Sentences with phrase «confidence in climate»

Likewise self pride and honesty in scientific method will determine if public confidence in Climate Science returns.

Only because the CRU emails have been spun disingenuously to make it APPEAR (falsely) that there is a problem with putting confidence in the climate science community.

Confidence in the climate models elevated by inverse calculations and bootstrapped plausibility is used as a central premise in the argument that climate change in the latter half of the 20th century is much larger than can be explained by natural internal variability (premise # 1).

Fallout from a loss of public confidence in climate science is affecting other fields of research, a top US academic claimed.

Judith opined that there was a «crisis» of confidence in climate science.

This will just muddy the waters even further and lose confidence in climate science by me and I suspect the public at large»

In my opinion the result is a widespread loss of confidence in climate scientists.

So I have no more confidence in climate prediction then these other forecasts, and when yet another model run shows «it's worse then we thought», it has zero impact on me.

Assessments of our relative confidence in climate projections from different models should ideally be based on a comprehensive set of observational tests that would allow us to quantify model errors in simulating a wide variety of climate statistics, including simulations of the mean climate and variability and of particular climate processes.

This is the sort of jumbled reasoning that creates loss of public confidence in climate science; you don't need to have a PhD in a climate - related science to see that it is totally illogical and contrary to all common sense.

«He said that public confidence in climate science would be improved if there were more openness about its uncertainties, even if that meant admitting that sceptics had been right on some hotly - disputed issues.»

The existence of an unexplained change in the sensitivity of tree growth to climate casts doubt on the assumptions of uniformitarianism, limits confidence in climate reconstructions, and impacts on the investigation of climate change (Briffa et al. 1998b).

A low confidence in climate attribution results mainly from lack of monitoring, lack of a clear precipitation response, and inconsistency between the direction of reported trends and trends documented in global observational products over the default period.

King once remarked that «climate change poses a bigger threat than terrorism», that it is the «biggest challenge our civilisation has ever had», and that foreign spies and US energy interests were behind attempts to undermine public confidence in climate science and the attempt to build an international agreement at Copenhagen.

Boberg, F., P. Berg, P. Thejll, W. J. Gutowski, and J. H. Christensen, 2009: Improved confidence in climate change projections of precipitation evaluated using daily statistics from the PRUDENCE ensemble.

Do we really have enough confidence in the climate models to use them to set a stabilization target?

I believe that the public's confidence in climate science and climate scientists may increase if it is felt that the scientists can take a mostly disinterested view on climate policy.

These events have dented confidence in climate science.

They are just shooting themselves in the foot, All this does is reduce or eliminate the public's confidence in the climate science community, because it gives the appearance that the scientists are trying to hide something.

Eroding confidence in climate science punctuated by a pair of blizzards has global warming skeptics across the United States calling for a sharp rollback to years of political and industrial efforts to curb greenhouse emissions thought to contribute to global warming.

Another factor is the «sanctioning» of these models by the IPCC (with its statements about model results having a high confidence level), which can lead to building confidence in climate models through circular reasoning.

The question is not how to build public confidence in climate models — the question is how to construct a model worthy of such confidence — and whether it is possible to do so.

I submit that all this is entirely toxic to public confidence in the climate change movement and its models.

How do you propose changing current culture sufficiently to incorporate such impacts on clouds sufficiently to build «confidence in climate models»?

How could any culture have confidence in Climate Models and / or Modelers with that inconvenient fact?

My confidence in climate modelers is inversely proportional to the confidence I see them show in this body that has proven to be agenda - driven and which obviously has a vested interest in what, if anything, predictive models do with cloud feedback.

Why do climate scientists have confidence in climate models?

Expert judgment plays a large role in the assessment of confidence in climate models.

Finally, you talk about how to «build confidence» in the models... this is just like our prior discussion about building confidence in climate science.

Comments On Judy Curry's Post «The Culture Of Building Confidence In Climate Models» [http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2010/10/14/comments-on-judy-currys-post-the-culture-of-building-confidence-in-climate-models/]

Sorry, giving the IPCC the lead hand in this is a very good way to subvert «the culture» of which you speak and to do the opposite of «building confidence in climate models».

When Freeman Dyson, perhaps the world's most eminent physicist, tells us he places no confidence in the climate models because they are «full of fudge factors,» attention must be paid.

But, as has been pointed out in poll surveys in the USA and elsewhere, many people no longer have confidence in climate scientists and their work (a US poll showed that close to 70 % of the respondents believed that climate scientists are fudging the data).

What it does show, however, is that some are willing to «sex up» climate science findings to feed sensational media coverage, and end up undermining confidence in climate science.

Given that there is still much we do not know about climate change — including why mean global temperature has been flat for the past ten years — undermining confidence in climate science can (further) undermine its ability to inform policy.

These organizations, which include the Heartland Institute — a group that once compared those who believe in climate change with the Unabomber — have undermined public confidence in climate science so much that scientists have to defend even their most fundamental findings.

This kind of insufficient scientific understanding is not a good basis for high confidence in the climate model simulations and projections.

Rep. Ed Markey (D - MA) called the hearing in an effort to further restore public confidence in climate science, and to set the record straight that «Climategate» was not the scandal climate deniers and the right - wing media tried to portray in the wake of the theft of private emails from scientists at the Climatic Research Unit of the University of East Anglia.

This report includes original documents showing how Cooney added and deleted text to advance a political agenda of undermining confidence in climate change issues and introduce greater doubt that climate change was underway.

The NRC Report stated: (1) that evidence exists that the 20th century was the warmest period in the last four centuries; and, (2) we could place less confidence in climate reconstructions for the period from 900 AD to 1600 AD.

While many of his colleagues are (appropriately) quick to point out hype from those aiming to undermine public confidence in climate science, Schmidt has been unafraid also to note that reality on important issues — from tipping points to extreme weather — is not always convenient for greenhouse campaigners.

It is not the statement of uncertainty that causes problems rather the over statement of certainty in press releases that causes the loss of confidence in climate science.

Optimization of climate models raises important questions about whether tuning methods a priori constrain the model results in unintended ways that would affect our confidence in climate projections.

The «Handbook» addresses a problem of little confidence in the climate science community.

We are concerned that the incorporation of unsubstantiated theories into what the public understands to be the «scientific consensus» on global warming is eroding public confidence in climate science.

Since then, anthropogenic influence has also been identified in a range of other climate variables, such as ocean heat content, atmospheric pressure and sea ice extent, thereby contributing further evidence of an anthropogenic influence on climate, and improving confidence in climate models.

«It's not all sites and all places at all times, but if we have confidence in the climate model predictions, then according to these theories, we would expect the whole process to accelerate over next few decades,» Veblen said.

Scientists argue a new approach is needed to reverse an eroding confidence in climate science among the general public

Not exact matches

Neither the unprecedented political climate in the U.S. nor heightened tensions with North Korea have dented consumer and investor confidence for long this year.

German business confidence took a hit in April, as Ifo Business Climate fell to 102.1 points, down from 114.7 points a month earlier.