Sentences with phrase «confidence in future projections»

The decision analytic framework of reducing scientific uncertainty in support of optimal decision making strategies regarding CO2 mitigation has arguably resulted in unwarranted high confidence in future projections and relative neglect of natural climate variability and the possibility of black swans and dragon kings.

However, we still lack a quantitative understanding of the physical mechanisms leading to the suggested changes in ocean circulation, which inevitably challenges our interpretation of past and present climates and shakes our confidence in future projections.

«Prior analyses have found that climate models underestimate the observed rate of tropical widening, leading to questions on possible model deficiencies, possible errors in the observations, and lack of confidence in future projections,» said Robert J. Allen, an assistant professor of climatology in UC Riverside's Department of Earth Sciences, who led the study.

Not exact matches

«This quantitative attribution of human and natural climate influences on the IPWP expansion increases our confidence in the understanding of the causes of past changes as well as for projections of future changes under further greenhouse warming,» commented Seung - Ki Min, a professor with POSTECH's School of Environmental Science and Engineering.

Every time this happens and we get improved matches between them, we have a little more confidence in their projections for the future, and we go out and look for better tests.

This time, «there is low confidence in future precipitation projections at a subregional level and thus in future freshwater availability in most parts of Asia.»

Not to mention raising questions about the confidence that we should place in the IPCC's projections of future climate change.

from a visual perspective, «panel b» seems to inspire less confidence in our projections of future warming than «panel a» does.

Overall, there is low confidence in the projections of specifically how climate change will impact future precipitation on a subregional scale, and thus in projections of how climate change might impact the availability of water resources.

Confidence in projections of future climate change has increased.

The climate models considered on average simulate the amplitude of response to anthropogenic forcings well, increasing confidence in their projections of profound future Arctic climate change.

The correct simulation of the vertical structure of RH and clouds should be a prerequisite for developing confidence in projections for the future.»

Scientists remain confident in the models» long - term future projections, and the data show their confidence is justified.

It is assumed that a successful hindcast of temperature changes over the 20th century increases our confidence in projections of future warming.

«Studies linking emissions to climate change impacts provide the most stringent test available for evaluating the accuracy and confidence of our projections of impacts in a future warmer world,» says Wolfgang Cramer, Director of the Mediterranean Institute for Marine and Terrestrial Biodiversity and Ecology in Aix - en - Provence, France.

Since the TAR, many global or regional scenarios have become available to quantify future impacts (Christensen et al., 2002, 2007; Meehl et al., 2007), and confidence in future climate projections has increased recently (Naki?enovi?

They warn against interpreting the spread in model output as the confidence interval for future projections.