Sentences with phrase «coin flip»

If you're feeling impatient, Google Assistant also offers similarly randomized answers in the form of a coin flip.
Updates are a bit of a coin flip, too.
Sometimes the answers to these questions are best decided by a coin flip — and you don't need a physical coin if you have Alexa, who will flip a virtual one for you (I've tried it several times, it really does appear to be truly random).
There's the tried and true coin flip for simple yes - no decisions.
Assessing the tool's outputs in Broward County, Florida, ProPublica found that it was 61 percent predictive of rearrest, «somewhat more accurate than a coin flip
my opinion — a coin flip.
The firm told the lawyers that it was a «coin flip» and was «not merit - based in any way.»
Pete's confusion is unrelated to the concept of i.i.d., though he does seem to think that the small perturbations that occur during a coin flip, a random process, somehow serves as an apt analogy to initial conditions (and the resulting long - term changes) in the climate / weather system.
The coin flip analogy is a good one.
The first is that observations of a short streak of successful predictions of a truly random event are sufficient to generate a significant belief in the hot hand of an agent; the perception which also did not revert even in the final round of coin flip.
By contrast, the equally unlikely streak of incorrect predictions also generated a relatively weak belief in the existent of an «unlucky» agent whose luck was perceived to be likely to revert before the game finishes; evidence which was reflected in an increase in the subject's propensity to buy in the final round of coin flip.
When I ran pairs of stationary runs, I got correlations of 0.107, 0.221, etc and got 2 tailed p tests of 0.1724 and 0.6274, meaning that I would get chance runs that close or better 17.24 % of the time or 62.74 % of the time respectively - to be expected in coin flip data.
Our prior assumption (in a strictly Bayesian sense) is that corrections are a coin flip, equally likely to increase trend as decrease trend.
For the coin flip we certainly know the likelihood function.
For instance, one point estimate is mean of the distribution, which for the coin flip is.
For the coin flip, for example, this is given by the binomial distribution; the likelihood of getting heads out of flips is
For the coin flip the Jeffreys prior is
At that point I no longer consider God / No God a coin flip.
«Significant climate change is a coin flip, so we do.»
What is known is active management is a coin flip.
if it's a biological effect, I would have done no better than a coin flip and possibly worse.
It feels like merely a coin flip.
Every weapon icon looks the same, so if you were hoping for a particular weapon, good luck winning THAT coin flip.
Playing defense is a chore... throwing the ball is a coin flip... and running up the middle
Venice and The Sidewalk Cafe's History: In 1905, after winning the Venice land on a coin flip with his partners, Abbot Kinney built Venice - of - America to be a personal monument to Venice, Italy.
In 1905, after winning the Venice land on a coin flip with his partners, Abbot Kinney built Venice - of - America to be a personal monument to Venice, Italy.
Even if they are wrong, they don't think their actions are as uncertain as a coin flip.
For those earning a moderate income, however, it's a coin flip.
Just like with the coin flip, once the target is reached, you would theoretically recover all losses and turn a profit.
Given the prospect for more muted returns in the future, writes Sibears, «retirement withdrawal rates that were once safe may now deliver success rates that are no better — or even worse — than a coin flip
The reasons why can be seen in a simple game of coin flip.
Its kind of a coin flip here.
Again, there is exponential decay of streaks, near coin flip levels here as well.
2) Have you read Buffett's «coin flip» essay?
Imagine a coin flip where if you get tails you are paid $ 1, and if the coin lands heads up, you earn $ 100.
In other words, you would have had better luck — much better luck — guessing on a coin flip.
Better than a coin flip, anyway.
One of those four, a Japanese institution, batted 60 %, while the other 3 were right 53 % of the time, barely better than a coin flip.
Most retirees want their retirements to have a far better chance of working out than the odds of picking a coin flip correctly.
Consider the coin flip wager.
We can appropriately deal with probabilities that are non-extreme, a coin flip, whether or not the stock market goes up today, who will win American Idol, etc., but when a probability approaches 0 % or 100 % our instincts fail us and we act foolishly.
Our forecaster did not offer any advice about how one might have profit from calling the coin flip correctly, though the consensus seemed to be that an Obama win would be bad for stocks.
Overall, they had no more ability to forecast the future than a coin flip.
New for the series in 2009 was a coin flip that could invert the top five.
Looking at the graph below, you can see when the voucher program first started, most of the students receiving a scholarship previously attended public school, but nowadays, it's a coin flip.
Without AFT this race might have been a coin flip,» said the consultant.
But with the record stuck at 50/50 (or worse), we can't rely on a coin flip to ensure schools meet our expectations for serving students.
The game begins again with a new coin flip.
Sometimes a coin flip will also give you the same result.
a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z