The largest global - scale climate variations in Earth's recent geological past are the ice age cycles (see Learn about... the ice ages), which are
cold glacial periods followed by shorter warm periods (see Figure 3).
PS By «stable» I mean that the global temperature has been alternating between warm interglacials and
cold glacial periods — but it is stable in not going outside those ranges.
Substantial and correlated changes in marine carbonate (CaCO3) content of oceanic sediments commonly accompany the transitions from
cold glacial periods to warm interglacial periods.
Ice sheet models can be run through many glacial cycles (i.e.
cold glacial periods and warm interglacial periods).
For example, atmospheric carbon dioxide grew by approximately 30 % during the transition from the most recent
cold glacial period, about 20,000 years ago, to the current warm interglacial period; the corresponding rate of decrease in surface ocean pH, driven by geological processes, was approximately 50 times slower than the current rate driven largely by fossil fuel burning.
During the last glacial period, sea level dropped 400 feet as water was tied up in ice, and as we have moved out of
the cold glacial period, sea level has recovered.
So perhaps Earth has been as cool a 15 C colder than present Earth, but what mean is don't think it's been more than 20 C cooler [or what I would characterize a Earth which could called a snowball Earth [rather simply what could associate with
a colder glacial period].
Not exact matches
The last
glacial period spanned from 110,000 to 10,000 years ago; during that time the Earth was
colder and glaciers covered significantly more land.
The more intensive variations during
glacial periods are due to the greater difference in temperature between the ice - covered polar regions and the Tropics, which produced a more dynamic exchange of warm and
cold air masses.
As the
glacial period drew to a close and temperatures began to rise, there were two final
cold snaps.
The researchers found that during
glacial periods when the atmosphere was
colder and sea ice was far more extensive, deep ocean waters came to the surface much further north of the Antarctic continent than they do today.
* Circulation changes in the Faeroe - Shetland Channel correlating with
cold events during the last
glacial period (58 - 10 ka).
...» Meltwater from
glacial Lake Agassiz (southwest of Hudson Bay) draining catastrophically into the North Atlantic via Lake Superior and the St. Laurence seaway was once thought to have initiated ocean circulation changes leading to the Younger Dryas
cold period.
This article will use the term ice age in the former, glaciological, sense:
glacials for
colder periods during ice ages and interglacials for the warmer
periods.
The Little Ice Age was not a true
glacial period, but describes
colder climates around the world.
: the fact that the ocean was
colder during
glacial periods by itself explains only about 10 % of the CO2 change.
If C02 is the largest single contributing factor to the Greenhouse Effect (because supposedly water vapor is only involved as a feedback to primary chemistry involving C02 itself), and C02 lags temperature increases (as has been stated on this very blog), how has the Earth ever returned to
colder glacial conditions following
periods of warming?
The following is in response to Rayâ s question: What causes the drop in CO2, as the earth cools, from the interglacial warm
period to the
glacial coldest period?
The planet went from interglacial warm to
glacial cold during the Younger Dryas
period with cooling for around 1000 years.
The results suggest that warm Atlantic water never ceased to flow into the Nordic seas during the
glacial period; inflow at the surface during the Holocene and warm interstadials changed to subsurface and intermediate inflow during
cold stadials.
Similarly, a
colder climate with generally decreased humidity q O could be closer to the critical threshold, which might be the reason for less - stable monsoon circulations during
glacial periods.
Except for MIS 14, the temperature anomalies (relative to the mean temperature of the last millennium) of the
coldest levels of all
glacial periods range from around -9 to -9.5 °C with CO2 concentrations generally in the range 180 — 190 p.p.m.v..
[1] It began with the end of the
cold period known as the Oldest Dryas, and ended abruptly with the onset of the Younger Dryas, a
cold period that reduced temperatures back to near -
glacial levels within a decade.
The radiation hypothesis beloved by IPCC is not fitting the observations; not for the last 14 years, and not for the past, considering the known warm and
cold periods in the past (including
glacial and interglacial times).
-- Gleick It's my understanding that the White Earth is
colder than the recent
glacial periods.
Once a temperature threshold is breached, abrupt events follow due to amplifying feedbacks, even within a few years, examples being (1) freeze events which followed temperature peaks during past interglacial peaks due to influx of
cold ice - melt water into the north Atlantic Ocean; (2) the Dansgaard — Oeschger warming events during the last
glacial period; (3) the Younger dryas stadial freeze and the Laurentian stadial freeze.
If there was actually glaciation during
cold periods,
glacial dust might well have blown out to sea, fertilizing large areas and producing a stronger CO2 pump.
During the 800,000 years prior to 1750, atmospheric CO2 varied from 180 ppm during
glacial (
cold) up to 300 ppm during interglacial (warm)
periods.
During a
glacial period (ice age) the oceans near both poles are much
colder so the amount of heavy oxygen is very small.
During a
glacial period, we'd be about 9F
colder than today, which would be around 52F.
(Clearly however brief Warm
periods can occur during a general
glacial retreat and brief
cold periods during
glacial advance.)
47
Cold periods,
Glacial episodes.
A closed blue horizontal line at the top of the graph equates to a
period of
glacial retreat (warmth) and a closed blue line at foot of graph demonstrates glacier advance (
cold)
This is the case in the Little Ice Age, when the lows of all three cycles took place in close succession, contributing to make this the
coldest period in the Holocene, bringing it to the brink of triggering a
glacial period.
Whether this change in cyclicity means that Earth is heading into still
colder climates, or on its way out of this
glacial period, I don't know.
So for the past 3 million years the average temperature of the earth hasn't been the warmish 15C of the past 10,000 years of interglacial
period but rather the brutal
cold 3C of the
glacial periods which last ten times as long as the interglacials.
For example, the Greenland ice core data shows that the Younger Dryas cooling event occurred in a 5 year
period (Younger Dryas is the name for a climate change from the current interglacial Holocene, warm
period, back to the Wisconsin
glacial,
cold period, that occurred 12,800 yrs ago).
[Also, just to give an idea of the change we are talking about, 5 degrees Celsius might not sound like much, but that is the difference in global average temperature between the
coldest period of an ice age and the hottest
period of a warm
period or «interglacial» in the Earth's
glacial history in the modern epoch.]