Sentences with phrase «compare predictions of the models»

As the first such collision to be positively identified, the August event provided the first opportunity to compare predictions of the models to actual observations.

Not exact matches

The team, led by doctoral student Adam R. Burns, now a postdoctoral researcher at Stanford University, compared what they found in the fish with predictions from computer modeling of microbial dynamics performed by co-author Elizabeth Miller of the META Center for Systems Biology.

To assess their software, the team compared model predictions with the characteristics of other known locations they had not fed into the computer.

The strength of this technique is that the model is continuously fine - tuned — it compares its predictions against the real - world data and self - corrects in near - real time.

Comparing five state - of - the - art weather prediction models, researchers found current models can forecast both where and how much rainfall a tropical cyclone will produce up to two days in advance.

«When we first compared the predictions of our reconstructions with the mantle tomography model we were amazed by how perfectly they aligned,» Associate Professor Schellart said.

Dozens of teams submitted 179 predictions based on state - of - the - art computational models, and the organisers compared them against the experimental results.

In comparing their computational predictions against the actual historical record provided by the Metaphor Map of English, researchers found that their models correctly forecast about 75 percent of recorded metaphorical language mappings over the past millennium.

Instead of looking for particular signatures, they wrote software that analyzes all the data and compares them with predictions of the so - called Standard Model, which comprises the known set of laws of particle physics.

In particular, they hope to measure to within a few percentage points how quickly the Higgs decays into different combinations of more - familiar particles and compare that with standard model predictions.

It then compares the actual behavior of its body with the generated models to see which one made the best predictions, taking the winning model and seeding it into the action in each round.

After comparing the historic data with the expert's predictions, the program can then provide insights into the bias of the expert's own mental models, according to the researchers.

The paleoclimate data, which included mainly changes in the oxygen isotopes of the calcium carbonate deposits, were then compared to similar records from other caves, ice cores, and sediment records as well as model predictions for water availability in the Middle East and west central Asia today and into the future.

Another feature of the «Pinatubo effect» that mirrors the predictions of the models is the greater cooling of the interiors of continental landmasses compared with other regions of the globe.

We are excited to connect and compare planet formation models and their predictions to exoplanet populations; we are looking for a postdoctoral researcher with expertise in planet formation, exoplanet population studies, and / or statistical assessment of exoplanet surveys,

Figure 1: The limit of the measured photon flux as a function of threshold energy compared to model predictions.

In addition, atmospheric scientist Dr. Hendrik Tennekes, a scientific pioneer in the development of numerical weather prediction and former director of research at The Netherlands» Royal National Meteorological Institute, recently compared scientists who promote computer models predicting future climate doom to unlicensed «software engineers.»

We also compare our results with the predictions of state - of - the - art population synthesis models based on the gravitational instability (GI) formation scenario by Forgan & Rice (2013), with and without scattering.

Supplementary Fig. 36a shows the performance of the model based on the TIN measure at the tissue level, while Supplementary Fig. 36b compares the predictions based on TIN with the predictions based on gene expression at the individual level.

We compare model predictions to the distributions of rotational periods measured for low mass stars belonging to star forming regions and young open clusters.

Here we report an analysis of Jupiter's even gravitational harmonics J4, J6, J8 and J10 as observed by Juno5 and compared to the predictions of interior models.

Offering support for their new perspective, the predictions of the analytical model are compared with empirical measurements from two different sources and found to be in agreement.

Since the 1950s, social scientists have been comparing the predictive abilities of traditional experts, and what are known as «statistical prediction rules,» which are just simple models.

p.s. To compare to Vahrenholt's forecast, here's a comparison of earlier model projections of global temperature for the IPCC (prediction with the CMIP3 model ensemble used in the 4th IPCC assessment report, published in 2007) with the actual changes in temperature (the four colored curves).

The researchers compared predictions of 22 widely used climate «models» — elaborate schematics that try to forecast how the global weather system will behave — with actual readings gathered by surface stations, weather balloons and orbiting satellites over the past three decades.

All in all the science of hurricanes does appear to be much more fun and interesting than the average climate change issue, as there is a debate, a «fight» between different hypothesis, predictions compared to near - future observations, and all that does not always get pre-eminence in the exchanges about models.

Comparing model predictions of GHG - induced warming with recent natural temperature fluctuations also indicates the potential scale of man - made climate change.Early modelling experiments focused on the total long - term change resulting from a doubling of carbon dioxide (CO2) levels.

Gavin Schmidt went nuts when I compared 8 years of data with a model prediction (and I even concluded that little could be said on that time scale).

The selected projects address three topics: one project will build a testing framework giving industry and academia the ability to evaluate and compare the performance of solar irradiance and solar power forecasting models; four projects seek to improve solar irradiance predictions; and three projects will examine how to integrate solar forecasting technologies with grid operators» energy management systems.

The problem, of course, is that while these different versions of the model might all match the historical data, they would in general generate different predictions going forward — and sure enough, his calibrated model produced terrible predictions compared to the «reality» originally generated by the perfect model.

Those can be compared to predictions of climate models as Spencer has attempted.

The results indicate that by the end of the 21st century the Alpine high mountain flora will lose on average 44 to 50 % of its current distribution area, a fairly moderate forecast as compared to predictions achieved from more traditional modeling techniques.

The many hours of studying models and comparing them with actual climate changes fulfills the increasing wish to know how much one can trust climate models and their predictions.

This month's report includes a compilation of ship - based observations from the Geographic Information Network of Alaska IceWatch program, a discussion of the August modeling contributions and how they compare to June and July, a look at the predictions in specific regions, and a discussion of current ice and weather conditions.

The SHA model for hmF2 improves the fit to the observed data with respect to IRI prediction, especially at high and low latitudes and they may reduce the deviations by 23 % and 40 %, respectively, compared to the deviations of the IRI prediction (Magdaleno et al. 2011).

In addition, atmospheric scientist Dr. Hendrik Tennekes, a scientific pioneer in the development of numerical weather prediction and former director of research at The Netherlands» Royal National Meteorological Institute, recently compared scientists who promote computer models predicting future climate doom to unlicensed «software engineers.»

He also compares climate models to end - of - the - world predictions, saying that «This has now reached the level of the Mayan calendar and Nostradamus when it comes to science.»

For the first time, scientists have compared the latest predictions for global warming with a range of statistical models, commonly used to predict the spread of malaria.

For example, the median prediction of heuristically - based contributions is 4.4 million km2, compared with 4.75 for statistical and 4.7 for modeling.

The regional model's predictions of surface temperature changes over the eastern United States were compared to parallel forecasts made by the same GCM.

What one would do in the real world is measure the spectrum of Carbon, compare it to the predictions of the models, and then hand out the ribbons to the winners!

Mr. Nordhaus then claims that to «compare the actual temperature increases of the model predictions for all sources (case 1) with the predictions for natural sources alone (case 2).»

Habitat loss alone may be a good predictor of extinctions of threatened and endemic species in biodiversity hotspots, but this takes no account of pervasive synergistic effects of hunting, wildfires and other anthropogenic impacts on isolated populations which may lead to much higher extinction rates compared to predictions from unqualified SAR models alone.

This graph shows the predictions of various IPCC global climate models (lines with no squares or circles) compared to global temperature measurements made by weather balloons (circles) and satellites (squares).

They then compare the actual temperature increases of the model predictions for all sources (case 1) with the predictions for natural sources alone (case 2).

Fyfe's findings are based on a study of 117 GCM simulations over a 20 - year period comparing the results of model predictions to the observed rate of warming.

I simply compared IPCC predictions with observations as an example of how to do a verification, which is standard practice in the atmospheric sciences, but much less so in the climate modeling community (and yes, I think this is indeed the case).

And the purpose of the models is NOT to provide detailed predictions of every behavior the climate may exhibit, but rather so we can compare qualitative and quantitative trends in nature and in the models.

Specifically the part that should consist to compare the new McRad (new model) prediction to reality with a precise description of the experimental detail and data treatment is completely missing.

They compared the predictions made by COMPAS to two other sources of predictions: (1) Ordinary statistical predictive models and (2) Intuitive predictions by ordinary people.