Under the earth's
climate system events closer to the midpoint of the climate range occur much more frequently than events closer to the extremes, as shown in the graphic on the right.
Not exact matches
Thaddeus R. Miller, an Arizona State University scientist who helps lead a national research network focused on «Urban Resilience to Extreme
Events,» said in an email that boosting the capacity of cities to stay safe and prosperous in a turbulent
climate requires a culture shift as much as hardening physical
systems:
Among the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are the following: (1) worldwide economic, political, and capital markets conditions and other factors beyond the Company's control, including natural and other disasters or
climate change affecting the operations of the Company or its customers and suppliers; (2) the Company's credit ratings and its cost of capital; (3) competitive conditions and customer preferences; (4) foreign currency exchange rates and fluctuations in those rates; (5) the timing and market acceptance of new product offerings; (6) the availability and cost of purchased components, compounds, raw materials and energy (including oil and natural gas and their derivatives) due to shortages, increased demand or supply interruptions (including those caused by natural and other disasters and other
events); (7) the impact of acquisitions, strategic alliances, divestitures, and other unusual
events resulting from portfolio management actions and other evolving business strategies, and possible organizational restructuring; (8) generating fewer productivity improvements than estimated; (9) unanticipated problems or delays with the phased implementation of a global enterprise resource planning (ERP)
system, or security breaches and other disruptions to the Company's information technology infrastructure; (10) financial market risks that may affect the Company's funding obligations under defined benefit pension and postretirement plans; and (11) legal proceedings, including significant developments that could occur in the legal and regulatory proceedings described in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the year ended Dec. 31, 2017, and any subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10 - Q (the «Reports»).
Speaking at the launch
event, European Commissioner for
Climate Action & Energy Miguel Arias Cañete said: «The European energy sector is undergoing a change of paradigm - from a
system based on fossil fuels, towards a more efficient, more sustainable, clean energy sector.
It states, in part, «Creating a sustainable regional food
system that meets [the $ 1 billion] demand and offers equal access to nutritious food will improve public health, bolster the city's «good food» economy, build resilience in the wake of extreme weather
events and reduce the city's «foodprint» as a way to mitigate the impacts of
climate change.»
Reconstructing past
climate records can help scientists determine both natural patterns and the ways in which future glacial
events and greenhouse gas emissions may affect global
systems.
The Nature Conservancy hopes that what it learns about the project will make it easier for other communities weighing similar projects to move forward with natural
systems, McLeod said last week, speaking on a panel about
climate adaptation and resilience at the same
event as Bostick.
If it turns out
climate change is making extreme weather
events more likely, it is important to help locals build resilience, for instance by building irrigation
systems to cope with drought, says Grainne Moloney, a chief technical adviser with FAO Somalia, a division of the UN's Food and Agriculture Organization.
Scientists are interested in studying ancient warming
events to understand how the Earth behaves when the
climate system is dramatically perturbed.
On Earth, this relationship between distant
events in a planet's
climate system is known as teleconnection.
The new research confirms heavy rainfall
events are increasing across the Gulf Coast region because of human interference with the
climate system.
His main research interests are in the development and application of probabilistic concepts and methods to civil and marine engineering, including: structural reliability; life - cycle cost analysis; probability - based assessment, design, and multi-criteria life - cycle optimization of structures and infrastructure
systems; structural health monitoring; life - cycle performance maintenance and management of structures and distributed infrastructure under extreme
events (earthquakes, tsunamis, hurricanes, and floods); risk - based assessment and decision making; multi-hazard risk mitigation; infrastructure sustainability and resilience to disasters;
climate change adaptation; and probabilistic mechanics.
On Wednesday, Dec. 17, at the American Geophysical Union's Fall Meeting in San Francisco, Noah Diffenbaugh, an associate professor of environmental Earth
system science at the Stanford School of Earth Sciences, will discuss approaches to this challenge in a talk titled «Quantifying the Influence of Observed Global Warming on the Probability of Unprecedented Extreme
Climate Events.»
«It's important to remember that the
climate system has important nonlinearities that are most evident in these abrupt
climate events.
Ultimately, we'd like to be able to reproduce the global signatures of these abrupt
climate events with numerical models of the
climate system, and investigate the physics that drive such
events.»
In the past several years, researchers have used AI
systems to help them to rank
climate models, spot cyclones and other extreme weather
events — in both real and modelled
climate data — and identify new
climate patterns.
«We came as close as one can to demonstrating a direct link between
climate change and a large family of extreme recent weather
events,» said Michael Mann, distinguished professor of atmospheric science and director, Earth
System Science Center, Penn State.
In this earth
system model, human belief
systems and corresponding
climate governance will drive anthropogenic GHG emissions that force the
climate system, while the magnitude of
climate change and related extreme
events will influence human perception of associated risk.
We emphasize that because of the significant influence of sea ice on the
climate system, it seems that high priority should be given to developing ways for reconstructing high - resolution (in space and time) sea - ice extent for past
climate - change
events.
In Canada, an extreme rainfall
event, made worse by a stalled weather
system likely powered by an unstable Arctic and
climate change, has closed down the country's oil trading capital.
Towards their safeguarding research within HERACLES project («HEritage Resilience Against
CLimate Events on Site», GA 700395) is dedicated to the design, testing and promotion of responsive systems, methodologies and techniques with the aim to mitigate the impact of climate changes and natural h
CLimate Events on Site», GA 700395) is dedicated to the design, testing and promotion of responsive
systems, methodologies and techniques with the aim to mitigate the impact of
climate changes and natural h
climate changes and natural hazards.
The unusual geology and
climate of the East African Rift
System introduced selective environmental pulses, which not only drove speciation but also subsequent dispersal
events.
«For the United States,
climate change impacts include greater threats of extreme weather
events, sea level rise, and increased risk of regional water scarcity, heat waves, wildfires, and the disturbance of biological
systems,» the updated 2016 letter says.
The model accounts for the dynamic feedbacks that occur naturally in the Earth's
climate system — temperature projections determine the likelihood of extreme weather
events, which in turn influence human behavior.
Climate change encompasses both increases and decreases in temperature, as well as shifts in precipitation, changing risk of certain types of severe weather events, and changes to other features of the climate
Climate change encompasses both increases and decreases in temperature, as well as shifts in precipitation, changing risk of certain types of severe weather
events, and changes to other features of the
climate climate system.
«I'm aware of similar large changes in odds in other studies of wintertime high temperature
events over the U.S., and so this is not too surprising,» Martin Hoerling, a
climate scientist at the Earth
System Research Laboratory, said.
An
Event For: Schools are asked to conduct universal screening using the SRSS coming off of the MIBLSI Intervention
Systems training or Promoting Positive School
Climate (PPSC) Tier 2 Behavior Supports training.
«Danger to The
System» focuses on
events highlighting artists of color, queer, and other marginalized intersections of artists whose work deals with time, space, histories, new media, cultural diaspora, erasure, patriarchy, white supremacy, the internet, recorded and performed sound works, live performance, and the intersectionality of histories, cultural trauma, healing strategies and the ever changing radical
climate in America, 2016, as well as specifically Oakland, CA.
We emphasize that because of the significant influence of sea ice on the
climate system, it seems that high priority should be given to developing ways for reconstructing high - resolution (in space and time) sea - ice extent for past
climate - change
events.
In 1988, James E. Hansen, the NASA
climate scientist who, through much of his career, has pressed elected officials to limit greenhouse gas emissions, constructed «loaded» cardboard dice for a Senate hearing, to illustrate that we were, in essence, tipping the
climate system toward ever higher odds of unpleasant
events like droughts and flooding rains.
--
Climate impacts: global temperatures, ice cap melting, ocean currents, ENSO, volcanic impacts, tipping points, severe weather
events — Environment impacts: ecosystem changes, disease vectors, coastal flooding, marine ecosystem, agricultural
system — Government actions: US political views, world - wide political views, carbon tax / cap - and - trade restrictions, state and city efforts — Reducing GHGs: + electric power
systems: fossil fuel use, conservation, solar, wind, geothermal, nuclear, tidal, other + transportation sector: conservation, mass transit, high speed rail, air travel, auto / truck (mileage issues, PHEVs, EVs, biofuels, hydrogen) + architectural structure design: home / office energy use, home / office conservation, passive solar, other
But we know the floods — a rare
event, remember — occurred in 2000, and we know forcings affect the state of the
climate system.
But it's like I say: as planetary
climate systems show all possible signs of disruption, what we get is strange climatic conditions and extreme weather
events on a local level, and these conditions and
event are conditioned by great variations from continent to continent and from one year to the next.
In any
event, it is the predictable long term growth in temperature in the
system consisting of atmosphere and upper ocean — which has no long term chaos in its
climate — which provides the setting for any such surprises.
Everything hinges on the idea that something extraordinary happened to the
climate system in response to the 1997/98 super-El Niño
event (an idea that has its roots in the wavelet analysis by Park and Mann (2000)-RRB-.
The current warming the Earth has experienced can not be called cyclical, since the
climate increasing its temperature at an exponential rate with no signs of cooling on the horizon (unless the unlikely
event of the shutdown of the North Atlantic conveyor
system occurs).
In the case of the Earth's
climate, there are obviously billions of things «happening» all the time, and it is the sum of all these
events that brings the
system to a certain state at a certain point in time.
In any
event, since the
climate system does not exhibit anything much like D - O
events during the Holocene, the possibility of long term chaos of this sort in the unperturbed
system seems rather remote.
So when in the past extinction
events, Co2 concentration and following large methane excursion took place it took a considerable time and it is highly likely that we experience this time a much fast feedback from the
climate system.
«Because the global earth
system is highly complicated, until a relationship between actual storm intensity and tropical
climate change is clearly demonstrated, it would be premature to conclude that such a link exists or is significant (from the standpoints of either
event or outcome risk) in the context of variability.»
Even so, most of its changes appear to have been forced by natural
events extrinsic to the
climate system.
But there is no sign of any «tipping point» in terms of GHG concentrations — any such
event would come about due to non-linear effects in the
climate system.
It is prudent to expect that over the course of a decade some
climate events — including single
events, conjunctions of
events occurring simultaneously or in sequence in particular locations, and
events affecting globally integrated
systems that provide for human well - being — will produce consequences that exceed the capacity of the affected societies or global
systems to manage and that have global security implications serious enough to compel international response.
But since the
climate is dependent on chaos - driven
events, such as: sunspots, solar flares, vulcanism, and the actions of humanity, it can also (I believe) be considered a chaotic
system.
These are the kinds of unusual
events where people really feel the
climate system.
What's refreshing is that the building human influence on the
climate system is not being portrayed definitively as an unfolding catastrophe, with present - day
events cast as the reason for action.
Events such as this confirm how little we know about the full impacts of the major perturbation of the
climate system we've unwittingly set in motion.
The paper considers the necessary components of a prospective
event attribution
system, reviews some specific case studies made to date (Autumn 2000 UK floods, summer 2003 European heatwave, annual 2008 cool US temperatures, July 2010 Western Russia heatwave) and discusses the challenges involved in developing
systems to provide regularly updated and reliable attribution assessments of unusual or extreme weather and
climate - related
events.
Given the available scientific knowledge of the
climate system, it is prudent for security analysts to expect
climate surprises in the coming decade, including unexpected and potentially disruptive single
events as well as conjunctions of
events occurring simultaneously or in sequence, and for them to become progressively more serious and more frequent thereafter, most likely at an accelerating rate.
... we strongly support Delworth and Knutson's (2000) contention that this high - latitude warming
event represents primarily natural variability within the
climate system, rather than being caused primarily by external forcings, whether solar forcing alone (Thejll and Lassen, 2000) or a combination of increasing solar irradiance, increasing anthropogenic trace gases, and decreasing volcanic aerosols.