Sentences with phrase «climate scenario analysis»

Not exact matches

The Hub is an online platform with peer - to - peer resources to assist organizations in implementing TCFD's recommendations to public companies on the use of scenario analysis to disclose climate - related risks and opportunities.

«We find that current emission trends continue to track scenarios that lead to the highest temperature increases,» they wrote in an analysis published yesterday in the journal Nature Climate Change.

To get a sense for how this probability, or risk of such a storm, will change in the future, he performed the same analysis, this time embedding the hurricane model within six global climate models, and running each model from the years 2081 to 2100, under a future scenario in which the world's climate changes as a result of unmitigated growth of greenhouse gas emissions.

These actions produced models that account for the influence of smaller features than can be resolved in a global climate model and yielded composite climate scenarios suitable for analysis of specific local climate impacts.

• Lead Author, «Technological and Economic Potential of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction,» IPCC Third Assessment Report (2001) • Lead Author, «Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Scenarios and Implications,» IPCC Third Assessment Report (2001) • Member, IPCC Task Group on Scenarios and Data for Impacts and Climate Analysis (1998 - present).

The analysis in the Forest chapter is based on the climate trends for which we had sufficient data and climate projections that represent plausible future scenarios, as described in the Climate cclimate trends for which we had sufficient data and climate projections that represent plausible future scenarios, as described in the Climate cclimate projections that represent plausible future scenarios, as described in the Climate cClimate chapter.

Are these scenarios really the pinnacle of our climate change community's ingenuity & analysis?

When the climate model output is fed into ecosystem models, and these in turn are coupled to socio - economic analysis tools, the potential future scenarios that come out, assuming the world continues its business as usual, appear rather grim, see e.g. the very interesting final report of the European ATEAM project.

Sensitivity analysis shows that future fire potential depends on many factors such as climate model and emission scenario used for climate change projection.

We recommend that «committed emissions» be incorporated prominently into energy analysis, scenario making, and climate policy.

The analysis also follows the advice in the IPCC Good - Practice - Guidance - Paper on using climate model results: the local climate change scenarios should be based on (i) historical change, (ii) process change (e.g. changes in the driving circulation), (iii) global climate change projected by GCMs, and (iv) downscaled projected change.

Scenario analysis creates a foundation for understanding risks of climate change for people, ecosystems, and economies across a range of possible futures.

Again more sobering is «Development of regional future climate change scenarios in South America using the Eta CPTEC / HadCM3 climate change projections: climatology and regional analyses for the Amazon, São Francisco and the Paraná River basins» — a mouthful - titled publication in Climate Dynamics from 2012 that (indeed) uses the Hadley Centre climate model to conclude that droughts in the Amazon basin could increase rather dramatclimate change scenarios in South America using the Eta CPTEC / HadCM3 climate change projections: climatology and regional analyses for the Amazon, São Francisco and the Paraná River basins» — a mouthful - titled publication in Climate Dynamics from 2012 that (indeed) uses the Hadley Centre climate model to conclude that droughts in the Amazon basin could increase rather dramatclimate change projections: climatology and regional analyses for the Amazon, São Francisco and the Paraná River basins» — a mouthful - titled publication in Climate Dynamics from 2012 that (indeed) uses the Hadley Centre climate model to conclude that droughts in the Amazon basin could increase rather dramatClimate Dynamics from 2012 that (indeed) uses the Hadley Centre climate model to conclude that droughts in the Amazon basin could increase rather dramatclimate model to conclude that droughts in the Amazon basin could increase rather dramatically.

Overstatement of confidence, active efforts to suppress publication of differing technical analyses, insistence on consensus, over-egged frightening scenarios, and admonitions from one climate scientists to others to «stay on message», are ALWAYS going to be detrimental to scientific progress.

Also referred to as synthetic scenarios (IPCC, 1994), they are commonly applied to study the sensitivity of an exposure unit to a wide range of variations in climate, often according to a qualitative interpretation of projections of future regional climate from climate model simulations (guided sensitivity analysis, see IPCC - TGCIA, 1999).

Each base's exposure is calculated based on the National Climate Assessment's midrange or «intermediate - high» sea level rise scenario (referred to in this analysis as «intermediate»), which projects a global average increase of 3.7 feet above 2012 levels, by 2100; and a «highest» scenario based on a more rapid rate of increase, which projects a global average increase of 6.3 feet.

A recent meta - analysis published in the journal Nature Climate Change, by Challinor et al. (2014) examines 1,722 crop model simulations, run using global climate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects of climate change and adaptation on cropClimate Change, by Challinor et al. (2014) examines 1,722 crop model simulations, run using global climate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects of climate change and adaptation on cropclimate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects of climate change and adaptation on cropclimate change and adaptation on crop yield.

Access our latest modelling and analysis to gain insight into potential future scenarios for climate change globally.

«The unprecedented majority votes at Occidental and PPL in favor of a 2 ˚C scenario analysis and against management's wishes demonstrate that the issue is material to investors and the markets need useful, forward - looking scenario analysis of the world's climate objectives.

The map below (left) shows the regions covered by the analysis, while the chart (right) shows the total number of internal climate migrants by 2050 estimated for each of the three scenarios.

Before using scenarios or climate simulation results, it is important to make sure you have formulated specific questions you want to address, and to investigate whether you can do that using the results of existing analyses, rather than performing your own.

Applying up - to - date solar PV and EV cost projections, along with climate policy effort in line with the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), should now be the starting point for any scenario analysis.

Analyses need to be repeated for larger samples of region and taxa, and the selection of climate change scenarios need to be standardized.»

IEA welcomes Task Force recommendations to disclose climate change risks with scenario analysis The IEA welcomes the recommendations of the Task Force on Climate - related Financial Disclosures that aim to help businesses disclose the risks and opportunities presented by climate change 15 Decembclimate change risks with scenario analysis The IEA welcomes the recommendations of the Task Force on Climate - related Financial Disclosures that aim to help businesses disclose the risks and opportunities presented by climate change 15 DecembClimate - related Financial Disclosures that aim to help businesses disclose the risks and opportunities presented by climate change 15 Decembclimate change 15 December 2016

The Financial Stability Board, which monitors the global financial system, recently said these kind of risk - scenario analyses should be a part of meaningful climate risk disclosure.

London, New York — 6 February 2018 — The Carbon Tracker Initiative, an independent financial think tank, announced today that its in - depth analysis of the impact of climate change on a company's exposure to carbon transition risk is available through 2 ˚C Scenario Analysis Tool on the Bloomberg App Portal at -LCB- APPS TRACK analysis of the impact of climate change on a company's exposure to carbon transition risk is available through 2 ˚C Scenario Analysis Tool on the Bloomberg App Portal at -LCB- APPS TRACK Analysis Tool on the Bloomberg App Portal at -LCB- APPS TRACK -RCB-.

This activity report presents the proceedings and recommendations from the Expert Meeting on the future of the Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impact and Climate Analysis (TGICA) which was held in Geneva, Switzerland from 26 — 27 January 2016.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has one set of future scenarios; the World Energy Council has another from IIASA (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis); various others are also cited.

Source: IPCC Expert Meeting Report, Towards New Scenarios For Analysis Of Emissions, Climate Change, Impacts, And Response Strategies, IPCC 2007

Source: «Towards New Scenarios for Analysis of Emissions, Climate Change, Impacts, and Response Strategies», IPCC Technical Summary, 2007

Draft Technical Supplement: The Use of Scenario Analysis in Disclosure of Climate - related Risks and Opportunities (December 2016)

Technical Supplement: The Use of Scenario Analysis in Disclosure of Climate - Related Risks and Opportunities Provides a further level of detail that can be helpful for companies in considering scenario aScenario Analysis in Disclosure of Climate - Related Risks and Opportunities Provides a further level of detail that can be helpful for companies in considering scenario aAnalysis in Disclosure of Climate - Related Risks and Opportunities Provides a further level of detail that can be helpful for companies in considering scenario ascenario analysisanalysis.

It is regrettable that the work of Fischer's team has not developed alternatives to official IPCC climate projections, nor critiques of SRES scenarios, and it is also regrettable that several of their analyses are restricted to just one or two scenarios, usually the «worst - case» ones such as A2.

Step one requires an analysis of the baseline scenario: What is the climate impact of your product development or usage?

Basically, a single scenario approach... Nothing to do with «real options» or with «climate informed decision analysis» methodologies as suggested by the World Bank today.

Using an ensemble of four high resolution (~ 25 km) regional climate models, this study analyses the future (2021 - 2050) spatial distribution of seasonal temperature and precipitation extremes in the Ganges river basin based on the SRES A1B emissions scenario.

Financial regulators have also endorsed the importance of scenario analysis for assessing climate risk through the Financial Stability Board Task Force on Climate - related Financial Disclclimate risk through the Financial Stability Board Task Force on Climate - related Financial DisclClimate - related Financial Disclosures.

To summarize, most of these economic analyses agree that a carbon pricing policy will reduce U.S. GDP - growth by less than 1 % over the next 10 — 40 years as compared to an unrealistically optimistic BAU scenario in which climate change does not impact the economy.

Therefore, it is important to bear in mind that these analyses overestimate the policy impact on the economy as compared to a realistic BAU scenario in which climate change impacts the economy.

Trevor's work has focused on climate scenarios and online mapping tools, downscaling to high resolution, indices of extremes, analysis of historical climate data and the improvement of seasonal climate predictions.

As such, the IEA's new Sustainable Development Scenario, which presents an integrated approach to achieving the main energy - related SDG targets on climate change, air quality and access to modern energy, will add a water dimension to this analysis this year.

The main purpose of the first phase (development of the RCPs) is to provide information on possible development trajectories for the main forcing agents of climate change, consistent with current scenario literature allowing subsequent analysis by both Climate models (CMs) and Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs).1 Climate modelers will use the time series of future concentrations and emissions of greenhouse gases and air pollutants and land - use change from the four RCPs in order to conduct new climate model experiments and produce new climate scenarios as part of the parallelclimate change, consistent with current scenario literature allowing subsequent analysis by both Climate models (CMs) and Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs).1 Climate modelers will use the time series of future concentrations and emissions of greenhouse gases and air pollutants and land - use change from the four RCPs in order to conduct new climate model experiments and produce new climate scenarios as part of the parallelClimate models (CMs) and Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs).1 Climate modelers will use the time series of future concentrations and emissions of greenhouse gases and air pollutants and land - use change from the four RCPs in order to conduct new climate model experiments and produce new climate scenarios as part of the parallelClimate modelers will use the time series of future concentrations and emissions of greenhouse gases and air pollutants and land - use change from the four RCPs in order to conduct new climate model experiments and produce new climate scenarios as part of the parallelclimate model experiments and produce new climate scenarios as part of the parallelclimate scenarios as part of the parallel phase.

His current research focuses on the role of technology in addressing climate change, scenario analysis, and integrated assessment model development.

One of the most exciting outcomes from Ensembles is the development of a climate mitigation scenario and its analysis by a variety of state - of - the - art climate models, many of which include carbon cycle feedbacks.

The Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impact and Climate Analysis (TGICA) facilitates distribution and application of climate change related data and scenarios to enable research and sharing of information across the three IPCC Working Groups (FigClimate Analysis (TGICA) facilitates distribution and application of climate change related data and scenarios to enable research and sharing of information across the three IPCC Working Groups (Figclimate change related data and scenarios to enable research and sharing of information across the three IPCC Working Groups (Figure 1).

Ahead of its AGM on May 25, Shell has for the first time published a «below 2 ˚C scenario», yet analysis by Carbon Tracker on Shell's latest climate risk disclosures shows its continued intransigence to be at best disappointing and at worst stonewalling.

In addition, scenarios.globalchange.gov provides scenarios: quantitative and narrative descriptions of plausible future conditions that provide assumptions for analyses of potential impacts and responses to climate change.

Dr. Romm helped lead the administration's climate technology policy formulation, and initiated, supervised, and publicized a comprehensive technical analysis by five national laboratories of how energy technologies can reduce greenhouse gas emissions at low - cost: Scenarios of U.S. Carbon Reductions.

From his analysis, «Overheated: How Flawed Analyses Overestimate the Costs of Climate Change,» the Wall Street Journal somehow arrived at the following headline for Cass's recent op - ed: Doomsday Climate Scenarios Are a Joke.

In order to underpin scenario analysis of the World Energy Outlook, an extensive effort is made to update and expand the list of energy and climate - related policies and measures that feed into our modelling.