There's added danger because traders will often believe a bottom before it's
confirmed by the price action.
Not exact matches
Among the most interesting aspects of market
action, I continue to be struck
by the failure of trading volume to
confirm what we're seeing in
price action.
If you follow my blog, you need to understand that any technical analysis I share, bearish or bullish, is always subject to actually being
confirmed by price before any
action is taken in my stock picking newsletter.
This selling pressure formed
by the overhead supply is what makes it difficult for a
confirmed down trending market to fully reverse into a new uptrend, at least without a substantial period of correction
by time («back and fill»
price action).
However, I quickly realized these carelessly timed trade entries resulted in losing trades a vast majority of the time because I was not waiting for the
price action of the stock to
confirm itself
by actually trading through the exact resistance level.
The markets are so influenced
by the news now, I find it helps to observe sentiment created
by the news to help
confirm what
Price Action is telling me.
For example, is a head and shoulders pattern
confirmed by a current
price action?
Indeed an aspect that has a great tendecy to be governed
by emocions, and it shouldn't; it should be decided
by confirmed price action / resistance / support.