Sentences with phrase «conservative vote split»

The lack of conservative vote split that the New Democrats, Liberals and Alberta Party had hoped to capitalize on may have vanished the moment Ms. Smith crossed the floor.

Not exact matches

However, when the substantial majority of over 60 per cent gets split among four other competing parties, the Conservatives — with a minority of the vote — could wind up forming the government.
Appetite for a new Conservative party was modest at a Calgary dinner, where the bitter memory of vote - splitting is still a searing one.
Only a sharp vote split between Liberal Harvey Locke and Green Chris Turner ensured a Conservative win.
Kenney says vote splitting leveraged Premier Rachel Notley's NDP to majority government in the 2015 election, and only a united conservative party can prevent a repeat in 2019.
Recent polls show a three - way split in support between the Progressive Conservatives, New Democratic and Wildrose Parties have generated some interest in Alberta's provincial election campaign but with 24 days left until voting day we can expect a lot to change.
MP Richards adds that vote splitting between the two Conservative parties was the reason for last year's results; by uniting the parties we will once again see a Conservative majority in Alberta.
IMHO, there tends to be little electoral overlap between the provincial and federal levels, at least in this province, and in fact the vote splits between right, left and centre are quite different with one unified Conservative party (more aligned with Wildrose than with Alberta PC), and a not - quite - as - moribund Liberal party in play.
«Look at the cold hard math from the last Provincial election; a vote split, 27.8 % Progressive Conservative vote, 24.2 % vote for the Wildrose Party, 42 % NDP government.
If he runs as an Independent or an Alberta Party candidate, even if he doesn't win, he could just split the vote enough in the riding to let a Progressive Conservative squeak in.
George W. Bush won a third of the evangelical vote in Iowa in 2000, splitting that vote with Steve Forbes and more explicitly social conservative candidates like Gary Bauer and Alan Keyes.
A majority of primary voters preferred a more conservative candidate to the frontrunner Romney, but social conservatives were splitting their vote among several candidates, allowing Romney to win.
This roughly follows the split in their parties: most Labour MPs voted in favour, the conservatives were split evenly.
If Cuomo wins because Lazio and the Conservative Party splits the vote against Cuomo, Paladino voters will blame Lazio and the Conservative party.
That split, coupled with the fact that conservatives are angry with Grisanti for his «yes» vote last summer on same - sex marriage, made it seem like the senator was pretty vulnerable.
«Under First Past the Post this would likely be disastrous for them, splitting the Labour vote and allowing the Conservatives or UKIP, or whoever, to gain more seats from them.
In the end, however, he and Scozzafava split the Republican and Conservative vote, allowing Democrat Bill Owens a narrow window to victory in a long - held GOP district.
Were an individual Gloucestershire voter given up to seven votes to distribute as s / he saw fit, it is of course impossible to know whether this would lead to seven Conservative MPs returned (as was the case in the 2015 election), or a mixture of parties (in 2005 the seats were split three Conservative, two Labour and two Liberal Democrat).
If she lost the GOP nomination but continued to run as a conservative, with a different candidate on the GOP line, she'd likely split the vote and end up killing any chance for the Republicans to defeat Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand.
Could a Ukip surge split the Conservative vote and let Labour in?
Ukip hopes the polling will dispel suggestions that they will split the Conservative vote in 2015.
The challenge for Labour is that most splitting occurs between ideologically adjacent parties, and because less partisan Labour voters are more likely than Conservatives to split their vote.
Chapman notes a split vote among many conservative Southern Democrats in the 1970s and 1980s who supported local and statewide conservative Democrats while simultaneously voting for Republican presidential candidates.
Under First Past the Post this would likely be disastrous for them, splitting the Labour vote and allowing the Conservatives (or UKIP, or whoever) to gain more seats from them.
Furthermore, the anti-Labour votes (quite a lot of people at the moment) in many seats would not be split between Liberal Democrats and Conservatives, but basically focussed on Conservative.
It now appears Saland is likely to lose his seat to Democrat Terry Gipson, thanks to the vote - splitting candidacy of Neil Di Carlo on the Conservative line.
If the Conservatives hadn't split our vote we'd have won, wouldn't we?»
Farage last night described Vote Leave, which is backed by several Conservative ministers, as the choice of the Westminster establishment, but insisted the split between the two groups would not affect the final result.
Sheehan may split the progressive vote with Common Council President Carolyn McLaughlin and he will take the more conservative section of Democratic voters.
«Because splitting the vote between the Monroe County Republican Party and the Monroe County Conservative Party will assure the reelection of Congresswoman Louise Slaughter.
The UKIP vote, which many had assumed would return to the Conservative party, ended up being split between the Conservative and Labour parties, adding to the mayhem of election night.
The Conservatives aligned themselves with the Leave vote to gobble up UKIP votes and to capitalise on a supposed Leave - Remain split in Labour's core vote.
But the district was drawn four years ago specifically to be as advantageous to Republicans as possible, and they've since performed well there: Republican Mark Grisanti got over half the vote in a four - way race in 2012, and outgoing Democrat Marc Panepinto won with only 33 percent of the vote in 2014 when three registered Republicans and Conservatives split the remaining 67 percent.
Unlike in past years, Rep. Bill Owens does not have the benefit of a three - way race to split votes on the right, but must face his GOP / Conservative opponent, Matt Doheny, one - on - one.
In the 1906 election, the LRC won 29 seats — helped by a secret 1903 pact between Ramsay MacDonald and Liberal Chief Whip Herbert Gladstone that aimed to avoid splitting the opposition vote between Labour and Liberal candidates in the interest of removing the Conservatives from office.
After losing the Republican primary to Paladino, Lazio became the Conservative Party nominee, but opted to step aside instead of splitting the Republican vote.
Some of these Independent candidates are former representatives of existing political parties: for example, the ex-Labour MP Tony Clarke is standing in his old seat of Northampton South (which should helpfully split the Left wing vote in the seat being defended by Conservative MP Brian Binley), whilst John Stevens, who is challenging John Bercow in Buckingham, is an ultra-europhile former Tory MEP who set up the Pro-Euro Conservative Party before joining the Liberal Democrats.
In particular, the promised in / out referendum on Britain's membership of the EU could badly split the Conservative Party if Cameron campaigns for a vote to remain in the EU while many of his backbenchers — and some frontbenchers — campaign for a «Brexit».
[4] The 2017 general election result reveals Scotland as a divided nation, with votes relatively evenly split between Labour, the Conservative and the SNP for the first time since the 1970s.
But since then Senators who cast their votes for gay marriage have been ousted from office, many some faced challenges from more conservative candidates that split the vote and enabled a Democrat to win.
Breaking down 2010 Liberal Democrat voters by how much attention they pay to politics though shows a fascinating split: 2010 Lib Dem voters who paid a lot of attention to politics were more likely to switch to Labour; people who voted Lib Dem in 2010 but who paid little attention to politics were more likely to split to the Conservatives.
Working class (DE) voters in the South are more likely to vote Conservative than middle class (AB) voters in the North (page 5) but there is an important public / private sector split to this.
UKIP has been making in - roads into Conservative votes, and some on both sides are talking of electoral pacts to stop the political left taking advantage of a split right - of - centre vote.
UKIP has been making in - roads into the Conservative vote, and some on both sides are talking of electoral pacts to stop the political left taking advantage of a split right - of - centre vote.
UKIP may have cost the Conservatives up to 20 seats at the 2010 general election with a split in the eurosceptic vote, leading to talk of a ceasefire, pact or merger between the two parties.
At these local elections, the Conservatives benefitted from this restructuring of UKIP supporters, gaining Basildon, bringing Dudley to an even split with Labour and almost decimating Labour's leads in North - East Lincolnshire and Nuneaton and Bedworth — all of which were heavily Leave - voting areas.
Gipson won election to his first term in the Senate when a vote in favor of legalizing gay marriage by former Republican state Sen. Steve Saland led to Republicans and Conservatives splitting their votes between Saland, R - Poughkeepsie, and Conservative candidate Neil DiCarlo, of Putnam County.
While Astorino has not yet formally announced his candidacy, he has made a number of clear indications that he is highly likely to run — regardless of the fact that Paladino, the 2010 GOP / Conservative gubernatorial candidate, has threatened to challenge him on the Conservative Party, effectively splitting votes on the right and making a long - shot change of ousting the popular and well - funded incumbent governor all the more difficult.
Saland ended up losing the election, thanks to the presence on the ballot of a Conservative candidate, Neil DiCarlo, with whom the now - former senator split the vote on the right.
Hypothethical example: If the non-Conservative vote is split between Labour, Lib. - Dem., and Greens with 24 % each, a Conservative candidate could win with only 28 % of the vote despite 72 % preferring a non-Conservative candidate.
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