Tipping
a commodity price recovery that will boost Western Australia's economy is a game for the brave or the foolish; and while Colin Barnett came close to being one or the other yesterday, he was actually just being premature.
Not exact matches
Since that report came out, we can count another upside to the «China syndrome»: Canada weathered the recession better than just about every other developed economy, thanks in part to a quick
recovery in emerging economies and thus in
commodity prices.
According to the survey, the top concerns of small business owners over the next year are the effectiveness of government leaders,
commodities prices, healthcare costs,
recovery of consumer spending and the strength of the U.S. dollar.
It has been a long road to
recovery, but this is one part of the world that has been a net beneficiary of falling oil and
commodity prices.»
Canada's weaknesses as a trading nation were exposed; first by the weak
recovery in the U.S., and then by the collapse of
commodity prices starting in 2014.
THE gloom is lifting from the local economy as improving
commodity prices promise a strong
recovery.
SCM Direct CIO, Alan Miller says he believes the market has probably seen the sharp falls and sharp
recovery in the oil
price recently, while commenting on
commodities overall.
Latin American and Caribbean emerging and developing economies are projected to continue a gradual economic growth
recovery from the effects of the fall in
commodity prices during 2014 — 16.
A
recovery in
commodity prices was due primarily to rising
prices for oil and natural gas and was thus a strong positive for exporters of those
commodities.
«Supported by demand exceeding supply, on the back of multiple years of declining
prices, a peaking dollar should mark an inflection point for sustained
commodity recovery,» McGlone says.
Rising
commodity prices associated with the beginning of the Korean War had significantly strengthened Canada's trade balance with the United States, and the concurrent economic
recovery in Europe had further boosted demand for Canadian exports.
The recent
recovery in
commodity prices has relieved some of the emerging economies» economic pressures that had been evident during 2015.
Others attributed faster input
price growth to an anticipated
recovery in
commodity prices.
Two key cyclical factors have affected business investment in Canada since the Great Recession: sharp movements in
commodity prices and the subdued pace of the US
recovery.
The second cyclical factor that has had a major impact on our exports and business investment is the protracted
recovery of the US economy — the slowest in the postwar period.10 When oil and other
commodity prices rose in the years before the 2014 oil
price shock, so did our dollar, making our non-
commodity exports to the United States less competitive and reinforcing the ongoing shift from manufacturing to services.
Recoveries traditionally have been primed by higher
commodity prices and export demand but that external stimulus has been missing on this occasion.
Commodity prices generally moved higher again during the June quarter, reflecting stronger world demand and a
recovery in rural
prices.
Commodity prices in SDR terms remain on a firm upward trend, buoyed by the global economic
recovery and the associated pick - up in demand for raw materials.
An important reason why the current
recovery is so sluggish is that the usual external stimulus from higher
commodity prices and external demand has been missing on this occasion.
The global
recovery has also boosted
commodity prices, with the terms of trade increasing to levels not seen for the past quarter - century.
Conditions in the mining industry also look to be improving as the global
recovery has gathered pace and
commodity prices have risen strongly (see chapter on «Balance of Payments» for more detail).
At the same time, emerging markets, which have been adjusting for the past four years amid slack
commodity prices and weak global demand, are also in
recovery mode.
The main challenge facing the ECB today is no longer the collapse in
commodity prices, but a more fundamental mix of concerns revolving around the strength of the
recovery, the crucial bank credit channel as well as potential second - round effects on wage growth and (core) inflation.
China's
recovery also coincided with a near perfect set - up for EM assets: a weaker U.S. dollar, falling bond yields, rising
commodity prices and a more synchronized global expansion.
It notes that increased northern hemisphere production is outweighing any
recovery in global demand, forcing international
commodity prices lower.
Continued concerns over
commodity prices and the pace of economic
recovery both domestically and internationally has kept rates lower.
Post-Fed rate increase and halfway through the first month of 2016, Treasuries
prices have increased, as some investors have moved toward safe haven assets in response to concerns over dangers in the U.S. economic
recovery, which have been brought on by possible credit problems in energy and
commodity companies due to the low
price of oil.
According to an article at Franklin Templeton, these markets are showing signs of
recovery ass earnings, exports and
commodity prices are on the upswing.
I expect the Canadian dollar will remain weak until we see concrete signs of
recovery in
commodity prices.
The
recovery in
commodity prices has taken some of that pressure off, and both these bonds and share
prices have rallied.
Looking forward, things to watch include: the impact of economic
recovery on
commodity prices and agricultural expansion for food and biofuels production; large - scale land acquisition by foreign nations and corporations in tropical countries; climate negotiations and the REDD mechanism, including controversies over land rights, «offsetting», forest definitions, and sustainable forest management; the emergence of payments for ecosystem services beyond REDD; the cap - and - trade versus carbon tax schemes; efforts to address the demand side of deforestation — notably consumption; emerging certification systems for agricultural and forestry products (i.e. RSPO, Aliança da Terra, FSC, etc); and Brazil's progress in meeting its deforestation reduction targets.
Sharply higher
commodity prices, combined with resumption of agricultural lending and
recovery of the Amazon cattle herd, will challenge efforts to reduce deforestation next year.
With added pressure from the continued global economic
recovery, this
commodity is unlikely to see long - term
price reductions.
Partly due to the
recovery of oil and
commodity prices, the economic area of Latin America and the Caribbean climbed out of economic recession