Eli may have been the first to gaze out the Overton Window to a fine game of Climate Ball, and indeed he formulated the problem in terms of
consensus messaging even in 2007
I think it's amusing / interesting that both sides are absolutely convinced about the «effect» of
consensus messaging even though they lack evidence sufficient to actually prove anything about that.
Not exact matches
To make matters worse, he refused to
even say how many concussions he has had during his 10 - year pro career (other than to tell the AP that it was «more than I'd like to admit»), which itself sends the wrong
message: the most recent
consensus of concussion experts is that providing a complete concussion history is critically important for proper concussion management.
IMO it does not appear that IPCC is prepared to make the changes needed to regain this trust (AR5 looks like a re-hash of AR4, with possibly
even more use of doubtful «gray» literature and the same old «party line» CAGW
message backed by the «
consensus process»).
Our best lab and field studies, as well as a wealth of relevant experience by people who are doing meaningful communciation rather than continuously fielding surveys that don't
even measure the right thing, tell us why: «
consensus messaging» is unresponsive to the actual dynamics driving the climate change controversy.
I'm
even more confident that «
consensus messaging» did not «cause» Pielke to stop studying science & climate change politics than that humans are causing climate change.
We don't have a second America to use as a control group, but without the
consensus messaging that's happened over the past decade, my guess is that the public would be
even more misinformed about global warming than it is now.
In particular, it is sometimes argued that (a) despite past public communication efforts, public understanding of the scientific
consensus has not changed much in the last decade and hence the approach must not be very effective (i.e., «the stasis argument»)[13] and (b) because people are predisposed to engage in protective motivated reasoning (i.e., people process information consistent with their ideological worldviews),
consensus -
messaging is likely to be unsuccessful or could
even backfire [12, 14].
The idea that public conflict over climate change persists because,
even after years and years of «
consensus messaging» (including a $ 300 million social - marketing campaign by Al Gore's «Alliance for Climate Protection»), ordinary Americans still just «haven't heard» yet that an overwhelming majority climate scientists believe in AGW is patently absurd.
Putting aside, for now, the objections from people who deny that an expert
consensus even exists, the main objections to the idea of
consensus messaging are below.
It was primarily representatives of those commissions whom the ethics committee heard from at the public hearing, and the
consensus message was that the committee should give amended Rule 8.4
even more and sharper teeth.