Don't know where I got my lines crossed but I herewith point out in Chapter1 figures 1.4 and 1.5,
comparing near surface temperature range observed data with projections, 1990 — 2015 with its plateau of measured data warming and large uncertainty shading.
Not exact matches
Near surface tropospheric
temperatures are such a small fraction of Earth's non-tectonic energy reservoir, and the thermal inertia of this region is so small
compared to the ocean, that it's like trying to see how much extra weight and inertia a flee or does not add to a dog.
From such a
temperature distribution one may derive a mean global
surface temperature and may
compare it with the globally average
near -
surface temperature for the real Earth - atmosphere system of about 288 K.
''... worked with two sediment cores they extracted from the seabed of the eastern Norwegian Sea, developing a 1000 - year proxy
temperature record «based on measurements of δ18O in Neogloboquadrina pachyderma, a planktonic foraminifer that calcifies at relatively shallow depths within the Atlantic waters of the eastern Norwegian Sea during late summer,» which they
compared with the temporal histories of various proxies of concomitant solar activity... This work revealed, as the seven scientists describe it, that «the lowest isotope values (highest
temperatures) of the last millennium are seen ~ 1100 - 1300 A.D., during the Medieval Climate Anomaly, and again after ~ 1950 A.D.» In between these two warm intervals, of course, were the colder
temperatures of the Little Ice Age, when oscillatory thermal minima occurred at the times of the Dalton, Maunder, Sporer and Wolf solar minima, such that the δ18O proxy record of
near -
surface water
temperature was found to be «robustly and
near - synchronously correlated with various proxies of solar variability spanning the last millennium,» with decade - to century - scale
temperature variability of 1 to 2 °C magnitude.»
Figure 9.6
compares observed
near -
surface temperature trends over the globe (top row) with those simulated by climate models when they include anthropogenic and natural forcing (second row) and the same trends simulated by climate models when only natural forcings are included (third row).
Forecasts of March
near -
surface air
temperatures compared to the 1981 - 2010 average over Europe initialized in mid-January, before the SSW (top left), and after (bottom center).
The recent atmospheric circulation has driven
near normal
surface air
temperatures (see Figure 7) over much of the central Arctic Ocean (normal
compared to a 1981 - 2010 climatology) in the last two months.
Figure 3
compares the
near -
surface temperatures in the tropics from 20 degrees North to 20 degrees South latitude to the climate model simulations.
We
compared the balloon trends weighted by the lower troposphere satellite
temperature weighting functions to the
near -
surface observed trends for global and tropical data.
The figure 6
compares the model
near -
surface temperatures from 50 degrees South to 75 degrees South latitude to the observations.
Well, I was one of the first persons in the blogosphere at the time to evaluate that, because I
compared the dip in the
temperature of sampled water with the dip in the
temperature of
near -
surface air measured on ships, and observed that approximately half or so of the dip was explainable by instrumentation changes and the remainder by some other mechanism — probably a change in internal ocean dynamics (PDO, AMO, etc..)
Jones et al. (2003) investigated the changes in
temperature over the past 4 decades at both the
near surface (troposphere) and stratosphere layers, and
compare them to changes predicted by a coupled atmosphere / ocean general circulation model, HadCM3.
The heat from that unprecedented El Nino, possibly assisted by far smaller variations elsewhere, was sufficient to elevate the
temperature of the world's
near surface air by 0.55 Fahrenheit degrees,
compared with the preceding twelve months.
To
compare to the trend from the
surface temperature record (+0.161 ± 0.033 °C / decade from 1979 to 2012 according to NASA GISS [44]-RRB- it is most appropriate to derive trends for the part of the atmosphere
nearest the
surface, i.e., the lower troposphere.
A simple example is
compare average
surface temperatures at or
near the equator to the average
surface temperatures in the desert regions north or south of the equator.