Not exact matches
Once such an IPCC exposition of the assumptions, complications and uncertainties of climate models was constructed and made public, it would immediately have to lead, in my view, to more questions from the informed public such as what does calculating a mean
global temperature change mean to individuals who have to deal with local conditions and not a
global average and what are the assumptions, complications and uncertainties that the models
contain when it comes to determining the detrimental and beneficial effects of a «
global»
warming in localized areas of the globe.
Since 2009, the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change's goal has been to make sure the Earth doesn't get
warmer than 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.1 That sounds like a small number, but because it's a
global average, it
contains all sorts of fluctuations — for the whole planet to get
warmer by that amount means that some places are getting much hotter.
But if, instead, the world manages to act upon a
global promise made in Paris in 2015, and to
contain global warming to no more than an
average rise of 2 °C, the number at risk would be measured only in millions.
Warming is less than the
global average in southern parts of Asia and South America, Southern Ocean areas (
containing many small islands) and the North Atlantic (Figure 2.6 a).