Not exact matches
By the University of Southampton A decline in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) levels led to a fundamental shift in the
behaviour of the Earth's
climate system around one million years ago, according to new research led by the University of Southampton.
The lower screen manages
climate control and Terrain Response, the
system that tailors the Range Rover Velar's
behaviour in various off - road scenarios.
This is OK when you can completely control the replicability of a situation (eg changing the CO2 in a glass bottle) but rather more difficult in the case of the planet you are living on, when the inferences have to be made on the basis of both what happens in a glass bottle (physics) and what the observed
behaviour of the unique subject (the planetary
climate system) has been in terms of recent observations and its geological history.
Often these correlations mysteriously change phase with time, which is usually described as evidence of the non-linearity of the
climate system, but in fact is the expected
behaviour when there is no actual coherence.
The
climate system as a whole is one of those topics where complexity is intrinsic, and while the
behaviour of simpler
systems or subsystems is fascinating, one can't avoid looking directly at the emergent properties of the whole
system — of which the actual temperature changes from month to month are but one.
That the
climate is main unpredictable and that is
behaviour is best modelled as a chaotic unpredictable
system with small predictable perturbation.
The
climate modeler, on the other hand, is not interested in the
system's
behaviour at a particular point in time.
The ocean - atmosphere
climate system is certainly a complex
system, and capable of some surprising
behaviours, but there is no evidence that it is chaotic in the formal sense.
«A dynamical
system such as the
climate system, governed by nonlinear deterministic equations (see Nonlinearity), may exhibit erratic or chaotic
behaviour in the sense that very small changes in the initial state of the
system in time lead to large and apparently unpredictable changes in its temporal evolution.
The Rossby Centre pursues research on
climate processes and the
behaviour of the
climate system.
The start point is that C20th
climate behaviour can not be explained adequately unless the
climate system is responsive to radiative forcing.
Obviously the
climate system is incredibly complex and full of unknowns — but taking a physical basis and making simplifications and assumptions can have predictive power over long term average
behaviour without being perfect.
As an outsider, one is struck by how difficult it is to perform a formal experiment in
climate science, yet the question of feedback demands experiments, as opposed to models, to identify critical
system behaviours.
The richness of
climate data
behaviour, «decade by decade and century by century, testifies to the fundamentally chaotic nature of the
system that we are attempting to predict.
I take the quote seriously — there are people out there who do «hope» that we are in the midst of sundry
climate - linked crises, some manifesting already, others building up in the
system to whack us later, The macabre claiming for their own purposes, each and every newsworthy piece of bad weather or related adverse events, is part of this peculiar, profoundly irresponsible
behaviour *.
Rather than attack Tom you should see him as an example of
climate scientists of all persuasions who are trying to analyse the
behaviour of complex chaotic
systems by the application of simplistic relationships studied in a laboratory.
Our collective cognitive belief
systems and the resulting
behaviours they engender will play pivotal roles in our failure or success in mitigating and adapting to the vast challenges of both Peak Oil and
Climate Change.
In the case of global
climate no unprecedented
climate behaviours are observed so the Null Hypothesis decrees that the
climate system has not changed.
Michael Chriton posed the question «if we can not acurately model the stock market to the point we can predict it's
behaviour, what makes us think we can model a far more complex
system, being the
climate».
The most characteristic
behaviour of the Grand
Climate System is relatively stable states punctuated by abrupt shifts that owe more to internal dynamics of the system as a whole than external factors such as greenhouse
System is relatively stable states punctuated by abrupt shifts that owe more to internal dynamics of the
system as a whole than external factors such as greenhouse
system as a whole than external factors such as greenhouse gases.
The UK's silent consensus to talk about
climate — at some later date — simply means those choices will be made without debate, as though huge changes to our infrastructure, buildings, equipment,
behaviours and food
system can be delivered by a few technocrats working under the radar.
It is perhaps excusable that you can't get your head around the physical
behaviour of the
climate system, but that doesn't mean that everyone else who has studied it is a moron who is missing your supposed insight.
A
system - dynamics model that couples a psychological model of
behaviour with a model of emissions and
climate change shows that
behaviour can influence global temperature in the year 2100 by up to 1.5 °C.
If you imagine into existence a model that has zero sensitivity to CO2 but which otherwise simulates every directly observable
behaviour of the earth
system in perfect detail, then sure, we might well consider that the
climate system sensitivity could be zero.
Non-linear
behaviours are much less predictable and several factors increase the non-linearity of the
climate system as a whole, thereby decreasing the predictability of
climate systems in general.
But what is * not true * is the belief that the
climate system * now * is capable of internally - forced
behaviour that explains modern observations.
The problem is multiplied by having to explain the
behaviour of complex, multi-factorial
systems, and their inherent uncertainties, all of which are well exemplified by our
climate.
Both
climate - change deniers and
climate - change alarmists are wrong on their claims about the implications of this [Northern Hemisphere] winter and how they interpret the
behaviour of the earth's climatic
system over the past 2000 years.
climate sensitivity is provided as a range of estimates due to underlying uncertainty in the
behaviour of some aspects of the
climate system as the planet warms.
A major limitation is the fact that the calibration phase for these semi-empirical models does not cover the range of
climate -
system behaviour that might be expected for the 21st century, i.e., significant loss of ice from the large polar ice sheets.
The
climate system has many physical feedbacks which will lend to the creation of possible oscillatory
behaviour.