncertainty) about how much «committed warming» will occur in the future under any stabilization scenario, so we don't seem to have a decent understanding of these processes.

Oppenheimer and his co-authors use a technique known as «structured expert judgment» to put an actual value on the uncertainty that scientists studying climate change have about a particular model's prediction of future events such as sea - level rise.

The outlook from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center shows above - normal temperatures are likely to rule for the week of Feb. 17 - 23, with the exception of the West Coast, as a series of storms is forecast to keep things cool there.

Finally it is not true, as implied on Page 12, that «sole reliance on models to the exclusion of observed behavior» is the basis of future climate prediction.

But nothing is certain, as NOAA's Climate Prediction Center is expecting temperatures in the western states to heat up later this month, which could offset the cooler conditions in the East.

As NASA prepares for the Journey to Mars, weather and climate prediction are key concerns for the surface operations of the human crews.

A new buzz - word is the concept of «seamless prediction», in which predictions ranging from nowcasting all the way to future scenarios are provided with a sliding time scale and that doesn't make distinction of incremental types such as «weather forecasts» «seasonal predictions» and «climate scenarios».

Her research aims to enhance our understanding of environmental changes that impact primary producer communities, as these influence the ecology and fitness of higher trophic levels, and to inform future spatial population trends in light of current predictions of climate change.

According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, as of early January 2016, the strong El Niño is expected to gradually weaken through spring 2016 and to transition to ENSO - neutral during late spring or early summer.

While it is unclear how those factors might shift as the season progresses, the wetter California weather is favored to hold for the next few weeks — as well as the season as a whole — because of El Niño's influence, Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said in an email.

NOAA's 2008 State of the Climate report said 15 or more years without global warming would indicate what was delicately described as a «discrepancy» between prediction and observation, we've achieved that length of time now.

Indeed, one of the first real - time predictions made by a climate model was for the cooling in 1992 and 1993 as a result of the Mount Pinatubo eruption in June 1991.

As of its last update, forecasters with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center gave it a 60 - 65 percent chance of forming in the November - December period, in time for winter, when the climate phenomenon has its biggest impacts on tClimate Prediction Center gave it a 60 - 65 percent chance of forming in the November - December period, in time for winter, when the climate phenomenon has its biggest impacts on tclimate phenomenon has its biggest impacts on the U.S.

They use climate models to understand likely changes in the future and the uncertainty associated with those predictions, and explain their findings using such popular indicates as the Palmer drought index.

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While libraries have done well for themselves despite the dire predictions of doom following the digital revolution — largely by reinventing themselves as providers of other community needs while still making books their focus — there have been some highly ominous predictions for libraries in the current political climate.

She also discusses his prediction of human - induced climate change, his remarkable ability to fashion poetic narrative out of scientific observation, and his relationships with iconic figures such as Simón Bolívar and Thomas Jefferson.

The problem with the Pielke / McIntyre predictions is not so much their magnitude as it is the implication that the 1950 - 200X trend is somehow a uniquely relevant measure of climate change.

The IPCC predictions of global warming imply that, at the very least, millions of people will die as a result of climate change, much like the casualty numbers in World Wars I and II.

Nate conflates problems of prediction in the realm of human behavior — where there are no fundamental governing «laws» and any «predictions» are potentially laden with subjective and untestable assumptions — with problems such as climate change, which are governed by laws of physics, like the greenhouse effect, that are true whether or not you choose to believe them.»

This is quite subtle though — weather forecast models obviously do better if they have initial conditions that are closer to the observations, and one might argue that for particular climate model predictions that are strongly dependent on the base climatology (such as for Arctic sea ice) tuning to the climatology will be worthwhile.

The 1988 GISS climate model included volcanic forcing as well as a prediction of what would happen in the future if a large tropical volcano went boom.

I just heard the Keenlyside cooling prediction used on the radio to argue that there is no such thing as a climate crisis (by a guy from the office of Sen. James Inhofe, he of the hoax comment).

Michelle L'Heureux, a meteorologist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center, told me there's simply no explanation for what drives such extremes in the Arctic Oscillation, which she described as both a potent driver of northern latitude conditions and one of the least predictable, and understood, patterns in the atmosphere.

Then they need to make predictions that can be rigorously tested — at least as rigorously as the current climate science.

Therefore I think the models for the climate prediction we have now are as good as me telling the world that I'm sure by my model it will be 9.3 degrees celcius with 1.2 mm rain and a 4.12 beafort wind coming from 87.6 degrees from magnetic north on 08h23m17s PM at January 6th 2012.

Specific examples of additional impacts include a reduction in capital equipment acquisitions across the entire lab with computing alone sliding from $ 7 million to $ 3 million, the elimination of NCAR's lidar research facility as well as the extra-solar planet program, delays in computer modeling and prediction efforts for both weather and climate, reductions in the solar coronal observing program, a reduction in the number of post doctoral appointments, reduction of the societal impacts program, and widespread deferred maintenance and delays in equipment and instrument acquisition and replacement.

While RealClimate has called into question the soundness of the paper's quite narrow conclusions of discrepancy between model predictions and measurements of the relative rate of warming of different levels of the atmosphere over the tropics, this paper is being touted by the deniers as showing that the models are wrong to predict any warming at all, and that predictions of future warming and climate change can be entirely discounted.

As a software engineer I'm willing to make a social prediction, if dangerous climate change is averted you can expect a large number of people to claim it was just another «Y2K scam».

So, Jacob, if you can show me a theory that makes as much sense of Earth's climate and makes as many verified predictions as the current consensus model and which doesn't imply serious problems due to warming, I'll be the first to pat you on the back.