From 1850 to 1975 the trend was a very modest 0.25 degrees C per century, with 95 %
confidence limits between 0.19 and 0.3 degrees per century.
The warming trend overall is just 0.45 degrees C per century, with 95 %
confidence limits between 0.4 and 0.5 degrees C.
Not exact matches
It is a mistake to think that one
limits one's risk by spreading too much
between enterprises about which one knows little and has no reason for special
confidence.
The absence of any appreciable association
between breastfeeding and fasting glucose concentration in children and adults (with
confidence limits around the pooled estimate excluding any appreciable association) is not necessarily surprising or inconsistent with the observations on diabetes risk.
Wheatley said people's concerns for the security of their money and the
limited options they have to choose
between were behind the low level of
confidence in the sector.
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In addition, cooperative control
between the AWD torque distribution, brake
limited slip differential and Hill Start Assist optimizes performance on hills starts and rough roads — adding to the sense of
confidence and driving pleasure under a range of driving scenarios.
Half way
between one of these
confidence limits and the Calculated Rate is 0.82 standard deviations from the mean.
The odds are about 20 % that the balance at year 10 will be higher than one - half way
between this level and the level of the high
confidence limit.
That is, I expect a total return of stocks over the next year
between a (15.02 %) loss and a 24.98 % gain (inner
confidence limits).
The actual market return over the next year fell
between their 80 percent
confidence limits only a third of the time, so these executives weren't particularly good at forecasting the stock market.
It is a mistake to think that one
limits one's risk by spreading too much
between enterprises about which one knows little and has no reason for special
confidence...
There is a gulf of difference
between the scientists»
confidence limits and probabilities and the engineers» factor of safety.
Although the linear regression line values are quite different, the error margins mean that there is considerable overlap
between the 95 %
confidence limits so the two data sets are in fact in statistical agreement.
It appears to me that at times the difference
between prediction an reality has been near the borderline of statistical significance — hence posts several years back from Lucia that the trend was «falsified» and counter posts here that a correct analysis auto - correlation etc puts observations back within the
confidence limit.
RE: 523 Richard Robinson says: This discussion of 95 %
confidence limits seems to neglect the important difference
between criteria for science and policy - making.........
«It is a mistake to think that one
limits one's risk by spreading too much
between enterprises about which one knows little and has no reason for special
confidence.