Scientific
consensus on anthropogenic climate change.
In terms of your request for something substantial, I responded to your original claim that «the theory relies on computer models» with a link to a RealClimate post that shows this claim is not correct — rather than computer models, the foundations of the scientific
consensus on anthropogenic climate change are built upon our understanding of how the atmosphere works and how we are changing it by emitting greenhouse gases.
Not exact matches
For example, Saunders quotes William Gray's off - the - cuff criticism of a study by Naomi Oreskes that demonstrated the existence of an overwhelming
consensus in the peer - reviewed scientific literature
on the reality of
anthropogenic climate change (see our previous discussion of that study).
There is broad scientific
consensus on the reality of
anthropogenic climate change but there still a huge amount of ongoing research into many of the details.
Is there really «
consensus» in the scientific community
on the reality of
anthropogenic climate change?
In 2013, the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report stated a clear expert
consensus that: «It is extremely likely [defined as 95 - 100 % certainty] that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the
anthropogenic [human - caused] increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other
anthropogenic forcings together.»
The
consensus in
climate science is that recent
climate change is overwhelmingly identified as
anthropogenic in cause, and furthermore (as per AAR5
on Impacts) there is a
consensus that
climate change will have significant impacts that while a value judgement can quite reasonably be described as «dangerous».
The various official Conservative policy statements cited above contain no implicit or explicit acknowledgnment of the scientific
consensus on anthropogenic (human - caused) global warming, as outlined in the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC).
Science magazine supports the prevailing view, stating, «There is a scientific
consensus on the reality of
anthropogenic climate change» that accounts for «most of the observed warming over the last 50 years» (Oreskes, 2004).
«We analyze the evolution of the scientific
consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer - reviewed scientific literature, examining 11944
climate abstracts from 1991 — 2011 matching the topics «global
climate change» or «global warming».
Morano then said that the oft - touted 97 percent
consensus on climate change being real and
anthropogenic (meaning human - caused) was illegitimate because less than 100 scientists were polled to arrive at the 97 percent value.»
Quantifying the
consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature — Abstract — Environmental Research Letters — IOPscience We analyze the evolution of the scientific
consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer - reviewed scientific literature, examining 11944
climate abstracts from 1991 — 2011 matching the topics «global
climate change» or «global warming».
The term «enforcers of the
climate consensus» is a bitter and resentful way to refer to competent and productive
climate scientists, in particular those who care enough about the current and future impact of
anthropogenic climate change on Earth's ecosystems and
on humanity.
Given that the majority view here
on WUWT appears to be that the scientific
consensus is simply wrong (or non-existent)-- as opposed to mendacious — I should have said ``... if
anthropogenic climate change is a false alarm you — and your whole team — will without doubt deserve Nobel Prizes»
Peiser has long opposed mainstream science's conclusions about
anthropogenic global warming; in 2005 Peiser said he had data which refuted an article published in Science Magazine, claiming 100 % of peer - reviewed research papers
on climate change agreed with the scientific
consensus of global warming.
Still, they find a strong
consensus on human causation of
climate change: 87.4 % of respondents are to some extent convinced that most of recent or near future
climate change is, or will be, the result of
anthropogenic causes (question v007).
Cook found a 97 %
consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature
on climate change.
In our paper, Quantifying the
consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature, we analysed over 12,000 papers listed in the «Web Of Science» between 1991 to 2011 matching the topic «global warming» or «global
climate change».
I challenge all who, like me, have doubts about one or another aspect of the conventional
consensus regarding catastrophic unprecedented
anthropogenic global
climate change to see our mission as
changing Mr Connolley's mind
on that topic; not destroying his general opposition.
Naomi Oreskes, from the University of California, noted in an article in Science in 2004: «there is a scientific
consensus on the reality of
anthropogenic climate change.
Of all the papers, 75 % fell into the first three categories, either explicitly or implicitly accepting the
consensus view; 25 % dealt with methods or paleoclimate, taking no position
on current
anthropogenic climate change.