This balance changed during the last two months of 2017, with
coal generation falling faster than gas, but both ended the year down relative to 2016 levels.
The EIA's Monthly Energy Review for December 2017 shows
coal generation falling 1.5 % in the first nine months of the year versus the first nine months of 2016.
According to analysis by non-profit research group Sandbag, EU
coal generation fell to just over 21 % of total generation in 2016, a little more than one - half the share in 1990.
Even in Germany, often criticised for not tackling its heavy reliance on coal, has seen
its coal generation fall (albeit slightly) between 2014 and 2016.
In 2016
coal generation fell to less than one - third of total generation in the US, and to just over one fifth in the EU (see chart).
Not exact matches
Coal fell to just 27.6 % of US utility - scale power
generation in December, and the spread between it and natural gas - fired
generation widened to 616 basis points, the largest yet seen, Continue Reading
He pointed to a study by the Brattle Group, which predicted
coal would
fall from 34 percent of Texas power
generation in 2013 to 6 percent in 2035.
Even without the environmental drive, new railways from mines to ports,
falling investment in
coal - fired
generation and slowing power demand growth could see China's miners export some of their surplus output at competitive prices, hitting regional miners and the viability of new projects.
With
coal prices
falling and natural gas prices rising, the EIA says
coal's share of U.S. power
generation in the first four months of 2013 averaged 39.5 percent, compared with 35.4 percent in the same period last year.
Move still
falls short of halting build - up of overcapacity in
coal - fired power
generation, critics says
Between 2002 and 2012, the annual electrical
generation from
coal - fired plants
fell by 2 %, while the amount of electricity generated by natural gas plants rose by 37 %.
Another notable finding is the influence of a big switch from
coal to natural gas for electricity
generation, as gas prices
fell nearly 50 percent while
coal prices rose 6.8 percent relative to 2008.
No matter what type of power
generation there may be on a power grid, there must always be a
fall - back available; all generators, including
coal - fired and nuclear, fail from time to time.
Coal use for power generation fell even more, by at least 4 %, as power plant efficiency improved and gas and biomass displaced coal in thermal power generat
Coal use for power
generation fell even more, by at least 4 %, as power plant efficiency improved and gas and biomass displaced
coal in thermal power generat
coal in thermal power
generation.
In fact, the EIA recently reported that
coal's share of U.S. electric power
generation fell below 40 % for the last two months of 2011, the lowest level since 1978.
Coal has steadily lost its share of European electricity
generation in recent years,
falling to just over 21 percent of the E.U.'s total
generation in 2016, according to the nonprofit research group Sandbag.
Since 2006 - 07 the share of gas in power
generation has
fallen from 58 % to 49 % but the big change has been in
coal, which has
fallen from 42 % to 25 %.
Indeed,
coal's share of US electricity
generation fell to 33 % in April 2012, the lowest level seen in decades, thanks in large part to cheap natural gas, and US CO2 emissions in the first half of 2012 were 13 % below 2005 levels.
The
fall in oil - indexed natural gas prices, continued growth in renewables, the impact of EU air quality directives, and the introduction of a carbon price floor in the UK have all contributed to
coal generation retreating in Europe.
In EIA's forecast, natural gas provides 33 % of
generation in 2016 while
coal's share
falls to 32 %.
In the UK alone
coal's share of
generation fell to just 9 % in 2016 (a historic low), due to the closure of three plants last year mainly caused by the introduction of a carbon price floor.
In 2005
coal accounted 50 % of US power
generation, but by last year this had
fallen to less than one - third.
Over the 2013 - 16 period
generation from hard
coal fell by 29 %, while
generation from lignite
fell by 10 %, leading to a
fall of 22 % overall (an in - depth analysis of this most recent trend in
coal generation in Europe is found in a recently released EIU Special Report).
This would prevent disproportionate costs from
falling upon consumers who live in regions heavily dependent on
coal for power
generation.
In November and December 2011,
coal's share of total U.S. electricity
generation fell to its lowest monthly level since 1978.
In Europe, too,
coal generation has been
falling in terms of volume and market share.
In the US, where power
generation from
coal has
fallen by 38 % in volume since 2007, the availability of cheaper natural gas brought about by the boom in shale gas production has caused significant switching from
coal to natural gas in the power sector.
In the United States,
coal's dominance in the power sector has been eroded by low gas prices; in China,
coal demand has
fallen due to lower use in the industrial and residential sectors linked to efforts to improve air quality; while in the United Kingdom a recently introduced carbon price floor has rung the death knell for
coal use in power
generation.
Over that same time period, nuclear generating capacity in Europe
fell by 13 GW and
coal - fired
generation fell by 25 GW.
Indeed, wind energy represents 38 per cent of all new electric
generation capacity installed from these sources in Canada in this period — and Canada's
coal - fired generating capacity has actually
fallen at the same time.
However,
coal generation margins under current market conditions have
fallen to record lows, and the outlook doesn't look promising.
Europe's power - sector CO2 emissions
fell 4.5 % in 2016 after a «huge» switch from
coal - to gas - fired
generation, according to new analysis.
The interest in natural gas combustion as a potential solution to climate change has been gaining because US ghg emissions have
fallen somewhat as natural gas from hydraulic fracturing technologies has been rapidly replacing
coal in electricity sector
generation.
As ever - cheaper renewable energy comes online, increasingly expensive
coal generation will
fall further from profitability
IEEFA finds India's wind and solar energy costs have
fallen 50 % to as low as $ 38 per megawatt hour (MWh) over the past two years, with renewable energy bids in new auctions costing 20 % less than the cost of wholesale electricity from existing Indian
coal generation, and 30 - 50 % less than the required cost to justify new imported
coal or liquefied natural gas capacity.
Although natural - gas
generation fell between 2016 and 2017 from 35 percent to 32 percent of total national electricity production, it remained the primary fuel for power
generation for the second year in a row, surpassing
coal (around 30 percent) in 2016.
Coal - fired
generation, however,
fell by 21 % between December 2010 and December 2011, to 132 terawatthours.
The
fall in black
coal generation is thought to be due to the general decline in power consumption in NSW combined with the rise in wind
generation, especially in SA and Victoria.
The trend of decreasing
coal generation can be attributed to both
falling natural gas prices and stagnant demand for electricity, but it can also be partially attributed to the increasing role of solar and wind
generation: March 2016 set records for both the highest amount of monthly wind
generation ever measured and the highest amount of monthly utility - scale solar
generation ever measured.
As governments seek to curb greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution, carbon - intensive
coal power
generation is
falling out of favour.
Coal's share of total U.S. electricity
generation is expected to
fall to 27 percent by 2030, down from 39 percent in 2014 and more than 50 percent in 2000 — the result of the Obama administration's Clean Power Plan to limit carbon emissions from power plants.
The Prosper - Haniel mine was opened in 1974, but is closing as demand of
coal for electricity
generation falls in the face of Germany's ambitious Energiewende transition.
However, we find that
falling renewable energy costs, air pollution regulations and rising carbon prices will continue to undermine the economics of
coal power in the EU, potentially making
generation assets unusable by 2030.
Electricity demand
fell in absolute terms last year, and
coal continued to lose ground to alternative sources of power
generation.
Natural gas
generation fell further than
coal despite a net addition of 5.9 GW of new gas
generation capacity, due to higher gas prices earlier in the year.
Between January and October, for example,
coal and natural gas
generation fell by a combined 138 million kWh relative to the same period the year prior, while renewable
generation expanded by 75 million kWh (Figure 1).
BNEF says
coal's total share of Australian
generation capacity is projected to
fall from 45 per cent in 2013 to 27 per cent in 2030.
According to this scenario, the IEA says, the share of
coal in the power
generation mix
falls from 75 % to less than 60 %, but
coal - fired power still meets half of the increase in power
generation.