«The scenario results suggest a strong dependence of the deployment of solar energy on the climate stabilization level, with significant growth expected in the median cases until 2030 and in particular until 2050 in the most ambitious
climate stabilization scenarios.
Not exact matches
As can be seen your graph, our
climate models make a wide range of predictions (perhaps 0.5 - 5 degC, a 10-fold uncertainty) about how much «committed warming» will occur in the future under any
stabilization scenario, so we don't seem to have a decent understanding of these processes.
To derive the
climate projections for this assessment, we employed 20 general circulation models to consider two
scenarios of global carbon emissions: one where atmospheric greenhouse gases are stabilized by the end of the century and the other where it grows on its current path (the
stabilization [RCP4.5] and business - as - usual [RCP8.5] emission
scenarios, respectively).
A large ensemble of Earth system model simulations, constrained by geological and historical observations of past
climate change, demonstrates our self ‐ adjusting mitigation approach for a range of
climate stabilization targets ranging from 1.5 to 4.5 °C, and generates AMP
scenarios up to year 2300 for surface warming, carbon emissions, atmospheric CO2, global mean sea level, and surface ocean acidification.
The projected increase in annual average daily maximum temperature (°F) for each
climate division in Montana for the periods 2049 - 2069 and 2070 - 2099 for (A)
stabilization (RCP4.5) and (B) business - as - usual (RCP8.5) emission
scenarios.
Unlike the
scenarios developed by the IPCC and reported in Nakicenovic et al. (2000), which examined possible global futures and associated greenhouse - related emissions in the absence of measures designed to limit anthropogenic
climate change, RCP4.5 is a
stabilization scenario and assumes that
climate policies, in this instance the introduction of a set of global greenhouse gas emissions prices, are invoked to achieve the goal of limiting emissions and radiative forcing.
Ackerman et al. (2009, see note 8 above) review this and several other studies, including a recent report from the Potsdam Institute for
Climate Impact Research (Knopf, B., O. Edenhofer, H. Turton, T. Barker, S. Scrieciu, M. Leimbach, L. Baumstark and A. Kitous (2008), «Report on First Assessment of low
stabilization scenarios») which reports modeled costs for
stabilization at 400 ppm CO2 equivalent as remaining under 2.5 % cumulative GWP losses to 2100.
To counter this business - as - usual
scenario, the Stern Review proposes a
climate stabilization regime in which greenhouse gas emissions would peak by 2015 and then drop 1 percent per year after that, so as to stabilize at a 550 ppm CO2e (with a significant chance that the global average temperature increase would thereby be kept down to 3 °C).
The WGI report is based on a new type of
scenarios of future anthropogenic emissions called Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), which include a mitigation
scenario leading to a very low
climate forcing, two
stabilization scenarios and one
scenario with very high GHG emissions.
CSO's carbon metric functions by comparing the GHG emissions of organizations to specific targets taken from science - based
climate change mitigation /
stabilization scenarios.
Abstract: An evaluation of analyses sponsored by the predecessor to the U.K. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) of the global impacts of
climate change under various mitigation
scenarios (including CO2
stabilization at 550 and 750 ppm) coupled with an examination of the relative costs associated with different schemes to either mitigate
climate change or reduce vulnerability to various
climate - sensitive hazards (namely, malaria, hunger, water shortage, coastal flooding, and losses of global forests and coastal wetlands) indicates that, at least for the next few decades, risks and / or threats associated with these hazards would be lowered much more effectively and economically by reducing current and future vulnerability to those hazards rather than through
stabilization.
This year, the report introduces the Sustainable Development
Scenario, which offers an integrated way to achieve a range of goals:
climate stabilization, cleaner air and universal access to modern energy.