Check out this new 10 - minute animation on
climate tipping points by Plane Stupid activist Leo Murray, entitled «Wake up, freak out — then get a grip».
«We are calling on policy - makers to respond to the prospect of triggering future
climate tipping points by applying the brakes now and putting a high price on carbon emissions before it is too late,» says one of the authors, Tim Lenton, professor of climate change and earth system science at the University of Exeter.
Not exact matches
To avoid multiple
climate tipping points, policy makers need to act now to stop global CO2 emissions
by 2050 and meet the Paris Agreement's goal of limiting global warming to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, a new study has said.
The impending political
tipping point is evident in nationwide opinion polls and in the
climate policies already embraced
by more than 850 towns and cities and 32 states.
He noted that the average global temperature compared with the early 1900s is now expected to increase
by 1.5 degrees Celsius within the next 15 to 35 years, which he called «a
tipping point» toward aggressive
climate change.
Indeed, one of the findings in the recent paper
by Overpeck et al. (this weeks Science), is that even as the Greenland ice sheet melts faster than originally expected, it still won't provide sufficient meltwater forcing of the North Atlantic circulation (which is the feature of the
climate system most commonly implicated in the discussion of «
tipping points») to force any sort of threshold change.
Curated
by David Buckland, Founder and Director of Cape Farewell, Carbon 13 features eight international artists who have ventured alongside scientists to some of the world's geographic
tipping points, places profoundly stressed
by our warming planet, and whose work aims to stimulate a wider engagement with the
climate debate.
Curated
by Angela Chan and including artists Joey Holder and Jakob Kudsk Steensen among others, the show contemplates the so - called «
tipping point» of
climate change and man - made mass species extinction.
Indeed, one of the findings in the recent paper
by Overpeck et al. (this weeks Science), is that even as the Greenland ice sheet melts faster than originally expected, it still won't provide sufficient meltwater forcing of the North Atlantic circulation (which is the feature of the
climate system most commonly implicated in the discussion of «
tipping points») to force any sort of threshold change.
I'll try to maintain the discipline to be «caustically honest» (to steal a phrase used
by a
climate scientist in a story of mine on
tipping points last year) in weighing the issues and opportunities confronting humanity as its astonishing 200 - years - and - counting growth spurt crests.
Early signs of scientific discomfort with some allusions to
climate - related
tipping points came in a 2006 blog post, «Runaway Tipping Points of No Return,» by Gavin Schmidt of Realclimate.org and NASA's Goddard Institute for Space S
tipping points came in a 2006 blog post, «Runaway Tipping Points of No Return,» by Gavin Schmidt of Realclimate.org and NASA's Goddard Institute for Space St
points came in a 2006 blog post, «Runaway
Tipping Points of No Return,» by Gavin Schmidt of Realclimate.org and NASA's Goddard Institute for Space S
Tipping Points of No Return,» by Gavin Schmidt of Realclimate.org and NASA's Goddard Institute for Space St
Points of No Return,»
by Gavin Schmidt of Realclimate.org and NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies.
They are fascinated
by the science, asking questions about the
climate history of the Tibetan plateau and the chances of reaching environmental
tipping points, as well as questions about western environmental thought and policy.
One of the texts that we use is With Speed & Violence: Why Scientists Fear
Tipping Points in
Climate Change
by Fred Pearce.
Protect these four places and the species» future will be reasonably secure, but the Okavango could always dry up in the event of
climate change, the Selous is currently managed
by sport hunters (a dying industry), the Serengeti is surrounded
by a rapidly growing human population whose offtake of bushmeat is close to the
tipping point, and, well, Kruger isn't in the most stable country on earth...
Greenpeace unleashed a press release that began with two words: «Greenpeace demands...» It talked about «
climate chaos,»
tipping points, and stoking «the fires of
climate change
by burning fossil fuels.»
Reducing emissions of the short - lived
climate forcers black carbon and tropospheric ozone — soot and smog — has been identified
by scientists as the most effective strategy to slow Arctic warming and melting in the near term, forestalling potentially irreversible
tipping points such as the melting, while the world works to reduce emissions of GHGs.
In a wide - ranging December 2013 study, conducted to support Our Children's Trust, a group advancing legal challenges to lax greenhouse gas emissions policies on behalf of minors, Hansen called for a «human
tipping point» — essentially, a social revolution — as one of the most effective ways of combating
climate change, though he still favors a bilateral carbon tax agreed upon
by the United States and China as the best near - term
climate policy.
Other studies of the Amazon
climate tipping point The existence of an Amazonian
climate tipping point is confirmed
by other model studies, including the above - mentioned Climatic Change publication from 2008 — that suggests a large - scale die - back (70 percent) from about 3 degrees onwards, starting in the South of the basin.
The actor, who recently committed a faux pas
by mistakenly attributing the common Canadian Chinook wind weather pattern to
climate change, told the magazine that 2015 marked a «massive
tipping point in the
climate change struggle.»
The Amazon is referred to as a
climate tipping point because research shows following a 21st century global average temperature rise most of the Amazon basin may dry out, leading to a massive biome shift — accompanied
by many gigatonnes of extra CO2 emissions and almost unimaginable biodiversity loss, placing the cascading Anthropocene Extinction in top gear.
«Committed terrestrial ecosystem changes due to
climate change» When trying to position the Amazon
tipping point on the scale of the global temperature rise, one of the most - often cited studies is one from the year 2009, performed
by a team of researchers of the UK Met Office Hadley Centre, led
by Chris Jones and published in Nature Geoscience.
Moreover, as Tim Lenton
pointed out at CEC14 the tools mathematicians have developed to help predict
tipping points rely on signals that are generally overwhelmed
by rapid
climate forcing in such systems.
[More research needed] We may eventually reach a
tipping point primarily caused
by CO 2 and enter a non - linear
climate response.
In order to not exceed the much - feared two - degree
tipping point beyond which (in layman's terms) uncontrollable
climate hell breaks loose, we're going to need a 40 - 70 percent global emissions reduction
by 2050, and to bring emissions to zero
by the end of this century.
According to IGSD this has delayed the onset of irreversible
climate change
by 12 years, topping off the worst and so far preventing important
climate tipping -
points.
Benestad also noted a post from
climate blogger Tim Lambert, who
pointed out an error in the calculation of area weighting (a mixup of radians and degrees) that almost doubled the portion of warming trend attributed
by McKitrick to economic factors, despite McKitrick's claim that the correction «hardly changed the results» (hat
tip to Frank O'Dwyer).
We have now reached a
tipping point where the cumulative burden of UK
climate change policy will make it uncompetitive for some sectors to invest and create jobs in the UK,» EEF director of Policy, Steve Radley, said... According to Government figures,
climate policies could add up to 52 per cent to electricity prices paid
by energy intensive industry
by 2020... http://www.greenwisebusiness.co.uk/news/carbon-price-floor-to-cost-manufacturing-12bn-says-eef-2509.aspx
Drawn
by Nichole Hoskin using data from Arctic
Climate Research at the University of Illinois Australian television's Four Corners showed a program on August 4, 2008, entitled «
Tipping Point» claiming that the disappearance of summer -LSB-...]
The likelihood of the complete loss of Arctic summer sea ice
by 2030, faster melting of the vast Greenland ice sheets, and the rapid and quickening thaw of permafrost regions indicate that the window for arresting
climate change before
tipping points are reached is rapidly closing.
In recent decades, much research on these topics has raised the questions of «
tipping points» and «system flips,» where feedbacks in the system compound to rapidly cause massive reorganization of global
climate over very short periods of time — a truncation or reorganization of the thermohaline circulation or of food web structures, for instance, caused
by the loss of sea ice or warming ocean temperatures.
In contrast to the sophisticated
climate model predictions of runaway («
tipping point») global warming, in reality, real - world global warming, as measured
by satellites, has disappeared for over 16 years despite the gargantuan increases in CO2 emissions... (Ramez Naam denies this)
=== > Although the 1 - year moving trends in the distant past have approached both extremely high and cold temperature rates, the natural
climate reactions then produced reversing course corrections (i.e. nature responds to extremes
by avoiding long - term «runaway» and «
tipping point» conditions)
From the Washington Post
By Sarah Palin — With the publication of damaging e-mails from a
climate research center in Britain, the radical environmental movement appears to face a
tipping point.
That in turn might be set up
by the albedo or whatever else amplifies the 1,500 - year cycle, thus poising the
climate near the
tipping point, setting things up for a quick slide.
Following the vital steps of disclosure and insight on
climate change activities, action is key to ensuring we move the global energy system to a
tipping point by 2020.»
The real
climate tipping point is right around the corner — the day when a majority of scientists see that Earth weather patterns and
climate are ruled
by electric and magnetic mechanisms caused
by outside forcing from solar, lunar, and cosmic sources.
«The investment landscape has reached a
tipping point, where it's become clear that managing
climate exposure —
by both minimizing
climate risk and pursuing
climate opportunities — is not only good for the
climate, it's also good for bottom line,» said Buchner.
But the science is at best equivocal, and more accurately nearly non-existent, for the second proposition that the
climate is dominated
by positive feedbacks and will run away once it reaches some
tipping point.
There are other clichés for talking about
climate change: You can warn that catastrophe looms
by talking about
tipping points and earths in the balance; you can use military language
by talking about «a war on carbon» (related: the sporty «
climate on steroids»); you can go retrofuturist with aspirational bridges such as the Apollo project, Sputnik, the Manhattan Project, to name a few.
Sea level indicates it wasn't that warm 7000 years ago and it's right on the cusp of earlier rapid sea level rise, a
tipping point, during which all external forcing bets are off because the
climate system is hopping between two quasi-stable states driven
by strong albedo feedback in the transition period.
NEW YORK, New York, June 1, 2007 (ENS)- A stern warning that global warming is nearing an irreversible
tipping point was issued today
by the
climate scientist who the Bush administration has tried to muzzle.
Tipping points can occur during
climate change when the
climate reaches a state such that strong amplifying feedbacks are activated
by only moderate additional warming.
James Hansen, director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, today published a study showing that greenhouse gases emitted
by human activities have brought the Earth's
climate close to critical
tipping points, with potentially dangerous consequences for the planet.
THE world is on the cusp of a «
tipping point» into dangerous
climate change, according to new data gathered
by scientists measuring methane leaking from the Arctic permafrost and a report presented to the United Nations on Tuesday.
Publications
by James E. Hansen pubs.giss.nasa.gov, his latest book is: Storms of My Grandchildren: The Truth About the Coming
Climate Catastrophe and Our Last Chance to Save Humanity. Amazon.com Runaway climate change Runaway climate change describes a scenario in which the climate system passes a threshold or tipping point, after which internal positive feedback effects cause the climate to continue changing,
Climate Catastrophe and Our Last Chance to Save Humanity. Amazon.com Runaway
climate change Runaway climate change describes a scenario in which the climate system passes a threshold or tipping point, after which internal positive feedback effects cause the climate to continue changing,
climate change Runaway
climate change describes a scenario in which the climate system passes a threshold or tipping point, after which internal positive feedback effects cause the climate to continue changing,
climate change describes a scenario in which the
climate system passes a threshold or tipping point, after which internal positive feedback effects cause the climate to continue changing,
climate system passes a threshold or
tipping point, after which internal positive feedback effects cause the
climate to continue changing,
climate to continue changing, even...
The problem for environmentalists is that no such «
tipping point» has been identitifed
by climate science, and the social consequences of moving past
tipping points remain poorly defined.
Climate wonks would recognize the charts and graphs that university professors and policy think - tank experts shared showing how our planet is being affected by carbon pollution, where the tipping point is for our climate, and how much the Keystone XL pipeline will make our climate crisis
Climate wonks would recognize the charts and graphs that university professors and policy think - tank experts shared showing how our planet is being affected
by carbon pollution, where the
tipping point is for our
climate, and how much the Keystone XL pipeline will make our climate crisis
climate, and how much the Keystone XL pipeline will make our
climate crisis
climate crisis worse.
By setting a higher carbon budget or later decarbonization goals we risk crossing
climate tipping points.
Specifically, is the
climate dominated
by positive feedbacks, such that small CO2 - induced changes in temperatures are multiplied many times, or even hit a
tipping point where temperatures run away?
Picking up on Pete's
point in # 123 that he is troubled
by not knowing exactly what
climate scientists are trying to tell us about where we currently stand in regard to tipping points and todays ABC article on the acceleration of climate change which includes the comment: «But many experts confide privately what they aren't yet ready to announce publicly: Change is accelerating at a dramatic rate» (URL below) I would find it very helpful if someone from Real Climate could tell us the summary message you want to get across to the public regarding tipping points — is it the «alternative version» I set out in # 75 above or is it a modified version of this, if so it would be great if you could post the modified version up here — I would love to h
climate scientists are trying to tell us about where we currently stand in regard to
tipping points and todays ABC article on the acceleration of
climate change which includes the comment: «But many experts confide privately what they aren't yet ready to announce publicly: Change is accelerating at a dramatic rate» (URL below) I would find it very helpful if someone from Real Climate could tell us the summary message you want to get across to the public regarding tipping points — is it the «alternative version» I set out in # 75 above or is it a modified version of this, if so it would be great if you could post the modified version up here — I would love to h
climate change which includes the comment: «But many experts confide privately what they aren't yet ready to announce publicly: Change is accelerating at a dramatic rate» (URL below) I would find it very helpful if someone from Real
Climate could tell us the summary message you want to get across to the public regarding tipping points — is it the «alternative version» I set out in # 75 above or is it a modified version of this, if so it would be great if you could post the modified version up here — I would love to h
Climate could tell us the summary message you want to get across to the public regarding
tipping points — is it the «alternative version» I set out in # 75 above or is it a modified version of this, if so it would be great if you could post the modified version up here — I would love to hear it.