The key is to insure a random selection of WX, if you are not going to include the whole of the population, as most
climate temperature analysis are currently done.
Not exact matches
Among others, I have requested hearings on new findings on the impacts of
climate change on agriculture, new findings regarding the probability that extreme weather events are influenced by
climate change, and new
analysis of earth surface
temperatures.
Careful
analysis of what frequencies are absorbed, and by how much, can directly reveal the presence of water vapor and other compounds, and can divulge
climate parameters, such as
temperature and pressure, that determine if liquid water is sustainable.
Applause, and gentle mocking, from
climate scientists Michael Mann, the Pennsylvania State University
climate scientist who created the «hockey stick»
analysis of past
temperatures, had a very different reaction.
«We find that current emission trends continue to track scenarios that lead to the highest
temperature increases,» they wrote in an
analysis published yesterday in the journal Nature
Climate Change.
Their
analysis shows as
temperature continues to increase with
climate change, Colorado River flows will continue to decline.
In fact, the mitigation pledges collected under the ongoing Cancun Agreements, conceived during the 2010
climate talks, would lead to global average
temperature rise of more than 2 degrees Celsius, according to multiple
analyses — and may not lead to a peaking of greenhouse gas emissions this decade required to meet that goal.
An
analysis of
temperature data since 1500 all but rules out the possibility that global warming in the industrial era is just a natural fluctuation in the earth's
climate, according to a new study by McGill University physics professor Shaun Lovejoy.
According to our
analyses, they are restricted to a narrow climatic niche and are therefore also directly threatened by rising
temperatures in the future,» explains Dr. Christian Hof, Senckenberg Biodiversity and
Climate Research Centre.
Upper limits of experience All of the candidate cities — Almaty, Kazakhstan; Beijing, China; Krakow, Poland; Lviv, Ukraine; and Oslo, Norway — will likely be facing
temperatures near the upper limits of what each region has experienced in the past 150 years, according to a Daily
Climate analysis of climate models constructed by University of Hawaii, Manoa, geographer Camilo Mora and coll
Climate analysis of
climate models constructed by University of Hawaii, Manoa, geographer Camilo Mora and coll
climate models constructed by University of Hawaii, Manoa, geographer Camilo Mora and colleagues.
The
analysis by researchers at Scripps Institution of Oceanography at University of California San Diego used responses to natural variation in
temperature, oxygen, and pH to reveal that deep - sea biodiversity from Baja California to San Francisco may be highly susceptible to projected
climate changes in the future.
On the other hand, statistical
analysis of the past century's hurricanes and computer modeling of a warmer
climate, nudged along by greenhouse gases, does indicate that rising ocean
temperatures could fuel hurricanes that are more intense.
Climate change made it 175 times more likely that Coral Sea
temperatures would reach the high levels in March that triggered extensive bleaching, according to the results of a recent scientific
analysis.
The IPCC [the United Nations» Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change] took a shortcut on the actual scientific uncertainty
analysis on a lot of the issues, particularly the
temperature records.
«Non-linear» animal reactions He and his colleagues based their
analysis on nearly 500 million
temperature records collected at 3,000 weather stations between 1961 and 2009, feeding that information into models that allowed them to estimate how
climate shifts affected the metabolism of cold - blooded insects, lizards and amphibians around the world.
An
analysis using updated global surface
temperature data disputes the existence of a 21st century global warming slowdown described in studies including the latest Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) assessment.
Smith et al., 2008, Improvements to NOAA's Historical Merged Land - Ocean Surface
Temperature Analysis (1880 - 2006), J.
Climate., 21, 2283 - 2293.
The hockey stick - shape
temperature plot that shows modern
climate considerably warmer than past
climate has been verified by many scientists using different methodologies (PCA, CPS, EIV, isotopic
analysis, & direct T measurements).
While El Niño contributed to the record, a
Climate Central
analysis has shown that 2015's high
temperature was overwhelmingly the result of manmade warming.
Extreme cold episodes will continue despite
climate warming trends according to researchers»
analysis of winter
temperature distributions
Climate change impact
analyses typically project increasing pest survival and crop damage with increasing
temperatures (e.g., NCA 2014a), and wheat stem sawfly (WSS) may well be generally consistent with that pattern, but the following caveats help to show why generalizations across all landscapes in Montana, for all insect pests, are risky.
Our
analysis provides a critical local look at changes for two important
climate variables, precipitation and
temperature.
Results of both regional
climate model simulations and observational
analyses suggest that much of the observed rainfall increase — as well as the decrease in
temperature and increase in humidity — is attributable to agricultural intensification in the central United States, with natural variability and GHG emissions playing secondary roles.
-- Along with analyzing historical trends in
temperature and precipitation, we performed an
analysis of changes in extreme
climate events since the middle of last century.
A new
analysis published in the journal Environmental Research Letters establishes that seasonal forecast sea surface
temperature (SSTs) can be used to perform probabilistic extreme - event attribution, thereby accelerating the time it takes
climate scientists to understand and quantify the role of global warming in certain classes of extreme weather events.
* Surface
temperature changes relative to 20th Century global average (1901 - 2000) Source data NOAA - NCEI State of the
Climate: Global
Analysis [Web + data download]
Schneefan at German weather and
climate analysis site wobleibtdieerderwaermung.de here brings us the latest on atmospheric
temperatures.
If
climate change continues unchecked, we could see similarly high
temperatures in the Arctic every other year by the second half of this century, today's
analysis suggests.
The scientists behind today's
analysis used the same 13
climate models to investigate how often we might see a repeat of such high Arctic winter
temperatures in future as warming continues.
According to a recent
Climate Central
analysis, Colorado was the 20th - fastest warming state between 1970 and 2011, with average
temperatures increasing by about 0.5 °F per decade.
The scientists got a very similar result when they repeated their
analysis with a different set of models (those used in the Weather@Home project), strengthening confidence in their conclusion that the record high
temperatures were highly unlikely in the absence of
climate change.
While a strong El Niño and other
climate patterns are playing a role in regional and global temperatures, the vast majority of the excess heat this year comes from manmade global warming, a Climate Central analysis
climate patterns are playing a role in regional and global
temperatures, the vast majority of the excess heat this year comes from manmade global warming, a
Climate Central analysis
Climate Central
analysis showed.
Climate change made it 175 times more likely that the surface waters of the Coral Sea, which off the Queensland coastline is home to Australia's Great Barrier Reef, would reach the record - breaking
temperatures last month that bleached reefs, modeling
analysis showed.
Red indicates regions of North America for which a statistical
analysis using two
climate models indicated there is a 97.5 percent probability that average
temperatures will rise by at least 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2070.
After a short in - service with a colleague early in Term 1, I used the
temperature probes and the
analysis software in a short
Climate Change investigation.
A great many
climate scientists acknowledge the difficulty I've raised, and their response is based on their
analysis of the various forcings affecting global
temperatures, NOT the simplistic juggling of arcane statistical formulae.
I believe that
analysis of
temperature and dewpoint data at NOAA NWS cooperative
climate station locations, many stations with more than 110 years of daily maximum minimum and mean
temperature data, has great value which is not being fully utilized by scientists and the public.
This paper reports an
analysis that finds, «[Short - lived
climate pollutant] emissions in any given decade only have a significant impact on peak
temperature under circumstances in which CO2 emissions are falling.
First came the Web posting of new
analysis by the Berkeley Earth Surface
Temperature project pointing to the dominant role of humans in driving recent
climate change.
Based on my «
climate - geek»
analysis of the
temperature records, the GISS (NASA) and NCDC (NOAA) records appear to be much higher quality than the HadCrut records.
The core finding is that
temperatures over the continents have warmed about 1 degree Centigrade (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) since 1950, matching earlier independent
analyses by American and British
climate researchers that had been repeatedly attacked by
climate skeptics and opponents of curbs in greenhouse emissions.
That said, I think there are two interesting results in this paper, regarding their
analysis of 19th century volcanoes and the impact on
climate, and also the changes to the diurnal
temperature range.
Analysis of the reconstructed
temperature and radiative forcing series [Crowley, 2000] offers an independent estimate of the transient
climate - forcing response rate of 0.4 - 0.7 K per Wm -LRB--2) and predicts a
temperature increase of 1.0 - 1.7 K in 50 years.
This is why we decomposed the
temperature data into a slow, non-linear trend line (shown here) and a stochastic component — a standard procedure that even makes it onto the cover picture of a data
analysis textbook, as well as being described in a
climate time series
analysis textbook.
Joshua Willis, an oceanographer at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, was involved in an
analysis of these
temperature records underpinning the new work (and in press in the Journal of
Climate).
An
analysis I published in 2004, looking at how often record - high monthly
temperatures recur, indicated that record - breaking monthly mean
temperature have been more frequent that they would have been if the
climate were not getting hotter.
Two years ago, Audubon's Birds and
Climate Change
analysis revealed that 58 percent of the species seen during the count were showing up significantly further north than 40 years ago — right in line with charted
temperature increases.
One thing that was not clear, was whether the
analysis, that involved both observed
temperatures from the HadCRUT4 dataset and global
climate models, took into account the fact that the observations do not cover 100 % of Earth's surface (see RC post «Mind the Gap!»).
He must realize that everyone that understands
climate science knows that he is cherry - picking by selecting only ocean
temperatures (0 - 50 m below the surface) for his
analysis.
Steve, all praise to you and your work, but you are correct in your assumption about your readers thinking that tree rings and
temperatures are a forced marriage with strange offsprigs of little use in
climate change
analyses.