The group says such generic early warning signals are an excellent thing when a system's mechanisms and feedbacks are too murky to
allow confident predictions.
Recent work illustrates how far away we are from
confident prediction of future emission - concentration relationships, says David Schimel
And the average Joe on the street is wondering how these people can make such
confident predictions for 2100, if they can not forecast with any skill for the upcoming Winter or Summer.
Lovenduski and Bonan's work illustrates how far away we are
from confident prediction of future emission - concentration relationships.
Labour's new candidate, Debbie Abrahams, does not deliver the
usual confident prediction of a sweeping victory when asked if she thinks she's going to win.
Since last June, the media climate has been brutally hostile towards leaving: we've heard
endless confident predictions of economic damage; warnings about the prospect of the break - up of the UK; and even the possibility of a return to confrontation in Northern Ireland.
Personally I don't want to find out what the consequences may or may not be [disapearance of Tibetan glaciers leading to starvation of billions, etc], but I think that we are a long way from
deriving confident predictions of impact changes due to global warming from GCMs.
Too many people think of climate science as an exact science like astronomy that can make
highly confident predictions, such as about lunar eclipses.
A steadily escalating whipsaw between drought and flood is one of the
most confident predictions of an atmosphere with enhanced evaporation rates — meaning, global warming.
The two - decade global - warming pause, which no late 1990s climate model foresaw, led the public to doubt Big Climate's
confident predictions for the future.
[16] An increase in rainfall rates is one of the
more confident predictions of the effects of climate change on tropical cyclones.
[13] And an increase in rainfall rates is one of the more
confident predictions of the effects of future climate change on tropical cyclones.
But that portion of the West led by the United States (which France has always resisted for good reasons and bad, no doubt) is in thrall at present to its own enthusiasm,
the confident prediction of the final, coming victory for the synthesis of «markets and democracy.»
Contrary to the overly -
confident predictions of an earlier period, the public university has not proved to be a congenial place for the study of religion and the nurture of students.
Does the record justify
any confident predictions?
So I am giving
a confident prediction that we will have the same starting XI that we had against Palace.
Okay, so I have made
a confident prediction about the result, so I had better justify myself.
There's
no confident prediction about our games with them.
Here's
a confident prediction for 2018 and beyond: a serving prime minister will never again hide from TV debates.
In a marathon election campaign swathed in uncertainty, one
confident prediction can be made — the Conservatives will try to rivet public attention on the issues which provide them with considerable opinion poll leads.
But Strathclyde's
confident prediction that Lords reform would fail before the measure came anywhere near the red benches of his chamber helped to embolden opponents of reform in the House of Commons.
But third - party studies back up Musk's
confident predictions.
And it will quietly bury
its confident predictions, made in 2007, of more frequent droughts, which turned out to rest largely on flawed analyses.
As a result,
the confident prediction for 2014 «is stronger than I would have chosen, on the evidence presented,» he says.
And there have been
confident predictions that human behaviour, and in particular the combustion of fossil fuel on a scale without parallel in planetary history, is likely to postpone the next Ice Age for a very long time.
The confident predictions of the IPCC in the SPMs, expressions like «very likely meaning > 90 % probability» have absolutely no scientific basis whatsoever, if all there is is a hypothesis.
This confirms our July statement that the later the prediction date, the more
confident the predictions.
A year ago tomorrow, just before the opening of the UN Copenhagen world climate summit, the British Meteorological Office issued
a confident prediction.
My confident prediction is that the «long tail» will vanish for any sensible alternative to a uniform prior.
The point of this post is that beekeepers have adapted to maintain the honey bee supply (they're not indigenous to N. America) despite the losses to Colony Collapse Disorder — hence
the confident predictions of a bee - pocalypse during the past 7 years have proven wrong.