Sentences with phrase «climate space»

Even so, some loss of suitable climate space appears to be in store within the range occupied today.
Unfortunately, change in summer is predicted to trend the opposite direction, with a projected 70 % decrease in available summer climate space.
The model projects a largely stable and potentially expanding winter climate space for the three populations.
Some of the more widespread and northern populations may adapt to newly available climate space, but others will not.
However, this comes at the cost of significant loss of current winter climate space.
Audubon's climate model forecasts little change in winter, but a large in climate space in summer, with only 39 % remaining stable, and a substantial drift northward of the range.
Audubon's climate model predicts a significantly shifting climate space for this species, especially in summer, with only 19 % remaining stable and a large northward and even farther inland movement.
In both winter and summer, suitable climate space for this species is projected to decline by three quarters as the species is pushed further up the elevational gradient.
Audubon's climate model projects a rapidly changing future for this species in summer, with only 12 % of the current core range remaining stable by 2080 and a rapidly shifting climate space northward and westward.
The model shows a fair bit of suitable climate space opening up in Arizona and southern California, but this sedentary jay is highly unlikely to disperse that far.
Instead, the species is forecast to spread northward and inland in winter — not only in the Northeast, where it is currently centered, but also in the Northwest, but with over 50 percent loss in current climate space.
Though Audubon's climate model projects this species ideal climate space may increase by more than half, only one - fifth of the species» current range will remain stable, and the map clearly shows this with the range shifting noticeably to the north.
«These findings add to mounting evidence suggesting that there are sweet spots or «windows of opportunity» within climate space where so - called boundary conditions, such as the level of atmospheric CO2 or the size of continental ice sheets, make abrupt change more likely to occur.
Adding to this threat, Audubon's climate model projects an 87 percent loss of current winter range by 2080, dispersing suitable wintering climate space across the interior of the eastern US.
Audubon's climate model portends a problematic future for this sought - after Florida endemic, with none of the currently suitable climate space forecast to exist in that condition by century's end.
And like its Interior West counterparts, the Dusky is forecast by Audubon's climate model to undergo a potentially vast expansion of the winter climate space into the southeastern U.S., with pine savannahs and disturbed «edge» habitats perhaps particularly propitious.
The projected suitable climate space along the Atlantic Coast (in the Carolinas, for instance) might offer room for expansion from the recent range gains in Florida.
Audubon's climate model forecasts strong contraction and shifting of climate - suitable range in summer, but a near tripling of workable climate space in winter.
It remains to be seen if ravens are so hardy and adaptable that they may be able to «ignore» changing climate space with relative impunity.
But those predictions are tempered somewhat by the model's «over-prediction» of current climate space well to the east of the Varied Thrush's actual range.
Unfortunately, the Sandwich Tern's losses may be even more severe than the Royal's, with a significant decline in suitable climate space during the winter winter and only 13 percent of current space remaining stable.
Audubon's climate model projects a nearly total shift in summer climate space for this species, so it will likely need to adapt to new regions well north of the current breeding areas.
Audubon's climate model forecasts a major shift of climate space in summer, with an 80 percent loss of current range.
If grasslands can develop in the new climatically suitable areas, the Bobolink may be able to ride the wave of northward shifting climate space.
Audubon's climate model forecasts only modest changes in the total amount of climatically favorable space, but large - scale geographic disruptions may be in the offing, as only 20 % of the existing summer range remanis stable and new areas of suitable climate space open up in eastern Canada.
Audubon's climate model forecasts overall winter gains and summer losses for the species, but the bigger story is substantial northward movement of suitable climate space at both times of year.
Already facing challenges as the prairies — and prairie dog colonies (a favorite food item)-- are converted to agricultural and cattle grazing fields, Audubon's climate model now projects a significant shift (only 6 % remaining stable) and reduction (by 84 %) of summer climate space for this species.
While the available climate space for this species may expand, only 38 % of the current range will remain stable, and it will remain to be seen if the new areas are suitable for this tern to breed.
Audubon's climate model projects a radical shift in winter climate space for this species, with only 6 % of the current remaining stable by 2080.
Audubon's climate model projects huge shifts for the Gila Woodpecker, with suitable climate space in summer increasing significantly but shifting radically, with only 23 % of summer range remaining stable.
Mountain species are at risk as warming shifts climates uphill and those living at the tops of mountains run out of suitable climate space.
Such models focus on changes in the distribution or extent of species» «climate space», but the broad range of climate - change - related stresses that affect population ecology and physiology and that may have consequences at ecosystem and community levels [12] are not fully reflected.
Things have transformed in the climate space very quickly.
Even if the climate space is favorable, this egret is closely tied with salt water habitats.
Our organization, which focuses on igniting action to develop and implement «negative emission» systems capable of cleaning up excess carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, hopes to help BECI demonstrate its leadership in emerging issues across the energy and climate space.
Audubon's climate model shows a dramatic expansion of the winter climate space — from a present - day stronghold along the U.S. — Mexico border to much of the southeastern U.S. and north into the Mid-Atlantic.
Like many other northern forest birds, Audubon's climate model indicates a significant shift and decrease in summer climate space — only 22 % of current range will remain stable, with a concurrent 41 % decrease in total summer area available.
Unfortunately, this expansion of the winter area will be accompanied by a drastic reduction of suitable summer climate space: with the projected desertification of the Interior West, only 13 % of the current summer area will be suitable by 2080.
Suitable winter climate space may spread north into areas occupied by the species only in summer, but those modest gains in winter in the north are predicted to be insufficient in the face of larger losses of suitable climate space from the current summer range.
Audubon's climate model projects a 59 precent loss of current summer range by 2080, with much of the suitable climate space having shifted northeast.
Audubon's climate model shows substantial loss of suitable climate space in summer as the southern portions of the present range become unavailable.
Audubon's climate model forecasts a significant shift of the summer climate space, leaving only 26 % of the current core stable.
The most striking aspect of Audubon's climate model concerns the winter range, forecasting overall loss of suitable climate space, but also projecting extensive colonization of the southwestern U.S., Atlantic Canada and, even more remarkably, the eastern Great Lakes.
Audubon's climate model shows substantial losses of suitable climate space in the winter.
Audubon's climate model projects a total shift in summer climate space — with none of the core range stable or included by 2080.
Genes are changing, species» physiology and physical features such as body size are changing, species are rapidly moving to keep track of suitable climate space, and there are now signs of entire ecosystems under stress,» said study lead author Dr Brett Scheffers of the University of Florida, in a press release.
Thankfully, the Canada Warbler breeds in scrubby, second - growth areas, so it may not take long for its preferred habitat to generate in an expanding (by 34 percent) climate space - if the birds are around to find it.
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