We are
comparing decadal rates with at least an order of magnitude centennial rates.
Not exact matches
The first link refers to annual increases (
comparing the last three years) whereas the second refers to
decadal rates of increase (
comparing the last decade against the 1960s).
The
rate of increase (i.e. change in temperature per year) is increasing, so maybe the best way to tell is by
comparing decadal changes.
Holgate 2007 showed
decadal swings from -1 mm / year to +5 mm / year, so the present
decadal rates are not at all unusual
compared to the 20thC.
«stratospheric water vapor probably increased between 1980 and 2000, which would have enhanced the
decadal rate of surface warming during the 1990s by about 30 % as
compared to estimates neglecting this change.
Comparing the last two
decadal trends shown above, what is your conclusion regarding the warming
rates?
I hope that we may well be nearing the brink of having within humanity's grasp, not only strong inferences about the recent, relative
decadal reduction in the
rate of surface warming (
compared with the final quarter of Century 20), but also with a more compelling story about the true pause which stretched across the middle of that century.