Despite the overwhelming strength of evidence supporting the scientific
consensus of anthropogenic global warming [17], there are many who reject this consensus.
Not exact matches
Its appeal is complex, drawing on belief in
anthropogenic global warming and trust in the «scientific
consensus» behind it; the Great Recession and a protective reaction to rapid social change; a basic need for the concrete, local, and personal; the waning
of religious observance; peer pressure, star power, money, and more.
And there was this great, it was my favorite moment
of the weekend and it was this very dramatic moment, when basically Emanuel was complaining a little bit, very politely, and smiling about the fact that journalists still are doing stories about, you know, the debate around climate science, but there's not really,
of course, there's not a debate, there's
consensus that
anthropogenic global warming is happening and that, why are you still doing these stories, asking questions?
So I take it that the
consensus view is that according to our best current scientific understanding, there is no possibility whatsoever
of any catastrophic consequences
of anthropogenic global warming; therefore to use the word «catastrophic» is irresponsible alarmism;, and therefore the deniers are actually quite right to accuse anyone who suggests that such outcomes are possible
of being an irresponsible alarmist.
Brian, I'd recommend that you run the talking points through a reality check before attaching your name to them — one excellent resource is skepticalscience.com, from whence (after.1 second
of effort) I reached the rebuttal to «Scientists predicted an impending ice age in the 1970's» («Is it really appropriate to compare the scientific evidence for an impending ice age in the 70's to the scientific
consensus on
anthropogenic global warming today?»
In January
of this year, author Kenneth Richard conducted a broad survey
of climate change literature for 2017 and found that the alleged «
consensus» behind the dangers
of anthropogenic global warming is not nearly as settled among climate scientists as people imagine.
One might first note, as The New American has reported before, that «
consensus» itself is often manipulated, a good example being the debunked claim that «97 percent
of scientists affirm
anthropogenic global warming.»
Those who accept the
consensus that the Earth is
warming due to human activity (
anthropogenic global warming or AGW) point to declining Arctic sea ice as one line
of evidence to support this conclusion.
The second study demonstrated a causal relationship, showing that acceptance
of human - caused (
anthropogenic)
global warming (AGW) increases when the scientific
consensus is highlighted.
A paper by John Cook and colleagues published in May 2013 claimed that
of the 4,000 peer - reviewed papers they surveyed expressing a position on
anthropogenic global warming, «97.1 % endorsed the
consensus position that humans are causing
global warming».
Speaking
of Albert Einstein, he had an answer for those continually trying to claim that there is a
consensus for their flawed, unproven hypothesis regarding
anthropogenic global warming, climate change or what ever the charlatans now call it: «Unthinking respect for authority is the greatest enemy
of the truth» Albert Einstein.
The publication
of the paper that I co-authored, Quantifying the
consensus on
anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature, in May 2013 caused quite a splash.
In response to commenters wondering how we obtained our results when Cook had not made his data available, in fact he did release a data file listing the titles and authors
of all 11,944 abstracts in his survey, together with his or his co-authors» assessment
of what he called their «level
of endorsement»
of the «
consensus» that most
of the
global warming since 1950 was
anthropogenic.
I then obtained and read all 64 abstracts, and found that only 43
of them explicitly endorsed the
consensus as Cook et al. had defined it in the introduction to their paper: that more than half
of the
global warming since 1950 was
anthropogenic.
Table 1: «
Consensus on
consensus: a synthesis
of consensus estimates on human - caused
global warming» «Does it matter if the
consensus on
anthropogenic global warming is 97 % or 99.99 %?»
The various official Conservative policy statements cited above contain no implicit or explicit acknowledgnment
of the scientific
consensus on
anthropogenic (human - caused)
global warming, as outlined in the Third Assessment Report
of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
A recent survey
of climate change literature for 2017 revealed that the alleged «
consensus» behind the dangers
of anthropogenic global warming is not nearly as settled among climate scientists as people imagine.
[1] It is probably the best known and most frequently quoted petition used by those who wish to deny there is a scientific
consensus in respect
of the existence
of anthropogenic global warming (AGW).
To bear primary responsibility means to have been exposed to the overwhelming scientific data and analysis on
anthropogenic global warming and willfully and misleadingly denied or acted in ignorance
of that
consensus.
The latest attack on
global warming consensus comes from Dennis Avery and Fred Singer who claim to have found 500 peer reviewed papers refuting that the last few decades
of global warming are primarily
anthropogenic.
Senator Kaine claims that 70 %
of Virginians agree with the «scientific
consensus» that catastrophic
anthropogenic global warming is real and that «it is urgent that we do something about it.»
That 40 % number is a falsehood - there is about a 98 %
consensus of all scientists who study this phenomena that
anthropogenic climate change is a reality, and every major scientific institution in the world supports the conclusion
of man caused
global warming.
That is one
of the reasons I am not greatly impressed by the supposed scientific
consensus in favor
of Catastrophic
Anthropogenic Global Warming.
Well, I'm about 99.99 % certain that when the
consensus hits the «tipping point» where 51 %
of the scientist think that
anthropogenic global warming is bullshit, that those very same
warmers will suddenly start screaming about how a
consensus isn't scientific, even though it was certainly good enough when that
consensus was on their side
of the fence.
Climate Change Deniers, also known as
Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) Deniers, refers to individuals or groups who disagree with the global scientific consensus that emissions of man - made CO2 significantly enhance the natural atmospheric greenhouse e
Global Warming (AGW) Deniers, refers to individuals or groups who disagree with the
global scientific consensus that emissions of man - made CO2 significantly enhance the natural atmospheric greenhouse e
global scientific
consensus that emissions
of man - made CO2 significantly enhance the natural atmospheric greenhouse effect.
Oreskes» studies on the much - repeated «97 percent
consensus» agreement among scientists that the effects
of Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) require draconian political measures has brought her praise and scorn from equally well - qualified commentators.
«We analyze the evolution
of the scientific
consensus on
anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer - reviewed scientific literature, examining 11944 climate abstracts from 1991 — 2011 matching the topics «
global climate change» or «
global warming».
This has caused a problem for the skeptical community, because the majority
of scientific skeptics accept the
consensus of scientific opinion on
anthropogenic global warming (AGW).
Of the 928 articles sampled, and analysed whether agreeing or disagreeing with the prevailing consensus view of anthropogenic global warming, none disagreed with this consensu
Of the 928 articles sampled, and analysed whether agreeing or disagreeing with the prevailing
consensus view
of anthropogenic global warming, none disagreed with this consensu
of anthropogenic global warming, none disagreed with this
consensus.
Quantifying the
consensus on
anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature — Abstract — Environmental Research Letters — IOPscience We analyze the evolution
of the scientific
consensus on
anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer - reviewed scientific literature, examining 11944 climate abstracts from 1991 — 2011 matching the topics «
global climate change» or «
global warming».
Today, an avalanche
of studies and overwhelming scientific
consensus endorse
anthropogenic global warming.
«Only [a] few abstracts explicitly reject or doubt the AGW (
anthropogenic global warming)
consensus which is why I have publicly withdrawn this point
of my critique.
In fact, the petition, paper, and letter were entirely unrelated to the Academy, which issued a strong denunciation
of the petition project as deliberately deceptive and an affirmation
of the
consensus in favor
of the reality
of anthropogenic global warming.
'' «We examined a large sample
of the scientific literature on
global CC, published over a 21 year period, in order to determine the level
of scientific
consensus that human activity is very likely causing GW (
anthropogenic global warming, or AGW).»
«We examined a large sample
of the scientific literature on
global CC, published over a 21 year period, in order to determine the level
of scientific
consensus that human activity is very likely causing most
of the current GW (
anthropogenic global warming, or AGW).»
Peiser has long opposed mainstream science's conclusions about
anthropogenic global warming; in 2005 Peiser said he had data which refuted an article published in Science Magazine, claiming 100 %
of peer - reviewed research papers on climate change agreed with the scientific
consensus of global warming.
Quantifying the
consensus on
anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature» by John Cook et al: 97 %
of climate scientists agree that humans are causing
global warming.
but when the overwhelming majority
of climate scientists agrees on that
anthropogenic global warming was real («the
consensus») then this doesn't prove anything about the reality
of AGW.
In our paper, Quantifying the
consensus on
anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature, we analysed over 12,000 papers listed in the «Web
Of Science» between 1991 to 2011 matching the topic «
global warming» or «
global climate change».
While our analysis
of abstracts found 97.1 %
consensus among abstracts stating a position on
anthropogenic global warming (AGW), the method
of self - rating complete papers independently found 97.2 %
consensus among papers self - rated as stating a position on AGW.
Yesterday, we published a list
of 24 errors in Tol's critique
of our
consensus paper Quantifying the
consensus on
anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature.
In fact we would all probably agree that the «97 %
consensus» paper is a comprehensive assessment
of the scientific literature on the scientific
consensus relating to the role
of anthropogenic greenhouse gas release in the marked
global warming of the last ~ 50 years.
(4) What are the implications for climate science
of public acceptance
of the idea that there is a «
consensus among scientists» on
anthropogenic global warming (AGW)?
The
consensus of scientific opinion on
anthropogenic global warming is alive and well.
Look at other
consensus objections: as with creationism, anti-vaccines, the entire tobacco industry campaign, ozone, acid rain, and now
anthropogenic global warming - a repeating pattern
of minority opinions trying to convince the public that the experts are not in agreement (when they actually are).
Climatologists might not think that is the case in their filed, too, but nearly every part
of it is contended by some major part
of its adherents — regardless
of the claim to «
consensus» on
anthropogenic global warming.
I've found a paper that disagrees with the
consensus that the recent
warming is mostly
anthropogenic: http://cfa-www.harvard.edu/ep/preprint/mayjun96/4344.html «The simulation implies that the solar part
of the forcing, alone, would account for 71 %
of the
global mean temperature variance, compared to 51 % for the greenhouse gases part, alone.»
The current approach that is generally pursued assumes essentially that past climate variability is indistinguishable from a stochastic red - noise process... Given such a null hypothesis, the official
consensus of IPCC (1995) tilts towards a
global warming effect
of recent trace - gas emissions, which exceeds the cooling effect
of anthropogenic aerosol emissions.»
This kind
of nonsensical correlation was repeated throughout as Michaels and D'Aleo made a great show
of «chipping away» at the overwhelming
consensus behind the science
of anthropogenic global warming, buoyed by laughter and nods
of appreciation from the audience.
The peer - reviewed survey, «Quantifying the
consensus on
anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature,» was published today in the peer - reviewed Environmental Research Letters, a publication
of the Institute
of Physics (IOP).