Even if emissions were immediately reduced enough to stabilize greenhouse gas
concentrations at current levels, climate change would continue for centuries.
Not exact matches
According to previous simulations, UV - B radiation
at the end of the Permian may have increased from a background
level of 10 kilojoules (just above
current ambient
levels) to as much as 100 kilojoules, due to large
concentrations of ozone - damaging halogens spewed from volcanoes (SN: 1/15/11, p. 12).
My research indicates that the Siberian peat moss, Arctic tundra, and methal hydrates (frozen methane
at the bottom of the ocean) all have an excellent chance of melting and releasing their stored co2.Recent methane
concentration figures also hit the news last week, and methane has increased after a long time being steady.The forests of north america are drying out and are very susceptible to massive insect infestations and wildfires, and the massive die offs - 25 % of total forests, have begun.And, the most recent stories on the Amazon forecast that with the change in rainfall patterns one third of the Amazon will dry and turn to grassland, thereby creating a domino cascade effect for the rest of the Amazon.With co2
levels risng faster now that the oceans have reached carrying capacity, the oceans having become also more acidic, and the looming threat of a North Atlanic
current shutdown (note the recent terrible news on salinity upwelling
levels off Greenland,) and the change in cold water upwellings, leading to far less biomass for the fish to feed upon, all lead to the conclusion we may not have to worry about NASA completing its inventory of near earth objects greater than 140 meters across by 2026 (Recent Benjamin Dean astronomy lecture here in San Francisco).
EURUSD is in consolidation by support
level Negative trend is extended further downside, however
concentration is formed by
current support barrier
at 1.3630 while resistance
level holds
at 1.4037.
The researchers, noting they only looked
at one species, said the work suggests that the organisms could double their rate of photosynthesis and calcium uptake in carbon dioxide
concentrations around double the
current level of 380 parts per million.
We need to know what
current CO2
concentration is
at the boring location before we know anything about the historic
levels relative to today.
They indicate that higher ozone
concentrations, even
at levels below
current air quality standards in most of the world, have significant negative effects on worker productivity.
As I said before icecaps existed
at both poles when C02
concentrations were 100 times the
current levels.
This is true because most mainstream scientists have concluded that the world must reduce total global emissions by
at the very least 60 to 80 percent below existing
levels to stabilize GHG atmospheric
concentrations at minimally safe atmospheric GHG
concentrations and the United States is a huge emitter both in historical terms and in comparison to
current emissions
levels of other high emitting nations.
Yet, the Stern Review acknowledges that
current environmental sensitivities «imply that there is up to a one - in - five chance that the world would experience a warming in excess of 3 °C above pre-industrial [
levels] even if greenhouse gas
concentrations were stabilised
at today's
level of 430 ppm CO2e.»
That's why many of the reports on the
current concentration of CO2 say we haven't seen these
levels in
at least a million years.
If the CO2
concentration were to be stabilized to 400pmm from now on, the sea
levels would be expected continue to rise for a couple more centuries — though
at a slowing rate — before they equilibrate to
current concentrations.
Given that a case can be made that
current levels atmospheric ghg
concentrations are already harming or putting people and ecosystems
at risk, it is difficult to make an ethically acceptable case that atmospheric ghg
concentration targets higher than
current levels are justified unless consent is given by those who are already being harmed by warming or full compensation is made to those who through no fault of their own are harmed by climate change.
(PBL 2012) Yet to stabilize carbon dioxide
concentrations at about 450 ppm by 2050, global emissions will have to decline by about 60 % from
current levels.
In addition, some scientists, including former NASA scientist James Hansen who is now
at Columbia University, believe that atmospheric
concentrations are already too high and that atmospheric
concentrations of ghg should actually be lowered from their
current levels of approximately 400 ppm CO2 to 350 ppm CO2 to prevent dangerous climate impacts.
«Climate science» as it is used by warmists implies adherence to a set of beliefs: (1) Increasing greenhouse gas
concentrations will warm the Earth's surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production of CO2 is producing significant increases in CO2
concentration; (3) The rate of rise of temperature in the 20th and 21st centuries is unprecedented compared to the rates of change of temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas
concentrations; (4) The climate of the 19th century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any
current climate; (5) global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels
at projected rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2
concentration to rise to a high
level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2
concentration is likely to reach
at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing.
23 Thousands of years ago Temperature change (° c) Carbon dioxide (ppmv) Temperature Change through time Compares to the present temperature
Current Level Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
Concentration and Temperature change
Current Level 2100 CO2
Concentration in the atmosphere (Antarctic Ice Core) If nothing is done to slow greenhouse gas emissions... CO 2
concentrations will likely be more than 700 ppm by 2100 Global average temperatures projected to rise
at 2.5 - 10.4 degrees If nothing is done to slow greenhouse gas emissions... CO 2
concentrations will likely be more than 700 ppm by 2100 Global average temperatures projected to rise
at 2.5 - 10.4 degrees
Measurement of CO2
concentration is always problematic; the «Standard Dry Air» SDA basis of measurement and comparison is
at standard temperature and pressure which is a non-existent parameter; and as we are seeing, CO2 is not a well - mixed gas
at all and will be defined by, amongst other variables, SH, or absolute humidity; SH can vary from 0 to 5 % by volume of atmosphere; as the SH increases, the absolute amount of other gases, including CO2, decreases; to say therefore that atmospheric
concentrations of CO2 have remained stable and not been above 280ppm over the last 650my is fanciful; even if you assume past CO2
levels have not got above 280ppm the range of variation within that limit has been greater than the
current increase;
Stabilising CO2
concentrations in the atmosphere
at any given
level, already
at 393 parts per million and rising
at an average 2.3 ppm per year, requires annual emission be reduced more than 80 per cent below
current levels eventually.
If nothing is done to reverse the
current situation, we could miss our chance to limit the
concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere to approximately 450 parts per million of CO2 — a
level that would cap rising global temperatures
at 2ºC.
«Knowledge of prior regional climate trends and
current levels of greenhouse gas
concentrations would not have helped us anticipate the 2010 summer heat wave in Russia,» said lead author Randall Dole, deputy director of research
at NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory, Physical Science Division and a fellow of the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES).
Comparison with the CO2
levels measured in air extracted from ice cores indicates that the
current concentrations are higher than they have been in
at least 800,000 years (see Question 6).