The goal is to provide the Arctic research community and other users of Arctic climate information with access to
climate variability and change data on the smaller spatial scales that are needed for improved fundamental understanding and for decision support applications and assessment research.
Not exact matches
Rescuing this
data would undoubtedly help to improve understanding of historical
climate variability and change.
Data suggests distinct differences between short - term
climate variability and longer - term
climate change.
Despite the difficulties of calibration that makes an absolute radiative imbalance measurement impossible — the anomalies
data contains essential information on
climate variability that can be used to understand
and close out the global energy budget —
changes in which are largely OHC.
Mike's work, like that of previous award winners, is diverse,
and includes pioneering
and highly cited work in time series analysis (an elegant use of Thomson's multitaper spectral analysis approach to detect spatiotemporal oscillations in the
climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate record
and methods for smoothing temporal
data), decadal
climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both
climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate model simulations
and observational
data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the
climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST
changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how
changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval
Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
Climate Anomaly
and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the
climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate changes of past centuries
and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones
and global sea level,
and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measurements).
A series of sensitivity tests show that our detection results are robust to observational
data coverage
change, interpolation methods, influence of natural
climate variability on observations,
and different model sampling (see Supplementary Information).
His speech, titled «
Data Integrity Issues, Natural
Variability and Climate Change» can be viewed below.
[1] Reconstructing solar activity
variability beyond the time scale of actual measurements provides invaluable
data for modeling of past
and future
climate change.
Climate change and climate variability in Poland - a new study prepared by the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management presents the most actual data on Polish c
Climate change and climate variability in Poland - a new study prepared by the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management presents the most actual data on Polish c
climate variability in Poland - a new study prepared by the Institute of Meteorology
and Water Management presents the most actual
data on Polish
climateclimate.
Large
and Yeager (2012) examined global ocean average net heat flux
variability using the CORE
data set over 1984 — 2006
and concluded that natural
variability, rather than long - term
climate change, dominates heat flux
changes over this relatively short, recent period.
«On forced temperature
changes, internal
variability,
and the AMO» «Tracking the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation through the last 8,000 years» «The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation as a dominant factor of oceanic influence on
climate» «The role of Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation in the global mean temperature
variability» «The North Atlantic Oscillation as a driver of rapid
climate change in the Northern Hemisphere» «The Atlanto - Pacific multidecade oscillation
and its imprint on the global temperature record» «Imprints of
climate forcings in global gridded temperature
data» «North Atlantic Multidecadal SST Oscillation: External forcing versus internal
variability» «Forced
and internal twentieth - century SST trends in the North Atlantic» «Interactive comment on «Imprints of
climate forcings in global gridded temperature
data» by J. Mikšovský et al.» «Atlantic
and Pacific multidecadal oscillations
and Northern Hemisphere temperatures»
Requires the
Climate Service Program to: (1) analyze the effects of weather and climate on communities; (2) carry out observations, data collection, and monitoring of atmospheric and oceanic conditions; (3) provide information and technical support to governmental efforts to assess and respond to climate variability and change; (4) develop systems for the management and dissemination of data; (5) conduct research to improve forecasting and understanding of weather and climate variability and change and its effects on communities; and (6) develop tools to facilitate the use of climate information by local and regional stakeh
Climate Service Program to: (1) analyze the effects of weather
and climate on communities; (2) carry out observations, data collection, and monitoring of atmospheric and oceanic conditions; (3) provide information and technical support to governmental efforts to assess and respond to climate variability and change; (4) develop systems for the management and dissemination of data; (5) conduct research to improve forecasting and understanding of weather and climate variability and change and its effects on communities; and (6) develop tools to facilitate the use of climate information by local and regional stakeh
climate on communities; (2) carry out observations,
data collection,
and monitoring of atmospheric
and oceanic conditions; (3) provide information
and technical support to governmental efforts to assess
and respond to
climate variability and change; (4) develop systems for the management and dissemination of data; (5) conduct research to improve forecasting and understanding of weather and climate variability and change and its effects on communities; and (6) develop tools to facilitate the use of climate information by local and regional stakeh
climate variability and change; (4) develop systems for the management
and dissemination of
data; (5) conduct research to improve forecasting
and understanding of weather
and climate variability and change and its effects on communities; and (6) develop tools to facilitate the use of climate information by local and regional stakeh
climate variability and change and its effects on communities;
and (6) develop tools to facilitate the use of
climate information by local and regional stakeh
climate information by local
and regional stakeholders.
(A) coordinate programs at the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration to ensure the timely production
and distribution of
data and information on global, national, regional,
and local
climate variability and change over all time scales relevant for planning
and response, including intraseasonal, interannual, decadal,
and multidecadal time periods;
Maintaining these measurements in an operational environment provides the best opportunity for maintaining the long - term, consistent,
and continuous
data records needed to understand, monitor,
and predict
climate variability and change.
«Here we present an analysis based on sea - level
data from the altimetry record of the past ~ 20 years that separates interannual natural
variability in sea level from the longer - term
change probably related to anthropogenic global warming... Our results confirm the need for quantifying
and further removing from the
climate records the short - term natural
climate variability if one wants to extract the global warming signal.»
In fact, they state that the
data «clearly show» that «strong natural
variability has been characteristic of the Arctic at all time scales considered,»
and they reiterate that the
data suggest «that the human influence on rate
and size of
climate change thus far does not stand out strongly from other causes of
climate change.»»
Actually Fielding's use of that graph is quite informative of how denialist arguments are framed — the selected bit of a selected graph (
and don't mention the fastest warming region on the planet being left out of that
data set), or the complete passing over of short term
variability vs longer term trends, or the other measures
and indicators of
climate change from ocean heat content
and sea levels to
changes in ice sheets
and minimum sea ice levels, or the passing over of issues like lag time between emissions
and effects on temperatures... etc..
This argument — «The limit on a late 20th century surface warming contribution from internal
variability can be calculated from OHC
data, total temperature
change,
and the
climate feedback parameter.
A continued mode of corrections using approaches where statistical uncertainties are not quantified is not a scientifically sound methodology
and should be avoided, considering the importance of such surface station
data to a broad variety of
climate applications as well as
climate variability and change studies.
At Macquarie University, Professor Salby uses satellite
data and supercomputing to explore issues surrounding
changes of global
climate and climate variability over Australia.
DelSole et al. (28) also found 2.5 cycles by extracting the spatial pattern in the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change, Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC AR4)(29) model control runs that best characterizes internal
variability and by projecting the observed global
data onto this pattern.
These range from simple averaging of regional
data and scaling of the resulting series so that its mean
and standard deviation match those of the observed record over some period of overlap (Jones et al., 1998; Crowley
and Lowery, 2000), to complex
climate field reconstruction, where large - scale modes of spatial
climate variability are linked to patterns of
variability in the proxy network via a multivariate transfer function that explicitly provides estimates of the spatio - temporal
changes in past temperatures,
and from which large - scale average temperature
changes are derived by averaging the
climate estimates across the required region (Mann et al., 1998; Rutherford et al., 2003, 2005).
NCEI provides the paleoclimatology
data and information scientists need to understand natural
climate variability and future
climate change.
Rescuing this
data would undoubtedly help to improve understanding of historical
climate variability and change.
The space - time structure of natural
climate variability needed to determine the optimal fingerprint pattern
and the resultant signal - to - noise ratio of the detection variable is estimated from several multi-century control simulations with different CGCMs
and from instrumental
data over the last 136 y. Applying the combined greenhouse gas - plus - aerosol fingerprint in the same way as the greenhouse gas only fingerprint in a previous work, the recent 30 - y trends (1966 — 1995) of annual mean near surface temperature are again found to represent a significant
climate change at the 97.5 % confidence level.