Adding to the already
complex effects of climate change, these processes essentially work against each other.
Not exact matches
This gives scientists an ideal laboratory to observe the varied and
complex interactions
of the clouds and smoke and their
climate effects (see graphic above).
The physics
of climate change are simple classical physics in a stunningly
complex, multiscale system, so it is possible to design experiments based on cause and
effect.
«The
climate, biology, and society in the Arctic are changing in rapid,
complex, and interactive ways, with
effects throughout the region and, increasingly, the globe,» finds the report from the National Research Council (NRC)
of the U.S. National Academies.
And what we see is both how
complex climate changes can be and how profound an
effect changing patterns
of ocean circulation can have on global
climate states, if looked at on a geological time scale.»
It's a
complex interplay that makes it hard for scientists to tease out the
effect of clouds on
climate and vice versa.
«To predict the
effects this type
of deforestation has on the relationship between rain forest and the savanna — and on the local and global
climate — it's necessary to understand how the transitional forest evolves in time and reacts to disturbances,» explained Yannick De Decker, associate professor at the Center for Nonlinear Phenomena and
Complex Systems, as well as the Nonlinear Physical Chemistry Unit at ULB.
In short, the situation is
complex, but Irma is undoubtedly being supercharged by the
effects of climate change heating our oceans.
development
of two - way coupling between WRF and CCSM to represent the upscaled
effects of climate hot spots such as the Maritime Continent, the subtropical eastern boundary regime, and the monsoon regions where global
climate models fail to simulate the
complex processes due to feedback and scale interactions.
An assessment
of climate effects on Montana agriculture is
complex because
of uncertainties inherent in the timing and manifestation
of climate change, and because
of complexity in how natural systems, agricultural producers, and market processes will react.
Human influences on the
climate (largely the accumulation
of CO2 from fossil fuel combustion) are a physically small (1 %)
effect on a
complex, chaotic, multicomponent and multiscale system.
In a
complex climate of challenging pupil behaviour, emotional difficulties and ongoing policy changes, the
effect on health and wellbeing is significant.
Earth Science unit where students investigate the nature and importance
of Earth's ocean and its
effect on
climate, and the
complex science
of climate change
Seas
of Change - Earth Science unit where students investigate the nature and importance
of Earth's ocean and its
effect on
climate, and the
complex science
of climate change
Using a
complex and seductive combination
of print and collage techniques, the work considers the impact and
effects of climate change and globalisation.
I am probably as aware
of any reader here
of modeling challenges in general, and can appreciate the work your groups have performed, but I can also appreciate the implications
of the mismatch that prompted your post: there is fundamental uncertainty in the interaction
of the
complex mechanisms that drive
climate change, including the human
effect.
[
Of course, this experiment is faulty b / c the thermal mass of the water is acting like a hot water bottle...] Conceptually, however, you can show your students the diffusion effect associated with CO2 and H2O, that the heat will eventually work its way out of the water into its surroundings [like heat trapped in a hot rock], and that climate science is a complex endeavor because the CO2 signal is not the sole factor out there [although one of the only man - made ones — others: water, aerosols, sun, et a
Of course, this experiment is faulty b / c the thermal mass
of the water is acting like a hot water bottle...] Conceptually, however, you can show your students the diffusion effect associated with CO2 and H2O, that the heat will eventually work its way out of the water into its surroundings [like heat trapped in a hot rock], and that climate science is a complex endeavor because the CO2 signal is not the sole factor out there [although one of the only man - made ones — others: water, aerosols, sun, et a
of the water is acting like a hot water bottle...] Conceptually, however, you can show your students the diffusion
effect associated with CO2 and H2O, that the heat will eventually work its way out
of the water into its surroundings [like heat trapped in a hot rock], and that climate science is a complex endeavor because the CO2 signal is not the sole factor out there [although one of the only man - made ones — others: water, aerosols, sun, et a
of the water into its surroundings [like heat trapped in a hot rock], and that
climate science is a
complex endeavor because the CO2 signal is not the sole factor out there [although one
of the only man - made ones — others: water, aerosols, sun, et a
of the only man - made ones — others: water, aerosols, sun, et al]
2) Anthropogenic global warming will not affect the Arctic (or any other region) solely by increasing local temperatures, but also by its
complex effects on
climate as a whole, which includes affects on patterns
of wind and ocean currents.
[
Of course, this experiment is faulty b / c the thermal mass of the water is acting like a hot water bottle...] Conceptually, however, you can show your students the diffusion effect associated with CO2 and H2O, that the heat will eventually work its way out of the water into its surroundings [like heat trapped in a hot rock], and that climate science is a complex endeavor because the CO2 signal is not the sole factor out ther
Of course, this experiment is faulty b / c the thermal mass
of the water is acting like a hot water bottle...] Conceptually, however, you can show your students the diffusion effect associated with CO2 and H2O, that the heat will eventually work its way out of the water into its surroundings [like heat trapped in a hot rock], and that climate science is a complex endeavor because the CO2 signal is not the sole factor out ther
of the water is acting like a hot water bottle...] Conceptually, however, you can show your students the diffusion
effect associated with CO2 and H2O, that the heat will eventually work its way out
of the water into its surroundings [like heat trapped in a hot rock], and that climate science is a complex endeavor because the CO2 signal is not the sole factor out ther
of the water into its surroundings [like heat trapped in a hot rock], and that
climate science is a
complex endeavor because the CO2 signal is not the sole factor out there.
These factors driving the present changes
of the NHSM system are instrumental for understanding and predicting future decadal changes and determining the proportions
of climate change that are attributable to anthropogenic
effects and long - term internal variability in the
complex climate system.
Given the multiple drivers
of migration (Black et al., 2011a and b) and the
complex interactions which mediate migratory decision - making by individual or households (Raleigh, 2008; McLeman and Smit, 2006; Kniveton et al., 2011; Black et al., 2011a and b), the projection
of the
effects of climate change on intra-rural and rural - to - urban migration remains a major challenge.
Looking in a textbook about atmospheric physics, meteorology or
climate physics it is getting quite clear that atmospheres are more
complex then just reducing their thermal structure on the
effects of solar radiation and greenhouse gases alone.
These parameters are guesses, because there just isn't enough understanding
of the
complex and chaotic
climate system to parse out their different values, or to even be clear about cause and
effect in certain processes (like cloud formation).
Greater understanding could reduce the risks, but the
climate system may be inherently too
complex — and therefore the possibility
of unanticipated harmful side
effects too large — for us to ever consider geoengineering very safe.
While the growth response to temperature
of these upper - treeline Bristlecone Pines is
complex, two points are clear: first, the most significant and easily understood
climate / tree - growth relationship is increased growth with increased daytime (maximum) temperatures, and second, the most important
effect of temperature on growth is not immediate.
A multidisciplinary renaissance
of quantitative empirical research has begun to illuminate key linkages in the coupling
of these
complex natural and human systems, uncovering notable
effects of climate on health, agriculture, economics, conflict, migration, and demographics.
This
complex, interactive relationship has been tracked across more than 40 years
of research in the field
of media
effects (a field in which I have published extensively), is suggested by the few studies conducted examining how cable news influences perceptions
of climate change, and is accurately reviewed and referenced in the chapter.
It would be wrong to say that increases in CO2 can not affect the
climate, but it is equally absurd, in such a
complex system, to say this or that
effect must dominate in the absence
of the normal rigorous testing required by science.
The central issues
of climate change and oil decline are so broad and
complex that both science and advocacy fall victim to the recency
effect.
In a system such as the
climate, we can never include enough variables to describe the actual system on all relevant length scales (e.g. the butterfly
effect — MICROSCOPIC perturbations grow exponentially in time to drive the system to completely different states over macroscopic time) so the best that we can often do is model it as a
complex nonlinear set
of ordinary differential equations with stochastic noise terms — a generalized Langevin equation or generalized Master equation, as it were — and average behaviors over what one hopes is a spanning set
of butterfly - wing perturbations to assess whether or not the resulting system trajectories fill the available phase space uniformly or perhaps are restricted or constrained in some way.
The advantage
of recognising a reversed sign for the solar
effect high up in the atmosphere is that it enables a scenario whereby the bottom up
effects of ocean cycles and the top down
effects of solar variability can be seen to be engaged in a
complex ever changing dance with the primary
climate response being changes in the tropospheric air circulation systems to give us the observed natural
climate variability via cyclical latitudinal shifts in all the air circulation systems and notably the jet streams.
The L&D issue is
complex — and sensitive — involving
climate impacts and risks for developing countries, which are more vulnerable to the
effects of climate change.
His position is that because we don't fully understand all
of the
complex reverberating
effects of climate change, we can't make good
climate policy yet.
We have been focused on
climate models rather than on
climate dynamics and theory that is needed to understand the
effects of the sun on
climate, the network
of natural internal variability on multiple time scales, the mathematics
of extreme events, and the predictability
of a
complex system characterized by spatio - temporal chaos.
Determining the
effects of climate change on infectious diseases is
complex because
of confounding contributions
of economic development and land use, changing ecosystems, international travel, and commerce.38 Currently,
climate warming has been identified as contributing to the northern expansion
of Lyme disease in North America39 and has been projected to increase the burden
of child diarrheal illness, particularly in Asia and sub-Saharan Africa.40 Concern has also been raised for
climate links to emerging infections, including coccidioidomycosis41 and amoebic meningoencephalitis.42 Further investigation into climactic influence on infectious diseases is needed.
We can be «so sure» that we're not just seeing warming because CO2 isn't the same as warmth, and the
climate is a
complex system ruled by patterns
of chaos on some timescales, but linearly predictive in other timescales on large enough regions for some
effects.
`... rather than on
climate dynamics and theory that is needed to understand the
effects of the sun on
climate, the network
of natural internal variability on multiple time scales, the mathematics
of extreme events, and predictability
of a
complex system characterized by spatio - temporal chaos.
They defended their original paper and said the Stirling study showed «uni-dimensional, or reductionist thinking, which is not useful when assessing
effects of climate change on
complex ecosystems.»
He and his collaborators employed both simple and
complex computer models in early studies
of the role
of clouds in
climate change, and in research on the climatic
effects of massive volcanic eruptions.
Because the basics
of anthropogenic global warming are fairly straightforward — CO2 is a greenhouse gas, because
of the lapse rate water vapor condenses or freezes out in the troposphere and acts mainly to amplify the
effect of CO2, humans are burning a lot
of fossil C and increasing the CO2 in the atmosphere, the surface
of the earth is warming, the cryosphere is retreating, the
climate that supports civilization is rapidly changing, and consequently we are facing an uncertain future — but the details are
complex, it's easy to «misunderestimate» the way
climate works in detail.
They run
complex and computing - intensive
climate models to try to better predict and understand the
effects of pumping large amounts
of greenhouse gases into the Earth's atmosphere.
Increasingly strong and
complex global linkages:
climate - change
effects cascade through expanding series
of international trade, migration and communication patterns to produce a variety
of indirect
effects, some
of which may be unanticipated, especially if the globalised economy becomes less resilient and more interdependent (very high confidence).
The next generations will inherit
complex problems like resource scarcity, an education skill gap and the
effects of climate change on our planet.