A few days later, back at her office whiteboard, she thought about
the collapsed sheet of ice above each lake, full of giant fractures like the ones above Grimsvotn.
Not exact matches
Computer model simulations have suggested that
ice -
sheet melting through warm water incursions could initiate a
collapse of the WAIS within the next few centuries, raising global sea - level by up to 3.5 metres.»
She studies the mechanisms
of ice sheet collapse, the origins
of subglacial lakes, and their hidden ecosystems.
I spend a lot
of time studying the
ice sheets at the bottom
of the planet — how they form and how they
collapse.
As climate warmed, and the
ice sheet collapsed, enormous amounts
of methane were abruptly released.
SPEED UP The
collapse of West Antarctica's glaciers may be unavoidable, and the
ice sheet's demise could raise global sea level by as much as 4 meters, researchers reported.
While some may see evidence
of rapid glacier thinning in the past and again today as evidence that the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet is nearing a
collapse driven by human - caused climate change, Steig said at this point, scientists just don't know whether that is the case.
«It was the biggest
collapse of its kind up to that point, and it served to demonstrate how
ice shelves regulate the movement
of ice from the interior
of the
ice sheet to the ocean.»
For example, it says a sudden methane release from the ocean, or a slowdown
of the Gulf Stream, are «very unlikely» and that a
collapse of the West Antarctic or Greenland
ice sheets during this century is «exceptionally unlikely.»
Hot water drilling still posed challenges: A borehole filled with water would quickly refreeze, and the hole could still
collapse shut under the sheer weight
of the surrounding
ice sheet.
We reassess the potential contribution to eustatic and regional sea level from a rapid
collapse of the
ice sheet and find that previous assessments have substantially overestimated its likely primary contribution.
Even more worrying, and very likely, is the
collapse of the giant Greenland
ice sheet.
When the planet's big
ice sheets collapsed at the end
of the last
ice age, their melting caused global sea levels to rise as much as 100 meters in roughly 10,000 years, which is fast in geological time, Mann noted.
The Larsen A, a
sheet of ice the size
of Rhode Island and 500 feet thick, was
collapsing into the Weddell Sea.
«
Collapse of European
ice sheet caused chaos in past.»
During the last
ice age, much
of North America was covered by a giant
ice sheet that many scientists believe underwent several catastrophic
collapses, causing huge icebergs to enter the North Atlantic — phenomena known as Heinrich events.
Those changes may include the loss
of Arctic summer sea
ice, the
collapse of ice sheets in Greenland and western Antarctica, dieback
of the Amazon rainforest and changes in the jet stream and the pattern
of El Niño and La Niña weather cycles.
Dr Ian Joughin at the University
of Washington, author
of a recent study simulating future Antarctic
ice sheet losses added: «This study does a nice job
of revealing the strong thinning along the Amundsen Coast, which is consistent with theory and models indicating this region is in the early stages
of collapse.»
Of course, those numbers are the product of many assumptions, including partial collapse of the Antarctic ice sheet, and they are less reliable the further out they g
Of course, those numbers are the product
of many assumptions, including partial collapse of the Antarctic ice sheet, and they are less reliable the further out they g
of many assumptions, including partial
collapse of the Antarctic ice sheet, and they are less reliable the further out they g
of the Antarctic
ice sheet, and they are less reliable the further out they go.
«We know that there could potentially be catastrophic
collapse of the
ice sheets — we know it has happened in the past — but we don't know how likely it is to happen over our time scale.
BANGLADESH is one
of the countries at most risk from climate change, as it is low - lying and could be swamped by rising seas — particularly if they rise by several metres (see «
Ice sheets on course for
collapse «-RRB-.
It was bad enough to learn last year that the
ice sheets of West Antarctica were headed toward inevitable
collapse in just a few centuries and that the world would have to contend with the more than 3 meters
of water they hold.
By offering support for the idea that the EAIS has been largely stable during the last 14 million years, the research offers some hope that a massive
collapse of the
ice sheet, and associated sea level rise
of tens
of meters, may not be imminent.
One 2004 NASA - led study found that most
of the glaciers they were studying «flow into floating
ice shelves over bedrock up to hundreds
of meters deeper than previous estimates, providing exit routes for
ice from further inland if
ice -
sheet collapse is under way.»
The catastrophic
collapse of the massive West Antarctic
Ice Sheet is underway, researchers said today (May 12).
When scientists talk about the «
collapse»
of an
ice sheet, they mean irreversible, rapidly increased rates
of recession.
However, it does say that if the
collapse is underway, the contribution
of ice sheets would not «exceed several tenths
of a metre during the 21st century».
Vaughan, D.G., and J.R. Spouge, Risk estimation
of collapse of the West Antarctic
ice sheet., Climatic Change, in press.
In its latest assessment report, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded that there wasn't sufficient evidence available to put an exact number on how much the
collapse of marine - based
ice sheets could add to sea levels by 2100.
The rate
of release from the tundra alone is predicted to reach 1.5 billion tons
of carbon per annum before 2030, contributing to accelerated climate change, perhaps resulting in sustained decadal doubling
of ice loss causing collapse of the Greenland Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 201
ice loss causing
collapse of the Greenland
Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 201
Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 2011).
in the last 18 months suggesting the
collapse of the West Antarctic
ice sheet was already underway — which it probably is, Scambos adds.
Many scientists concede that without drastic emissions reductions by 2020, we are on the path toward a 4C rise as early as mid-century, with catastrophic consequences, including the loss
of the world's coral reefs; the disappearance
of major mountain glaciers; the total loss
of the Arctic summer sea -
ice, most
of the Greenland
ice -
sheet and the break - up
of West Antarctica; acidification and overheating
of the oceans; the
collapse of the Amazon rainforest; and the loss
of Arctic permafrost; to name just a few.
and the examples that he thinks have the potential to be large scale tipping elements are: Arctic sea -
ice, a reorganisation of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation, melt of the Greenland or West Antarctic Ice Sheets, dieback of the Amazon rainforest, a greening of the Sahara, Indian summer monsoon collapse, boreal forest dieback and ocean methane hydrat
ice, a reorganisation
of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation, melt
of the Greenland or West Antarctic
Ice Sheets, dieback of the Amazon rainforest, a greening of the Sahara, Indian summer monsoon collapse, boreal forest dieback and ocean methane hydrat
Ice Sheets, dieback
of the Amazon rainforest, a greening
of the Sahara, Indian summer monsoon
collapse, boreal forest dieback and ocean methane hydrates.
As more
ice are removed near the
ice margin, more intraplate earthquakes are induced and this positive feedback may explain the fast
collapse of ice sheets.
Ice shelf collapse and glacier recession here, in front of the large ice streams such as Pine Island Glacier and Thwaites Glacier, would have potential to raise sea levels by tens of centimetres to a metre, through the process of marine ice sheet instability
Ice shelf
collapse and glacier recession here, in front
of the large
ice streams such as Pine Island Glacier and Thwaites Glacier, would have potential to raise sea levels by tens of centimetres to a metre, through the process of marine ice sheet instability
ice streams such as Pine Island Glacier and Thwaites Glacier, would have potential to raise sea levels by tens
of centimetres to a metre, through the process
of marine
ice sheet instability
ice sheet instability23.
Given that the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet has a total sea level equivalent of 3.3 m1, with 1.5 m from Pine Island Glacier alone4, marine ice sheet collapse could be a significant challenge for future generations, with major changes in rates of sea level rise being possible within just the next couple of hundred yea
Ice Sheet has a total sea level equivalent of 3.3 m1, with 1.5 m from Pine Island Glacier alone4, marine ice sheet collapse could be a significant challenge for future generations, with major changes in rates of sea level rise being possible within just the next couple of hundred y
Sheet has a total sea level equivalent
of 3.3 m1, with 1.5 m from Pine Island Glacier alone4, marine
ice sheet collapse could be a significant challenge for future generations, with major changes in rates of sea level rise being possible within just the next couple of hundred yea
ice sheet collapse could be a significant challenge for future generations, with major changes in rates of sea level rise being possible within just the next couple of hundred y
sheet collapse could be a significant challenge for future generations, with major changes in rates
of sea level rise being possible within just the next couple
of hundred years.
This process is difficult to accurately model, but rapid
ice sheet collapse would certainly result in dramatically higher rates
of sea level rise once this critical threshold is passed.
We believe that the standfirst
of this piece, which states that the author «takes issue with some common misconceptions about how
ice -
sheets move, and doubts many pronouncements about the «
collapse»
of the planet's
ice sheets» misleads the reader by assuming that Ollier's arguments are correct.
It remains difficult to assess how soon a
collapse of Pine Island Glacier could occur, but a new paper by Bamber and Aspinall (2013) suggest that there is a growing view that the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet could become unstable over the next 100 years16.
A
collapse of this
ice shelf could lead to marine
ice sheet instabilty and rapid global sea level rise.
The rapid shrinkage
of glaciers around the Antarctic Peninsula, coupled with the potential for
ice - shelf collapse and grounding line retreat, raises concerns for the future of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, and this is an area of urgent current research [
ice - shelf
collapse and grounding line retreat, raises concerns for the future
of the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet, and this is an area of urgent current research [
Ice Sheet, and this is an area
of urgent current research [3].
Geologic shoreline evidence has been interpreted as indicating a rapid sea level rise
of a few meters late in the Eemian to a peak about 9 meters above present, suggesting the possibility that a critical stability threshold was crossed that caused polar
ice sheet collapse [84]--[85], although there remains debate within the research community about this specific history and interpretation.
If the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet collapses, sea level will fall close to the Antarctic and will rise much more than the expected estimate in the northern hemisphere because
of this gravitational effect;
Variety
of studies increase concern that
collapse of ice sheets (West Antarctica, perhaps Greenland) can raise sea levels faster than most had believed.
Hence our answer to the question, «are the observations
of the last few decades a harbinger
of continued
ice sheet collapse in West Antarctica?»
1968 Studies suggest a possiblity
of collapse of Antarctic
ice sheets, which would raise sea levels catastrophically.
It is well known that
ice shelves on the Antarctic Peninsula have
collapsed on several occasions in the last couple
of decades, that
ice shelves in West Antarctica are thinning rapidly, and that the large outlet glaciers that drain the West Antarctic
ice sheet (WAIS) are accelerating.
Among the benefits
of paying the AGU associate membership even if you're not a climate scientist — prompt notice
of new papers, some about climate, e.g. how do surface meltwater lakes contribute to
ice sheet collapse.
More recent work has shown that the growth and
collapse of the
ice sheets is strongly tied to the insolation (Roe, 2006).»
However, in periods in the past, say around 8,200 years ago, or during the last
ice age, there is lots
of evidence that this circulation was greatly reduced, possibly as a function
of surface freshwater forcing from large lake
collapses or from the
ice sheets.