The lack of
conservative vote split that the New Democrats, Liberals and Alberta Party had hoped to capitalize on may have vanished the moment Ms. Smith crossed the floor.
Not exact matches
However, when the substantial majority of over 60 per cent gets
split among four other competing parties, the
Conservatives — with a minority of the
vote — could wind up forming the government.
Appetite for a new
Conservative party was modest at a Calgary dinner, where the bitter memory of
vote -
splitting is still a searing one.
Only a sharp
vote split between Liberal Harvey Locke and Green Chris Turner ensured a
Conservative win.
Kenney says
vote splitting leveraged Premier Rachel Notley's NDP to majority government in the 2015 election, and only a united
conservative party can prevent a repeat in 2019.
Recent polls show a three - way
split in support between the Progressive
Conservatives, New Democratic and Wildrose Parties have generated some interest in Alberta's provincial election campaign but with 24 days left until
voting day we can expect a lot to change.
MP Richards adds that
vote splitting between the two
Conservative parties was the reason for last year's results; by uniting the parties we will once again see a
Conservative majority in Alberta.
IMHO, there tends to be little electoral overlap between the provincial and federal levels, at least in this province, and in fact the
vote splits between right, left and centre are quite different with one unified
Conservative party (more aligned with Wildrose than with Alberta PC), and a not - quite - as - moribund Liberal party in play.
«Look at the cold hard math from the last Provincial election; a
vote split, 27.8 % Progressive
Conservative vote, 24.2 %
vote for the Wildrose Party, 42 % NDP government.
If he runs as an Independent or an Alberta Party candidate, even if he doesn't win, he could just
split the
vote enough in the riding to let a Progressive
Conservative squeak in.
George W. Bush won a third of the evangelical
vote in Iowa in 2000,
splitting that
vote with Steve Forbes and more explicitly social
conservative candidates like Gary Bauer and Alan Keyes.
A majority of primary voters preferred a more
conservative candidate to the frontrunner Romney, but social
conservatives were
splitting their
vote among several candidates, allowing Romney to win.
This roughly follows the
split in their parties: most Labour MPs
voted in favour, the
conservatives were
split evenly.
If Cuomo wins because Lazio and the
Conservative Party
splits the
vote against Cuomo, Paladino voters will blame Lazio and the
Conservative party.
That
split, coupled with the fact that
conservatives are angry with Grisanti for his «yes»
vote last summer on same - sex marriage, made it seem like the senator was pretty vulnerable.
«Under First Past the Post this would likely be disastrous for them,
splitting the Labour
vote and allowing the
Conservatives or UKIP, or whoever, to gain more seats from them.
In the end, however, he and Scozzafava
split the Republican and
Conservative vote, allowing Democrat Bill Owens a narrow window to victory in a long - held GOP district.
Were an individual Gloucestershire voter given up to seven
votes to distribute as s / he saw fit, it is of course impossible to know whether this would lead to seven
Conservative MPs returned (as was the case in the 2015 election), or a mixture of parties (in 2005 the seats were
split three
Conservative, two Labour and two Liberal Democrat).
If she lost the GOP nomination but continued to run as a
conservative, with a different candidate on the GOP line, she'd likely
split the
vote and end up killing any chance for the Republicans to defeat Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand.
Could a Ukip surge
split the
Conservative vote and let Labour in?
Ukip hopes the polling will dispel suggestions that they will
split the
Conservative vote in 2015.
The challenge for Labour is that most
splitting occurs between ideologically adjacent parties, and because less partisan Labour voters are more likely than
Conservatives to
split their
vote.
Chapman notes a
split vote among many
conservative Southern Democrats in the 1970s and 1980s who supported local and statewide
conservative Democrats while simultaneously
voting for Republican presidential candidates.
Under First Past the Post this would likely be disastrous for them,
splitting the Labour
vote and allowing the
Conservatives (or UKIP, or whoever) to gain more seats from them.
Furthermore, the anti-Labour
votes (quite a lot of people at the moment) in many seats would not be
split between Liberal Democrats and
Conservatives, but basically focussed on
Conservative.
It now appears Saland is likely to lose his seat to Democrat Terry Gipson, thanks to the
vote -
splitting candidacy of Neil Di Carlo on the
Conservative line.
If the
Conservatives hadn't
split our
vote we'd have won, wouldn't we?»
Farage last night described
Vote Leave, which is backed by several
Conservative ministers, as the choice of the Westminster establishment, but insisted the
split between the two groups would not affect the final result.
Sheehan may
split the progressive
vote with Common Council President Carolyn McLaughlin and he will take the more
conservative section of Democratic voters.
«Because
splitting the
vote between the Monroe County Republican Party and the Monroe County
Conservative Party will assure the reelection of Congresswoman Louise Slaughter.
The UKIP
vote, which many had assumed would return to the
Conservative party, ended up being
split between the
Conservative and Labour parties, adding to the mayhem of election night.
The
Conservatives aligned themselves with the Leave
vote to gobble up UKIP
votes and to capitalise on a supposed Leave - Remain
split in Labour's core
vote.
But the district was drawn four years ago specifically to be as advantageous to Republicans as possible, and they've since performed well there: Republican Mark Grisanti got over half the
vote in a four - way race in 2012, and outgoing Democrat Marc Panepinto won with only 33 percent of the
vote in 2014 when three registered Republicans and
Conservatives split the remaining 67 percent.
Unlike in past years, Rep. Bill Owens does not have the benefit of a three - way race to
split votes on the right, but must face his GOP /
Conservative opponent, Matt Doheny, one - on - one.
In the 1906 election, the LRC won 29 seats — helped by a secret 1903 pact between Ramsay MacDonald and Liberal Chief Whip Herbert Gladstone that aimed to avoid
splitting the opposition
vote between Labour and Liberal candidates in the interest of removing the
Conservatives from office.
After losing the Republican primary to Paladino, Lazio became the
Conservative Party nominee, but opted to step aside instead of
splitting the Republican
vote.
Some of these Independent candidates are former representatives of existing political parties: for example, the ex-Labour MP Tony Clarke is standing in his old seat of Northampton South (which should helpfully
split the Left wing
vote in the seat being defended by
Conservative MP Brian Binley), whilst John Stevens, who is challenging John Bercow in Buckingham, is an ultra-europhile former Tory MEP who set up the Pro-Euro
Conservative Party before joining the Liberal Democrats.
In particular, the promised in / out referendum on Britain's membership of the EU could badly
split the
Conservative Party if Cameron campaigns for a
vote to remain in the EU while many of his backbenchers — and some frontbenchers — campaign for a «Brexit».
[4] The 2017 general election result reveals Scotland as a divided nation, with
votes relatively evenly
split between Labour, the
Conservative and the SNP for the first time since the 1970s.
But since then Senators who cast their
votes for gay marriage have been ousted from office, many some faced challenges from more
conservative candidates that
split the
vote and enabled a Democrat to win.
Breaking down 2010 Liberal Democrat voters by how much attention they pay to politics though shows a fascinating
split: 2010 Lib Dem voters who paid a lot of attention to politics were more likely to switch to Labour; people who
voted Lib Dem in 2010 but who paid little attention to politics were more likely to
split to the
Conservatives.
Working class (DE) voters in the South are more likely to
vote Conservative than middle class (AB) voters in the North (page 5) but there is an important public / private sector
split to this.
UKIP has been making in - roads into
Conservative votes, and some on both sides are talking of electoral pacts to stop the political left taking advantage of a
split right - of - centre
vote.
UKIP has been making in - roads into the
Conservative vote, and some on both sides are talking of electoral pacts to stop the political left taking advantage of a
split right - of - centre
vote.
UKIP may have cost the
Conservatives up to 20 seats at the 2010 general election with a
split in the eurosceptic
vote, leading to talk of a ceasefire, pact or merger between the two parties.
At these local elections, the
Conservatives benefitted from this restructuring of UKIP supporters, gaining Basildon, bringing Dudley to an even
split with Labour and almost decimating Labour's leads in North - East Lincolnshire and Nuneaton and Bedworth — all of which were heavily Leave -
voting areas.
Gipson won election to his first term in the Senate when a
vote in favor of legalizing gay marriage by former Republican state Sen. Steve Saland led to Republicans and
Conservatives splitting their
votes between Saland, R - Poughkeepsie, and
Conservative candidate Neil DiCarlo, of Putnam County.
While Astorino has not yet formally announced his candidacy, he has made a number of clear indications that he is highly likely to run — regardless of the fact that Paladino, the 2010 GOP /
Conservative gubernatorial candidate, has threatened to challenge him on the
Conservative Party, effectively
splitting votes on the right and making a long - shot change of ousting the popular and well - funded incumbent governor all the more difficult.
Saland ended up losing the election, thanks to the presence on the ballot of a
Conservative candidate, Neil DiCarlo, with whom the now - former senator
split the
vote on the right.
Hypothethical example: If the non-
Conservative vote is
split between Labour, Lib. - Dem., and Greens with 24 % each, a
Conservative candidate could win with only 28 % of the
vote despite 72 % preferring a non-
Conservative candidate.