At the same time, the event was much less likely in the representations of
a climate without human influence, showing that climate change greatly affected the odds of such a month occurring.
One research challenge involves having just a few decades or a century of high - quality weather data with which to make sense of events that might occur once every 1,000 or 10,000 years in a theoretical
climate without human influence.
«The more useful question for real - world decisions is: «Is the probability of a particular event statistically different now compared with
a climate without human influence?»»
Not exact matches
They note past ages that have been equally warm or warmer
without human influence, to say nothing of repeating patterns of
climate change like ice ages (though I've met one of James Hansen's computer modelers who told me with sincere conviction that there would not be another ice age).
Each model had run simulations that included anthropogenic
climate influences like
human - released greenhouse gases and aerosols as well as simulations run
without those
human influences.
It is very much the mainstream view in the
climate research community that you can not explain the warming of the past few decades
without anthropogenic and
human influences on
climate.
Furthermore, it is meaningless, as
climate does change all the time, with or
without human influence.
In fact,
without human influences, Earth's
climate actually would have cooled slightly over the... Continue reading →
pat - «Similarly many environmental activists believe that man's
influence is a form of sin and nature (Gaea) will soon strike back...» You can phrase the position of a fictitious group any way you want of course,
without rebuttal, because they don't really exist, though there are people who fit the description — especially if by «many» you mean more than three — but the more accurate reality is most of the
human beings you would lump under the rubric «environmentalist» would more accurately be described as believing that short - sighted and greedy
human attempts at total control and domination and complete disregard for the healthof the environment have gotten us out of balance with what was an interlocking web of balanced and dynamic systems, and would appear to have unbalanced many of those systems as well, including the still poorly understood cycles of
climate; or weather, as we laymen call it.
The lines of evidence and analysis supporting the mainstream position on
climate change are diverse and robust — embracing a huge body of direct measurements by a variety of methods in a wealth of locations on the Earth's surface and from space, solid understanding of the basic physics governing how energy flow in the atmosphere interacts with greenhouse gases, insights derived from the reconstruction of causes and consequences of millions of years of natural climatic variations, and the results of computer models that are increasingly capable of reproducing the main features of Earth's
climate with and
without human influences.
It concluded that the global average temperatures seen in recent years would be highly unlikely in a world
without human influence on the
climate.
At the same time, we also simulated a summer
without human -
influenced climate change.
How can one read Andrew Revkin's recent claim in the NYT's Review of Books that «the overwhelming majority of scientists believe
humans are
influencing climate in potentially calamitous ways» when most of us understand he damn well knows better,
without getting depressed.
It is very much the mainstream view in the
climate research community that you can not explain the warming of the past few decades
without anthropogenic and
human influences on
climate.
Interesting that they state: Peter Stott, Head of
Climate Attribution at the Met Office, said: «Our research shows current global average temperatures are highly unlikely in a world without human influence on the c
Climate Attribution at the Met Office, said: «Our research shows current global average temperatures are highly unlikely in a world
without human influence on the
climateclimate.
Based on temperature records from 1864 to 2002, the odds of such a heatwave occurring are about 1 in 10 million.4 An event like the 2003 heatwave becomes much more likely after factoring in the observed warming of 2 °F over Europe and increased weather variability.5 In addition, comparing computer models of
climate with and
without human contribution shows that
human influence has roughly quadrupled the odds of a European summer as hot as or hotter than the summer of 2003.6
«Previous analyses linking observed impacts to
climate change have been generic in nature, addressing whether there is an
influence of
human - related warming on impacts globally,
without an inference to individual impacts,» says Hansen.
Assessment of natural and anthropogenic (
human - caused)
influences indicate that the
climate system would be relatively stable
without industrial atmospheric
influences such as greenhouse gases and aerosols.
Furthermore, it is meaningless, as
climate does change all the time, with or
without human influence.