Sentences with phrase «collection of climate models»

It shows how the observed rate of global warming compares with the rate of global warming projected to have occurred by the collection of climate models used by the IPCC.
Loehle estimated the equilibrium climate sensitivity from his transient calculation based on the average transient: equilibrium ratio projected by the collection of climate models used in the IPCC's most recent Assessment Report.
Climate sensitivity estimates from new research beginning in 2011 (colored), compared with the assessed range given in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) and the collection of climate models used in the IPCC AR5.
As a consequence, we recommend that unless / until the collection of climate models can be demonstrated to accurately capture observed characteristics of known climate changes, policymakers should avoid basing any decisions upon projections made from them.
We are beginning to sound like a broken record here, but again, it is impossible to present reliable future projections for precipitations changes across the U.S. (seasonal or annual) from a collection of climate models which largely can not even get the sign (much less the magnitude) of the observed changes correct.
Also included in the figure (black circles) is the average trend in surface temperatures produced by a collection of climate models for the same intervals.
What's lost in a lot of the discussion about human - caused climate change is not that the sum of human activities is leading to some warming of the earth's temperature, but that the observed rate of warming (both at the earth's surface and throughout the lower atmosphere) is considerably less than has been anticipated by the collection of climate models upon whose projections climate alarm (i.e., justification for strict restrictions on the use of fossil fuels) is built.
me warming of the earth's temperature, but that the observed rate of warming (both at the earth's surface and throughout the lower atmosphere) is considerably less than has been anticipated by the collection of climate models upon whose projections climate alarm (i.e., justification for strict restrictions on the use of fossil fuels) is built.
And, the IPCC projection is probably too high because it was driven by a collection of climate models which new science indicates produce too much warming given a rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels.
The CMIP5 collection of climate model simulations use observations up to 2005 and projected forcings thereafter.

Not exact matches

That understanding will be advanced by new and more extensive data collection efforts, improvements to methods used to synthesise that data, and more extensive and collaborative use of climate model simulations over this period — both to understand the forcing / response of the climate, but also to serve as testbed for the various reconstruction methodologies.
On the contrary, our results add to a broadening collection of research indicating that models that simulate today's climate best tend to be the models that project the most global warming over the remainder of the twenty - first century.
Climate research is a slow, methodical business whether based on collection and evaluation of historical data sets or the development, evaluation and forecast use of better climate Climate research is a slow, methodical business whether based on collection and evaluation of historical data sets or the development, evaluation and forecast use of better climate climate models.
MAGICC is itself a collection of simple gas - cycle, climate, and ice - melt models to efficiently emulate the output of complex climate models.
Very few of these people would call themselves climate scientists — they are a collection of people who study the ocean, air, past climate, numerical models, physics, ice, etc..
I expect that improvements in model «correctness» will depend the continues collection of climate data which (at least appears) to conflict with the models.
Regional climate models should likewise be considered as «collections of our understanding of the regional climate system».
Scientists and management agencies alike stress the need to improve resolution and predictive capabilities of climate models through improved data collection and analysis.
To describe and understand the physical processes responsible for climate variability and predictability on seasonal, interannual, decadal, and centennial time - scales, through the collection and analysis of observations and the development and application of models of the coupled climate system, in cooperation with other relevant climate - research and observing programmes.
Confronted with obstinate refusal by nature to comply with climate model predictions / projections, she now has serious doubts and makes it very clear to the ragbag collection of looney warmista that, like it or not, they have a very uncomfortable reality to confront.
Using a collection of 13 climate models, the researchers simulated the frequency of extreme El Niño events from a pre-industrial period of 1869 - 99 to the end of the 21st century.
Using a collection of 13 climate models, the researchers simulated the frequency of extreme El Niño events from a
Aerosol collections on the NOAA Ron Brown for subsequent processing of INP activation temperature spectra and composition analyses, add a valuable measurement to the ACAPEX and related CalWater2 (NOAA) studies for use in parameterizing and modeling the impacts of marine boundary layer and other aerosols on climate and radiation via aerosol - indirect effects on mixed phase clouds.
The collection of standard namelists for example allows to reproduce the figures from the climate model evaluation chapter of IPCC AR5 (Chapter 9) and parts of the projection chapter (Chapter 12).
As Vecchi and Soden report, there is a robust increase in vertical wind shear over a good deal of the tropical Atlantic in the collection of the 18 climate model results they examined (running SRES A1B).
This pamphlet is a collection of information aimed to highlight uncertainty around climate models and whether fossil fuels contribute to climate change.
There are two prominent and undeniable examples of the models» insufficiencies: 1) climate models overwhelmingly expected much more warming to have taken place over the past several decades than actually occurred; and 2) the sensitivity of the earth's average temperature to increases in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations (such as carbon dioxide) averages some 60 percent greater in the IPCC's climate models than it does in reality (according to a large and growing collection of evidence published in the scientific literature).
Statistically speaking, instead of there being a clear inconsistency (i.e., the observed trend value falls outside of the range which encompasses 95 % of all modeled trends) between the observations and the climate mode simulations for lengths ranging generally from 11 to 28 years and a marginal inconsistency (i.e., the observed trend value falls outside of the range which encompasses 90 % of all modeled trends) for most of the other lengths, now the observations track closely the marginal inconsistency line, although trends of length 17, 19, 20, 21 remain clearly inconsistent with the collection of modeled trends.
The collection of measures that quantify how well a model performs in an ensemble of tests of this kind are referred to as «climate metrics».
Washington, DC — Researchers reviewed the likelihood of continued changes to the terrestrial climate, including an analysis of a collection of 27 climate models.
I found a paper from 2003 by a collection of climate scientist chaps from Princeton and other places, who estimated carbon uptake in various places and come to the conclusion: «there is more carbon dioxide uptake at low latitudes, and less at high latitudes, than the models predict.»
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