The three will
compare average global surface temperatures between 1998 and 2003 with temperatures from 2012 to 2017.
Not exact matches
In the latter half of the decade, La Niña conditions persisted in the eastern and central tropical Pacific, keeping
global surface temperatures about 0.1 degree C colder than
average — a small effect
compared with long - term
global warming but a substantial one over a decade.
Fig. 4 The «Cold Sun» forecast of Vahrenholt and Lüning
compared with
global surface temperatures of the British Meteorological Service (HadCRUT data), moving
average over 23 months to end of October 2016.
Fig. 5 The «Cold Sun» forecast of Vahrenholt and Lüning
compared with
global surface temperatures of the British Meteorological Service (HadCRUT data), running
average over 37 months.
According to the published report, there is no longer a discrepancy in the rate of
global average temperature increase for the
surface compared with higher levels in the atmosphere.
In 2) i wanted to discuss the different forcing efficacies of solar shortwave
compared to anthro fossil carbon combustion upon
global average surface temperature, rather than the emission
temperature at top of atmosphere
From such a
temperature distribution one may derive a mean
global surface temperature and may
compare it with the globally
average near -
surface temperature for the real Earth - atmosphere system of about 288 K.
In the latter half of the decade, La Niña conditions persisted in the eastern and central tropical Pacific, keeping
global surface temperatures about 0.1 degree C colder than
average — a small effect
compared with long - term
global warming but a substantial one over a decade.
The scientists» main approach was simple: to look at solar output and cosmic ray intensity over the last 30 - 40 years, and
compare those trends with the graph for
global average surface temperature.
Ken: The 33 C figure is derived from looking at the
global energy balance, i.e.,
comparing the actual
average surface temperature to the
average surface temperature that one would of necessity have to have if the Earth were otherwise the same (in particular, same albedo) but there was no greenhouse effect.
Figure 3:
Global mean sea level variations (light line) computed from the TOPEX / POSEIDON satellite altimeter data compared with the global averaged sea surface temperature variations (dark line) for 1993 to
Global mean sea level variations (light line) computed from the TOPEX / POSEIDON satellite altimeter data
compared with the
global averaged sea surface temperature variations (dark line) for 1993 to
global averaged sea
surface temperature variations (dark line) for 1993 to 1998.
«Climate science» as it is used by warmists implies adherence to a set of beliefs: (1) Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will warm the Earth's
surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production of CO2 is producing significant increases in CO2 concentration; (3) The rate of rise of
temperature in the 20th and 21st centuries is unprecedented
compared to the rates of change of
temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations; (4) The climate of the 19th century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to
compare against any current climate; (5)
global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels at projected rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The
global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 %
compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing.
NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York, which monitors
global surface temperatures on an ongoing basis, released an updated analysis that shows
temperatures around the globe in 2011
compared to the
average global temperature from the mid-20th century.
How much warmer the globe has become
compared to 1998 can only really be commented on after an El Nino influence on the
global average surface temperatures similar to the 1997 - 1998 El Nino occurs, and other transient or cyclical influences on the «annual
average» are considered.
Giaever also disputed the significance of the measured 0.8 °C
average global surface warming over the past 130 years,
comparing it to a human fever and the
temperature at which he had to maintain tissue for cell growth during his own biophysical experiments, also showing the following slide:
Most of these receive little attention in the media
compared to the
global average surface temperature (important though it is).