In many simulation runs of
continued warming hiatus periods arose of at max a decade.
Not exact matches
Given that CO2
continues to rise, and given the
hiatus since 1998, could it be that CO2 is not a major driver of global
warming?
Roemmich said the study illustrates that the
hiatus in
warming of the sea surface and the lower atmosphere is not representative of the steady,
continuing heat gain by the climate system.
Thus if the oceans are
continuing to heat while atmospheric
warming has reached some sort of plateau, it would be inaccurate to claim that the heat has somehow been transferred from the latter to the former, thus nullifying the
hiatus.
This
hiatus could persist for much of the present decade if the trade wind trends
continue, however rapid
warming is expected to resume once the anomalous wind trends abate.
If that is in fact the case, and I see no reason to doubt it, then the fact that the oceans are
continuing to
warm can have no bearing on the
hiatus at all, and will not reflect the slowdown in atmospheric
warming for «decades.»
The fact that you don't understand the mechanisms of how increased CO2
warms the oceans is irrelevant, since the heat content of the oceans is increasing (and, thus, the planet, as a whole has
continued warming despite your «
hiatus»).
Just as importantly, he says, the model helps to explain regional trends that seem to defy the global
warming hiatus, including record - breaking heat in the United States last year, and the
continued decline of Arctic sea ice.
By in - filling, these scientists argued that there was no
hiatus and
warming trend
continued.
Sorry paper gets a bit fat ZERO due this statement (below) obviously forced on anyone trying to get something worthwhile published in that garbage Journal NATURE «though similar decadal
hiatus events may occur in the future, the multi-decadal
warming trend is very likely to
continue with greenhouse gas increase.»
P.S. «Although similar decadal
hiatus events may occur in the future, the multi-decadal
warming trend is very likely to
continue with greenhouse gas increase.»
but that ENSO can still cause natural cooling for periods of a decade or more so that even though the man - made influence
continues to cause
warming, it is cancelled by ENSO cooling and results in a «
hiatus» of global temperature increase:»
As RSS temperature
continues its retreat from the natural ENSO - caused spike, the
warming hiatus will resume and extend.
Volcanic eruptions and El Niño events are identified as sharp cooling events punctuating a long - term ocean
warming trend, while heating
continues during the recent upper - ocean -
warming hiatus, but the heat is absorbed in the deeper ocean.
The influence is clear: a pronounced recent ENSO - induced cooling which has cancelled the
continued global
warming due to man - made CO2, leading to the «
hiatus» in the increase of global temperature.
The latter
continues a fairly steady upward trend while the surface temperatures and upper ocean heat content undergo a
hiatus in
warming after about 2004.
An assessment of whether or not there was a meaningful slowdown or «
hiatus» in global
warming, was recently discussed by Tamino...
Continue reading →
izen says: July 21, 2013 at 10:39 pm «Another five years will determine it either way, the process that has led to the present
hiatus is unlikely to persist that long, and the weather extremes that the
warmer oceans and shifts in floods and droughts will of course
continue.»
But Peter Wadhams, a professor of ocean physics at the University of Cambridge, UK, called the study careful and persuasive, and said: «I think it shows clearly that the so - called «
hiatus» does not exist and that global
warming has
continued over the past few years at the same rate as in earlier years.»
A consensus about what has put global
warming on pause may be years away, but one scientist says the recent papers confirm that Earth's
warming has
continued during the
hiatus, at least in the ocean depths, if not in the air.
Furthermore, the
warming is
continuing without any
hiatus.
So the current
hiatus in surface
warming is a transient and global
warming has not gone away: there is a
continuing radiative imbalance at the top of atmosphere.
The rate of
warming in the 20th century was 0.07 K / decade and hardly likely — all things being equal — to
continue — after a
hiatus of 20 to 40 years perhaps — at that extreme rate in the 21st.
If you are trying to assert that there has been a
hiatus, your H0 should be that
warming has
continued at the same rate as before.
The results suggest that the current
hiatus is a normal instance of internal climate variability, and that long - term
warming is likely to resume as greenhouse gas concentrations
continue to increase.