Sentences with phrase «compared model predictions»

To assess their software, the team compared model predictions with the characteristics of other known locations they had not fed into the computer.
We compare model predictions to the distributions of rotational periods measured for low mass stars belonging to star forming regions and young open clusters.
Comparing model predictions of GHG - induced warming with recent natural temperature fluctuations also indicates the potential scale of man - made climate change.Early modelling experiments focused on the total long - term change resulting from a doubling of carbon dioxide (CO2) levels.
As I believe was explained to Willis back when he did his analysis, if you want to compare the model predictions to the real world, you can not recenter to the real world mean.
Robert C. Balling, Jr. gives a graph relevant to comparing a model prediction with the actual record.

Not exact matches

Later, Marjorie collected data for the model, and Tomas and I compared the model's predictions.
The team, led by doctoral student Adam R. Burns, now a postdoctoral researcher at Stanford University, compared what they found in the fish with predictions from computer modeling of microbial dynamics performed by co-author Elizabeth Miller of the META Center for Systems Biology.
As the first such collision to be positively identified, the August event provided the first opportunity to compare predictions of the models to actual observations.
The strength of this technique is that the model is continuously fine - tuned — it compares its predictions against the real - world data and self - corrects in near - real time.
Comparing five state - of - the - art weather prediction models, researchers found current models can forecast both where and how much rainfall a tropical cyclone will produce up to two days in advance.
«When we first compared the predictions of our reconstructions with the mantle tomography model we were amazed by how perfectly they aligned,» Associate Professor Schellart said.
Dozens of teams submitted 179 predictions based on state - of - the - art computational models, and the organisers compared them against the experimental results.
In comparing their computational predictions against the actual historical record provided by the Metaphor Map of English, researchers found that their models correctly forecast about 75 percent of recorded metaphorical language mappings over the past millennium.
This image compares the neural activation patterns between images from the participants» brains when reading «O eleitor foi ao protesto» (observed image) and the computational model's prediction for «The voter went to the protest» (predicted image).
Instead of looking for particular signatures, they wrote software that analyzes all the data and compares them with predictions of the so - called Standard Model, which comprises the known set of laws of particle physics.
When compared to standard weather prediction modeling, Roebber's evolutionary methodology performs particularly well on longer - range forecasts and extreme events, when an accurate forecast is needed the most.
In particular, they hope to measure to within a few percentage points how quickly the Higgs decays into different combinations of more - familiar particles and compare that with standard model predictions.
When the expert predictions were compared with the real 2014 results, they were found to be no better than a naïve forecasting model that assumes each team will replicate their previous year's performance.
It then compares the actual behavior of its body with the generated models to see which one made the best predictions, taking the winning model and seeding it into the action in each round.
After comparing the historic data with the expert's predictions, the program can then provide insights into the bias of the expert's own mental models, according to the researchers.
The paleoclimate data, which included mainly changes in the oxygen isotopes of the calcium carbonate deposits, were then compared to similar records from other caves, ice cores, and sediment records as well as model predictions for water availability in the Middle East and west central Asia today and into the future.
Another feature of the «Pinatubo effect» that mirrors the predictions of the models is the greater cooling of the interiors of continental landmasses compared with other regions of the globe.
Two comments — One, the 2001 model predictions thus far have turned out to be quite accurate when compared to real world climate changes.
We are excited to connect and compare planet formation models and their predictions to exoplanet populations; we are looking for a postdoctoral researcher with expertise in planet formation, exoplanet population studies, and / or statistical assessment of exoplanet surveys,
Figure 1: The limit of the measured photon flux as a function of threshold energy compared to model predictions.
In addition, atmospheric scientist Dr. Hendrik Tennekes, a scientific pioneer in the development of numerical weather prediction and former director of research at The Netherlands» Royal National Meteorological Institute, recently compared scientists who promote computer models predicting future climate doom to unlicensed «software engineers.»
We also compare our results with the predictions of state - of - the - art population synthesis models based on the gravitational instability (GI) formation scenario by Forgan & Rice (2013), with and without scattering.
Supplementary Fig. 36a shows the performance of the model based on the TIN measure at the tissue level, while Supplementary Fig. 36b compares the predictions based on TIN with the predictions based on gene expression at the individual level.
Here we report an analysis of Jupiter's even gravitational harmonics J4, J6, J8 and J10 as observed by Juno5 and compared to the predictions of interior models.
Systems biology and bioinformatics analyses are employed to compare research results from model organisms with human aging to develop models and predictions for causative molecular mechanisms and circuits that influence human aging.
Offering support for their new perspective, the predictions of the analytical model are compared with empirical measurements from two different sources and found to be in agreement.
Since the 1950s, social scientists have been comparing the predictive abilities of traditional experts, and what are known as «statistical prediction rules,» which are just simple models.
So if you just took the relative change since 1999, not the absolute numbers as compared to the red curve, their new model would predict the same warming as a standard scenario run (i.e. the black one), which would hardly have been a reason to go to the worldwide media with a «pause in warming» prediction.
p.s. To compare to Vahrenholt's forecast, here's a comparison of earlier model projections of global temperature for the IPCC (prediction with the CMIP3 model ensemble used in the 4th IPCC assessment report, published in 2007) with the actual changes in temperature (the four colored curves).
Two comments — One, the 2001 model predictions thus far have turned out to be quite accurate when compared to real world climate changes.
Also what about publishing how modelled predictions from 5 or 10 years ago compare with measured temperatures?
All predictions (whether in a laboratory or natural setting) are based on such models and it is only from comparing predictions to observations that one progresses.
The researchers compared predictions of 22 widely used climate «models» — elaborate schematics that try to forecast how the global weather system will behave — with actual readings gathered by surface stations, weather balloons and orbiting satellites over the past three decades.
All in all the science of hurricanes does appear to be much more fun and interesting than the average climate change issue, as there is a debate, a «fight» between different hypothesis, predictions compared to near - future observations, and all that does not always get pre-eminence in the exchanges about models.
In reality, when we compare apples to apples — El Niño years to El Niño years — we've seen more than 0.3 °C global surface warming over the past 18 years, which is in line with climate model predictions.
Gavin Schmidt went nuts when I compared 8 years of data with a model prediction (and I even concluded that little could be said on that time scale).
The bad news is that as more is understood about global warming, and as we compare what has happened to what was predicted by the average models (from the actual science, not from popular sensationalized media), the earlier scientific predictions have turned out to be too conservative, not as you say «too alarmist».
The selected projects address three topics: one project will build a testing framework giving industry and academia the ability to evaluate and compare the performance of solar irradiance and solar power forecasting models; four projects seek to improve solar irradiance predictions; and three projects will examine how to integrate solar forecasting technologies with grid operators» energy management systems.
The thesis predictions were compared to predictions made by the well - known Hubbert model, which is based on a symmetrical production profile about a peak year.
The problem, of course, is that while these different versions of the model might all match the historical data, they would in general generate different predictions going forward — and sure enough, his calibrated model produced terrible predictions compared to the «reality» originally generated by the perfect model.
Those can be compared to predictions of climate models as Spencer has attempted.
The results indicate that by the end of the 21st century the Alpine high mountain flora will lose on average 44 to 50 % of its current distribution area, a fairly moderate forecast as compared to predictions achieved from more traditional modeling techniques.
Climate models compare their models in the same way people predicting peak oil compare their predictions.
Douglass et al officially pointed out the glaring deficiency in 2007 by comparing tropospheric predictions from the models.
Summing up all the predictions I know 20 years back or so, CO2 is running the «worst case» way while the temperature is following the «best case» way every single time the record could be compared to what models were predicting.
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