Sentences with phrase «computer model forecasts»

The computer model forecasts «this horrendous, dramatic» impact on the reef, Hodgson said.
With national and local computer models forecasting a major winter storm — including heavy snow, strong winds and coastal flooding — for Long Island this coming weekend, Central Veterinary Associates (CVA) is reminding pet owners that freezing temperatures and blustery weather can have an adverse effect on the well - being of their animal.
A more appropriate reference for the «The computer models forecasting rapid temperature change abjectly fail to explain recent climate behavior.4» statement would be the science that underlies Pat's recent House testimony, but we don't have that ready for publication yet (thus no appropriate reference).
The computer models forecasting rapid temperature change abjectly fail to explain recent climate behavior.4
In March 2009, Michaels, under the auspices of the Cato Institute, circulated a draft advertisement that stated: «Surface temperature changes over the past century have been episodic and modest and there has been no net global warming for over a decade now... The computer models forecasting rapid temperature change abjectly fail to explain recent climate behavior.»
Each gray line is an individual computer model forecast (107 in total) and the black dashed line shows the average.
lThe IPCC admits that while computer models forecast a decline in Antarctic sea ice, it has actually grown to a new record high.

Not exact matches

It speaks of operations research, systems analysis, technological forecasting, information theory, game theory, simulation techniques, decision theory, Delphi method, cross-impact matrix analysis, statistical time - series, stochastic models, linear programming, input - output economics, computer based command and control systems, and so on.
Back then, it said that the planet was warming at a rate of 0.2 C every decade — a figure it claimed was in line with the forecasts made by computer climate models.
To find out more about how meteorologists use forecasting models to get ahead of Mother Nature as well as the limitations of this technology, Scientific American spoke with Thomas Else, chief meteorologist and director of meteorological services and computer programming for Hackettstown, N.J. - based weather forecasting consulting firm Weather Works LLC.
We use different computer forecast models that feed initial conditions — including temperatures, humidity, wind speed and wind direction from around the United States and around the world, from the surface all the way up to the jet stream — into different equations.
And that means more numerous and stronger hurricanes in the foreseeable future, whether the forecast is from a computer model or a meteorologist's instincts.
The European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts, which has better computer power and more sophisticated modeling than the U.S., shows the difference more processing power can make.
Modern weather forecasting relies on complicated computer models of the atmosphere.
Working with the University of New South Wales, scientists have developed a computer model which uses past wave observations and beach assessments to forecast the erosion and / or accretion of beach sediments over the coming year.
The sub-model feeds its results into the main computer model and gives a forecast of where the typhoon's epicentre will be up to five days ahead.
February computer model runs forecast a return to normal sea surface temperatures by June.
At the same time, he and his students have taken detailed measurements after the deadly 2015 avalanche, which are being used to fine - tune a computer model that will also help improve forecasting.
Their data will be used in computer models to improve weather forecasts, including hurricane tracks and intensities, severe thunderstorms and floods.
Computer models previously forecast that the Arctic would be free of ice in the summer by 2050.
He says he's confident that the day will come when wildland fires will be forecast using computer models just as accurately as we now can forecast the next day's weather.
The latest 24 - hour forecast of the oil's trajectory, created by feeding currents and wind predictions into computer models, shows oil hitting dozens of places along Louisiana shorelines, from Caillou Bay in the west to Breton Sound, just east of where the Mississippi meets the gulf.
International institutions such as CGIAR have developed computer models that use data on climate, crop types, and other factors to estimate current food production and forecast future trends.
You know it's computer calculations I mean it was the first sort of computerized attempt to forecast the future and, of course it's models are crude, and there's a fairly small number of variables, but they keep...
In an attempt to save more lives and livelihoods through improvements in forecasting extreme weather — as well to make preparations to cope with such events — the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is investing in improved radar systems, more advanced computer modeling and better satellite systems.
Weisberg, along with study co-authors John Walsh, Distinguished University Professor of Biological Oceanography, and their research associates and colleagues at USF and at neighboring Florida Water Research Institute, have developed tools for observing, tracking and forecasting red tides using a combination of moored instrumentation, robotic gliders, satellite imagery and computer models.
By pulling together the maximum possible computer resource, and running these weather forecast models thousands of times — and for alternative carbon dioxide levels — a picture can be built of how often severe storms can be expected.
Summer surface meltwater will expand vertical fractures in the ice sheet and lubricate the ice sheet bed, so leading to mechanical breakup by mechanisms that we currently can not model by computer and so can not forecast.
[emphasis added] Bast: «We believe that climate has warmed in the second half of the 20th Century, we believe that there is probably a measurable human impact on climate but it's probably very small, we think that natural forces probably overwhelm any impact that human activity can have, that computer models are too unreliable to forecast what the future might hold for climate and finally that a modest amount of warming is probably going to be, on net, beneficial both to human beings and the ecosystem.
The researchers use computer models to forecast future ocean conditions such as surface temperatures, salinity, and currents, and project how the distribution of different fish species could respond to climate change.
An advisor can help guide the decision process and provide «dollars - and - cents» calculations using sophisticated computer forecasting models.
Fast forward to the present where sophisticated computer forecasting models such as the Monte Carlo simulation have become the preferred tools for dealing with the uncertainty surrounding retirement planning.
They also say that their medium - term forecasting uses essentially the same computer models as those employed in predicting longer - term climate change.
The data is forwarded to computer models at the forecast center.
-- Kerry Emanuel, who has been studying hurricanes and climate change for decades, has a great page on his Web site at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology consolidating the many competing computer model runs aiming to forecast the strength and track of tropical storms.
Typo, first para under reananlyses: «Since weather forecasts (the «analyses») have got much better over the years because computers are faster and models are more skillful.»
Concerning climate - change forecasting, we can not expect that increased computer power and improved climate models will in the future «give more precise probability distributions of outcomes at the regional and decadal scales».
This may be a bit pedantic, but I take issue with the claim «[R] eanalyses are effectively the weather forecasts you would have got over the years if we had modern computers and models available».
I «m enough of a businessman to know that the modeling and the use of the computer, uh, algorithms and forecasting the future is a very, very difficult undertaking.
Weather forecasts (the «analyses») have got much better over the years because computers are faster and models are more skillful.
2) As with some previous potent winter storms and hurricanes (including Sandy), there's been a consistent focus on the computer model of the European Center for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF, for short) as the best at getting details like snowfall amounts right.
The forecast evolved rather suddenly once the weather system moving southeast from Canada was more fully sampled by observing networks, and computer models came around to a more threatening solution.
Yet the same weather agencies, often using the same computer models, since 1990 have said with almost absolute certainty that their 50 - and 100 - year forecasts are correct.
Meanwhile, high - resolution hurricane models can forecast the growth and path of tropical storms, but would require much greater computer power or eons of time to simulate the large samples of storms required for climate - change studies.
As I see it, you can think of a computer model as being a «forecast» in one of two ways.
Flying in this orbit, Aqua will take readings of every part of the globe every 16 days, building a comprehensive database that allows scientists to assess changes and drastically improving computer models for long - term forecasting.
These models, whether forecasting tools or global temperature models like Hansen's, take poorly understood descriptors of a complex system in the front end and wash them through a computer model to create apparent certainty and precision.
In fact, most uncertainties in the alarmist pseudo-science are internal contradictions and consequences of its shoddy practices: cherry picking data, making conclusions based on statistically insignificant observations, declaring trends based on variations that are within error margins, relying on computer models that contradict principles of the information theory, forging forecasts for unreasonably long time periods, etc..
Computers don» t have the capacity, and we don» t have the data or understanding, to create climate models that can recreate global climate or make accurate forecasts.
Model is tailored for exascale computers and designed to forecast impacts on energy infrastructure
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