Sentences with phrase «complex global climate system»

Not exact matches

Three approaches were used to evaluate the outstanding «carbon budget» (the total amount of CO2 emissions compatible with a given global average warming) for 1.5 °C: re-assessing the evidence provided by complex Earth System Models, new experiments with an intermediate - complexity model, and evaluating the implications of current ranges of uncertainty in climate system properties using a simple System Models, new experiments with an intermediate - complexity model, and evaluating the implications of current ranges of uncertainty in climate system properties using a simple system properties using a simple model.
They announced that although the climate system was so complex that scientists would never reach complete certainty, it was much more likely than not that our civilization faced severe global warming.
«To predict the effects this type of deforestation has on the relationship between rain forest and the savanna — and on the local and global climate — it's necessary to understand how the transitional forest evolves in time and reacts to disturbances,» explained Yannick De Decker, associate professor at the Center for Nonlinear Phenomena and Complex Systems, as well as the Nonlinear Physical Chemistry Unit at ULB.
Because climate systems are complex, increases in global average temperatures do not mean increased temperatures everywhere on Earth, nor that temperatures in a given year will be warmer than the year before (which represents weather, not climate).
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Complex systems are studied using information theory and computer simulation models (e.g. global climate models.)
This is how large complex systems function from a mathematical point of view, systems far more complex than ordinary global climate models.
When dealing with one gene and one fucntion at a time, though this can an issue, it is less so, but in more vast and complex systems like a global climate system, or a whole genome the probability of errors, and the unavoidable clashing of errors / cognitive dissonance in results can be immense and yes, very, robust.
Especially when the system is as complex as the global climate.
The team uses complex climate models, known as Earth System Models, to look for scenarios where greenhouse gas concentrations are compatible with the IPCC's RCP2.6 scenario — the only one that keeps global temperature rise below 2C.
Interesting you cut - off total ice extents at 2012, especially since the total extent of Arctic sea ice has actually increased since then, and in fact the Antarctic ice extents are at a RECORD MAXIMUM — so things aren't always what they appear to be in a very complex system known as global climate.
So you answer that «the climate system is profoundly complex with various feedbacks and time lags that come into play, and can not be explained in term's of someone's simplistic expectations,» as an answer on the question why «this melting really was an indicator of Anthropogenic Global Warming»?
In theory the climate system is complex and not linear — so there is abrupt change and not «global warming».
Meanwhile, the last twenty years of GCM's are extraordinarily too simple to explain the massively complex system that is our global climate.
Global warming affects all the parts of our incredibly complex climate system, so it's entirely possible that as the Earth (and the oceans) warm, some factors that help stunt cyclones» growth will increase, as well as ones that help feed them and make them grow.
Chaos theory simply tells us something about the properties of complex and dynamical systems — such as the global climate system.
I'm also in the camp that thinks the global climate is an extremely complex and dynamic system that will take a «very» long time to figure out.
We then can only discuss the ethical responsibilities for global warming of those in the current generation because a crucial piece of that ethical responsibility is having been made aware, in this case, by the geosciences and in particular climate science, of the consequences of maintaining the status quo in these complex large - scale systems.
Although these models are among the most elaborate predictive models of complex non-linear phenomena, they are nonetheless sweeping oversimplifications of the global climate system and its mechanistic intricacies.
Judith raises concerns about the epistemology of models for open, complex systems, distinctly indefinite... and then... adopting an uncertain global climate policy that could possibly produce «losses that throw mankind into economic, social and environmental bankruptcy.»
If my argument is nonsensical because predictability in complex systems is too difficult to factor into a computer simulation, then I suggest admitting the fallibility of Chaos Theory, and it's role or nonroll in Global Climate Science, to those funding the research.
From climate change to the rights of Florida tomato farmers to the global geopolitics of food, Hungry for Change examines how the availability of food and its production, distribution and consumption are the workings of a deeply complex system that is affected by and affects all of us.
This is not a contradiction that invalidates GLOBAL COOLING theory, it is merely the result of regional variation and an example of how varied and complex the climate system is.»
An important question is whether the lack of continued global warming in recent years will be temporary, or is this further evidence that the climate system is more complex than concluded in such assessments as provided by the IPCC.
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